Indian equity benchmarks erased
previous two-session losses and ended higher with gains of over half a percent
on Thursday amid strong global cues and broad-based sectoral participation.
Markets made gap-up start and stayed in green for whole day as traders took
encouragement with data showing that India's goods and services tax (GST)
collections in October grew 13 per cent over a year earlier to Rs 1.72
trillion, mainly on account of stricter anti-evasion measures and higher
festival-season consumer spending. This was the second-highest monthly figure
ever, next only to the Rs 1.87 trillion collected in April this year. Some
optimism also came as data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed
India’s services trade surplus bounced back in the September quarter of 2023-24
(FY24), growing 26.6 per cent after falling to a three-quarter low in June.
Sentiments remained positive with a private report that Artificial Intelligence
(AI) and automation wave is likely to create a need to reskill and upskill 16.2
million workers in India in the next five years. According to report, the rise
of emerging technologies such as AI may create around 4.7 million new
technology jobs in India. Traders took a note of report that India and Sri
Lanka have resumed talks for an economic and technology cooperation agreement
(ETCA), after a gap of nearly five years. Traders overlooked private report
stating that India’s unemployment rate climbed to the highest in more than two
years in October as joblessness in rural areas increased. The overall rate rose
to 10.05% last month from 7.09% in September. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
489.57 points or 0.77% to 64,080.90 and the CNX Nifty was up by 144.10 points
or 0.76% to 19,133.25.
The US markets ended with gains
of over one and half percent on Thursday amid optimism about the outlook for
interest rates following the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement on
Wednesday. The Fed left interest rates unchanged for the third time in the past
four meetings, leading to optimism that the central bank is done raising
interest rates. Treasury yields moved notably lower on Wednesday and showed
another significant move to the downside Thursday, adding to the buying
interest. The latest economic data added to the optimism about rates, with the
Labor Department releasing a report showing an unexpected uptick in first-time
claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended October 28th. The
report said initial jobless claims crept up to 217,000, an increase of 5,000
from the previous week's revised level of 212,000. Street had expected jobless
claims to come in unchanged compared to the 210,000 originally reported for the
previous week. A separate report from the Labor Department also showed an
unexpected decrease in unit labor costs in the third quarter. The Labor
Department said unit labor costs fell by 0.8 percent in the third quarter after
shooting up by a revised 3.2 percent in the second quarter. On the sectoral
front, banking stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the session,
resulting in a 4.5 percent spike by the KBW Bank Index. Interest rate-sensitive
housing also saw substantial strength on the day, with the Philadelphia Housing
Sector Index surging by 3.4 percent.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Thursday as the dollar weakened on bets the Federal Reserve is done
with its rate hiking cycle. The dollar index, which dropped to 105.81,
recovered to 106.13 later on in the session, but still remained well below the
flat line, losing about 0.72%. Besides, oil was also supported by recent data
showing just a small increase in crude stockpiles in the U.S. in the week ended
October 27th. Benchmark crude oil futures for December delivery rose $2.02 or
2.5 percent to settle at $82.46 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude for January delivery surged $2.02 or 2.38 percent to settle at
$86.85 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee settled higher against
dollar on Thursday as the American currency retreated from its elevated levels
after the US Federal Reserve was a bit dovish in its policy meeting. Local unit
got support from positive domestic equity markets. Sentiments got boost as
India's goods and services tax (GST) collections in October grew 13 per cent
over a year earlier to Rs 1.72 trillion, mainly on account of stricter
anti-evasion measures and higher festival-season consumer spending. The
highest-ever revenue from GST was recorded in April 2023 at Rs 1.87 lakh crore,
while in September, it was Rs 1.63 lakh crore. On the global front, the pound
edged higher on Thursday ahead of an interest rate decision from the Bank of
England, while the dollar fell after the U.S. Federal Reserve held borrowing
costs steady on Wednesday. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.26 (Provisional),
stronger by 2 paise from its previous close of 83.28 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6687.13 crore against gross
selling of Rs 8478.01 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 419.95 crore with gross sales of Rs 331.26 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9.47 crore against gross selling of Rs 8.18
crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday on hopes that the U.S. Federal Reserve has reached the end of its
interest rate hiking campaign and a batch of upbeat quarterly financial updates
added to the bullish mood. Asian markets are trading in green on Friday with
investors awaiting a fresh round of data for more clues on the health of
services activity through the region. Indian markets ended higher on Thursday
reflecting the global trend as the US Federal Reserve kept key rates unchanged
and indicated that it could be the end of the rate hike cycle. Today, the
markets are likely to continue their bull run and make gap-up opening tracking
firm trade in global markets. Investors will be eyeing Services PMI data to be
out later in the day for more directional cues.
Some support will come as Union Labour Secretary Arti Ahuja said
maintaining high industrial safety standards is necessary as these are
influencing free trade agreements and their non-compliance can lead to trade
barriers affecting India's economic growth. Ahuja underscored the pivotal role
of robust industrial safety standards in safeguarding India's trajectory
towards becoming the third-largest global economy. Traders may take note of
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman’s statement that India will work closely
with Sri Lanka to deepen their civilisational ties, with connectivity as a new
focus area. India, the Finance Minister said, continues to work closely with
the government of Sri Lanka on debt restructuring discussions as well as on its
path of economic recovery. However, some cautiousness may come amid foreign
fund outflows. Provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed that
foreign institutional investors offloaded shares worth Rs 1,261.19 crore on
November 2. Stocks related to gaming industry will be in focus with a private
report that the Indian gaming market, currently valued at $3.1 billion, is
expected to hit the $7.5 billion valuation mark by financial year 2028 (FY28).
The report added that the industry is projected to grow at a compound annual
growth rate of 20 per cent, driven by increasing in-app purchases and
advertising revenues in casual and mid-core games. Among individual stocks,
Chambal Fertilisers, Crompton Greaves, Escorts, Godfrey Phillips, IDFC, IndiGo,
Krsnaa Diagnostics, MRF, Shipping Corporation of India, Sundaram Fasteners,
Thermax, Titan, TTK Healthcare, Uco Bank and Whirlpool will be in focus ahead
of results today. Meanwhile, ESAF Small Finance Bank IPO opens for subscription
today in the price band of Rs 57 - Rs 60 per share.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,133.25
|
19,073.19
|
19,184.29
|
BSE
Sensex
|
64,080.90
|
63,863.28
|
64,250.57
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
725.39
|
118.50
|
115.89
|
119.84
|
HDFC
Bank
|
226.13
|
1478.70
|
1467.06
|
1490.41
|
Power
Grid
|
129.25
|
203.50
|
201.71
|
204.46
|
ONGC
|
114.71
|
186.40
|
185.55
|
187.45
|
State
Bank of India
|
111.49
|
572.00
|
567.91
|
575.76
|
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