Indian equity benchmarks suffered
sharp losses of over a percent on Monday, tracking heavy losses in index majors
Bajaj Auto, Mahindra & Mahindra and Reliance Industries amid negative cues
from global markets. Markets made slightly negative start as traders remained
cautious with RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that the risk of a second
wave of COVID-19 could put sand in the wheels of the nascent recovery. He also
said the decision to cut benchmark repo rate would depend upon the evolving
situation with regard to inflation which is currently above the tolerance level
of the central bank. Key gauges extended fall in the afternoon session, as
anxiety remained among traders with report that as many as 441 infrastructure
projects, each worth Rs 150 crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns of
over Rs 4.35 lakh crore owing to delays and other reasons. Market participants
also took note of report that industry body PHDCCI expects India's GDP to contract
by 7.9 percent in the current financial year and grow by 7.7 percent in
2021-22, assessing that the worst is over and the economy is on the verge of a
slow recovery. The chamber, however, stated that unemployment remains a key
challenge to be addressed by the government. A sharp depreciation in the rupee
against the US dollar also weighed on investor sentiment. Indian rupee settled
at 73.84 against the US dollar, registering a fall of 23 paise over its
previous close. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance has issued operational
guidelines for implementation of the interest waiver scheme ahead of the
hearing in the matter in the apex court on November 2. Finally, the BSE Sensex
fell 540.00 points or 1.33% to 40,145.50, while the CNX Nifty was down by 162.60
points or 1.36% to 11,767.75.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Monday, following the lackluster performance seen in the previous
session, amid concerns about a resurgence in coronavirus cases, with new
infections reaching a new record high last Friday. Data from John Hopkins
University showed that new coronavirus cases reached a new high of 83,757 last
Friday and topped 83,000 again on Saturday. White House chief of staff Mark
Meadows argued that the pandemic could not be controlled and suggested the
administration would focus on vaccines and therapeutics. The spike in new
coronavirus cases comes as lawmakers in Washington appear to remain at an
impasse over a new stimulus bill. Adding to the negative sentiment, the
Commerce Department released a report showing an unexpected slump in new home
sales in the month of September. The report said new home sales tumbled by 3.5
percent to an annual rate of 959,000 in September after jumping by 3 percent to
a revised rate of 994,000 in August. The pullback surprised participants, who
had expected new home sales to surge up by 2.8 percent. The unexpected pullback
in new home sales was partly due to a steep drop in sales in the Northeast,
which plunged by 28.9 percent to a rate of 32,000. New home sales in the
Midwest and South also slumped by 4.1 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively,
while new home sales in the West spiked by 3.8 percent.
Crude oil futures ended lower
with cut of over three percent on Monday as COVID-19 cases in the US and Europe
continue to surge, raising alarm over demand for crude. Confirmed global cases
of COVID-19 climbed to 43 million on Monday, according to data compiled by
Johns Hopkins University, while the death toll rose to 1.15 million. Coronavirus infections in the US hit a record
for the second day on Sunday. Cases in France hit a record of over 50,000 over
the weekend. Further, fading hopes about a US stimulus package and prospect of
increased crude supply raised worries about energy demand. Crude oil futures
for December fell $1.29 or 3.2 percent to settle at $38.56 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. December Brent crude slipped $1.31 or 3.1 percent to
settle at $40.46 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Continuing previous session
losses, Indian rupee concluded substantially weaker against dollar on Monday as
muted domestic equities and strong American currency weighed on investors'
sentiment. Sentiments remained fragile as PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry
(PHDCCI) has stated that it expects India's GDP to contract by 7.9 per cent in the
current financial year (FY21) and grow by 7.7 per cent in FY22, assessing that
the worst is over and the economy is on the verge of a slow recovery. On the
global front, dollar found support on Monday, as surging coronavirus cases in
Europe and the United States and a lack of progress toward a U.S. stimulus
package put traders in a cautious mood, although hopes for a Brexit trade deal
held sterling steady. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.84, 23 paise weaker from
its previous close of 73.61 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6082.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 5011.18 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1965.11 crore with gross
sales of Rs 123.41 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 1.76 crore against gross selling of Rs 7.02 crore.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Monday as soaring coronavirus cases and uncertainty about a fiscal
relief bill in Washington dimmed the outlook for the US economic recovery.
Asian markets were trading in red on Tuesday following an overnight tumble on
Wall Street. Indian markets ended lower with over a percent cut on Monday with
selling witnessed across all sectors led by auto, metals and banks. Today, the
start of session is likely to be optimistic despite a weak set of global cues.
Traders will be taking encouragement with a report that in what could be a
healthy sign of economic recovery, goods and services tax (GST) collections
recorded in the month of October are likely to cross Rs 1 lakh crore for the
first time this fiscal. Some support will come with British drug maker
AstraZeneca Plc stating that the Covid-19 vaccine being developed by the
University of Oxford produced an immune response in both elderly and young
people and adverse reactions were lower among the elderly. Besides, India on
Tuesday reported its lowest single-day spikes in total coronavirus infection
tally in over three months. The daily jump of 36,838 in total count was the
lowest since July 21 even as the tally soared to 7,945,888. Death toll has
mounted to 119,535. Traders may take note of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's
statement that India plans to achieve one nation one gas grid and shift towards
a gas-based economy. However, there may be some cautiousness as exporters
expressed concerns over rising freight charges and shortage of containers as it
would impact the country's outbound shipments, and sought Commerce Ministry's
intervention in the matter. There will be some buzz in the agriculture stocks
with report that state-owned FCI and state procurement agencies have bought 21
percent more paddy so far in the kharif marketing season of this year at 151.17
lakh tonnes amounting to Rs 28,543 crore. Metal stocks will be in focus as
according to the World Steel Association (worldsteel) India's crude steel
production fell by 2.9 percent to 8.520 million tonnes (MT) in September 2020.
There will be some reaction in auto component sector stocks with a private
report that sales of automotive components will be dented this fiscal as demand
for automobiles plunges to a decadal low after the Covid-19 pandemic acted as a
brake on demand, and lockdowns caused supply-chain disruptions and labour
shortages.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous
close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
11,767.75
|
11,672.02
|
11,903.17
|
BSE
Sensex
|
40,145.50
|
40,597.17
|
39,821.06
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous
close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance
(Rs)
|
(in
Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
885.33
|
133.70
|
129.70
|
139.25
|
State
Bank of India
|
454.71
|
196.70
|
193.53
|
201.93
|
NTPC
|
347.25
|
85.95
|
84.17
|
87.87
|
ICICI
Bank
|
217.12
|
404.45
|
397.55
|
415.25
|
Power Grid Corporation of
India
|
206.78
|
172.05
|
170.15
|
173.45
|
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