Indian equity benchmarks ended
the choppy day of trade flat with negative bias as minutes of the central
bank's policy panel meeting stoked expectations of an interest rate hike. After
making a cautious start, markets traded in red terrain for most part of the day
as sentiments remained dampened with IMF chief Christine Lagarde's statement
that she does not expect the pace of economic reforms in India to continue in
an election year. Sentiments also remained dampened after RBI's MPC members
flagged several concerns, including an increase in minimum support prices for
farmers and high and volatile crude oil prices. Market participants also
remained concerned with former finance minister Yashwant Sinha's statement that
the cash crunch at ATMs in some parts of the country is a case of complete
mismanagement on the part of both the RBI and the government. He said the
magnitude of the crisis is huge and the Reserve Bank did not have a backup plan
to deal with such a situation. Investors took note of report that, All India
Bank Employees Association (AIBEA), representing the banking industry said that
concrete action is required by the Reserve Bank to address the cash crunch and
warned of a protest on the issue. However, markets pared almost all of their
early losses in last leg of trade with traders getting some solace with the
private report that PE investments witnessed a robust 46 per cent jump in deal
values at $1.3 billion in March, taking the total tally for the first quarter
of 2018 to $4 billion, up 76 per cent over the same period a year ago. The
report added that there were 59 PE transactions worth $1.3 billion in March
this year, while in the corresponding period last year it stood at $888 million
by way of 70 deals. Investors also got some comfort with private report showing
that India has been recording the highest growth rate amongst the Brazil,
Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) economies. Finally, the BSE
Sensex shed 11.71 points or 0.03% to 34,415.58, while the CNX Nifty was up by
1.25 points or 0.01% to 10564.05.
The US markets closed lower on
Friday, as weakness in technology and consumer staples shares offset the latest
batch of corporate earnings, which largely continued to beat expectations. The
selling pressure intensified as the yield on the 10-year Treasury note hit a
more-than-four-year high. The main benchmarks still posted modest weekly gains,
however. San Francisco Fed President John Williams said that continued gradual
rate increases are the right forecast for the Federal Reserve for the next
couple years amid stronger US and global economic growth, fiscal stimulus, a
strong labor market, better wage growth and stable inflation. Williams added
that he is not very concerned about the flat yield curve that some investors
worry is an early signal of a coming economic slowdown. The yield curve will
likely steepen as the Fed trims its balance sheet and as the federal government
issues more debt to fund fiscal stimulus. Meanwhile, Chicago Federal Reserve
Bank President Charles Evans said the narrow gap between long-term and
short-term borrowing costs, sometimes seen as a warning of a slowdown ahead, is
not a matter of particular concern to him. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost 201.95 points or 0.82 percent to 24,462.94, the Nasdaq dropped 91.93
points or 1.27 percent to 7,146.13, and the S&P 500 was down by 22.99
points or 0.85 percent to 2,670.14.
Crude oil
futures edged higher on Friday shrugging off earlier weakness sparked by a
tweet from U.S. President Donald Trump, to finish higher for the week. Trump
had taken to Twitter early Friday to blame the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) for artificially high prices. However, OPEC
ministers were quick to respond to Trump's tweet, with Saudi energy minister
Khalid al-Falih saying there is not such a thing as artificial prices.
Meanwhile, Baker Hughes reported that the number of active U.S. rigs drilling
for oil, a key metric of activity in the sector, rose for a third-straight
week. Benchmark crude oil futures for May delivery gained 9 cents or 0.1
percent to settle at $68.38 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. June
Brent crude gained 28 cents or 0.4 percent to settle at $74.06 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee breached the psychological 65/dollar mark to hit its lowest in thirteen
month on Friday, on the back of consistent demand for the greenback from
state-run banks and importers. The sentiments remained under pressure going by
the minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) which showed that an
increase in interest rates might just be round the corner. The common concern
is the impact on inflation of the proposed increase in minimum support prices,
the fiscal situation, and the delayed impact of house rent allowances mandated
by the pay panel. Some concern also came with International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Chief Christine Lagarde's statement that India is unlikely to carry on same
speed of major economic reforms in an election year. Besides, stronger dollar
sentiment overseas along with lackluster trade in the equity markets also
predominantly pressurised the local unit. On the global front, dollar headed
higher against most rival currencies on Friday, lifted by rising U.S. Treasury
yields, which came on the back of a rally in commodity prices that has pushed
up inflation expectations. Finally, the rupee ended at 66.09, 29 paise weaker
from its previous close of 65.80 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 4857.16 crore against gross selling of Rs 5503.73 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 921.04 crore with gross sales
of Rs 2872.29 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
0.15 crore against gross selling of Rs 0.92 crore.
The US markets
ended lower on Friday as traders remained on sidelines ahead of on reports on
new and existing home sales, consumer confidence, durable goods orders and
first quarter GDP. All the Asian markets were trading in red as investors kept
an eye on rising U.S. Treasury yields and digested declines in technology
stocks seen stateside. Indian stock market ended flat on Friday, with a largely
negative trend in global markets and speculation about a rate hike by RBI
prompting investors to tread cautiously. Today, the markets are likely to make
negative start amid weak global cues. Traders will also remain on sidelines ahead
of an informal meeting between Prime Minister Modi and China's Xi Jinping and
developments around the impeachment notice against Chief Justice of India Dipak
Misra. However, traders will get some support later in the day with Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) Governor Urjit Patel's statement that India's real GDP
growth is expected to expand at 7.4 per cent in 2018-19, with risks evenly
balanced. HE added that several factors are expected to help accelerate the
pace of growth in 2018-19. There are now clearer signs that the revival in
investment activity will be sustained. Some support will also come with
Economic Affairs Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg's statement that India is
poised to remain as the fastest growing large economy in the world. In 2018, we
expect India to grow at over 7.4 percent. He added that India's GDP is expected
to reach a volume of $5 trillion by FY2025 by leveraging on digitisation,
globalisation, favourable demographics and structural reforms. Meanwhile, IMF
said Global investors feel that the Indian elephant is ready to run after
sustained economic reforms. There will be buzz in stocks related to steel
sector on report that India's crude steel output is expected to soar by 38 per
cent to 140 million tonnes (MT) by the end of this year. There will be some
important earnings announcements too, to keep the markets buzzing.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,564.05
|
10,533.55
|
10,588.45
|
BSE Sensex
|
34,415.58
|
34,322.14
|
34,498.18
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Hindalco
|
233.15
|
262.10
|
256.40
|
265.65
|
Yes Bank
|
218.01
|
308.55
|
303.83
|
315.48
|
ICICI Bank
|
197.46
|
282.15
|
277.85
|
288.30
|
SBI
|
155.47
|
241.20
|
238.52
|
244.87
|
Vedanta
|
135.36
|
308.60
|
304.48
|
311.23
|
M&M's step down arm has incorporated Mahindra Susten Bangladesh in Dhaka, Bangladesh under the laws of Bangladesh on April 19, 2018.
TCS has reported a rise of 4.48% in its consolidated net profit at Rs 6,904 crore for Q4FY18 as compared to Rs 6,608 crore for Q4FY17.
Indiabulls Housing Finance has reported a rise of 22.58% in its consolidated net profit at Rs 1,030.37 crore for Q4FY18 as compared to Rs 840.54 crore for Q4FY17.
Yes Bank has received RBI's approval to open two representative offices in London and Singapore.