Indian equity markets commenced
the week on a sluggish note as the benchmarks showcased an unenthusiastic
performance on Monday and settled with moderate cuts of over quarter percent.
Marketmen turned cautious over the Centre's future reform policies in view of
appointment of Yogi Adityanath as the Chief Minister of the country's most
populous state. The MP from Gorakhpur, who lacks administrative experience, was
unanimously elected the BJP legislature party leader at a meeting of the newly
elected MLAs, in a move that took many by surprise. Sentiments remained subdued
with a report that the all India Consumer Sentiments Index, measured by the BSE
and CMIE, has hit a one-year low at 92.25 compared to 99.65 a year ago. This
comes even as the wholesale price index based inflation jumped up to a 39-month
high of 6.55%. However, losses remained capped with the report that the Cabinet
approved four bills to implement a planned Goods and Services Tax (GST) bills,
paving the way for Prime Minister Narendra Modi to implement the landmark tax
reform from July. The four bills are likely to be taken up by Parliament this
week and a separate state GST bill in state assemblies later. Some support also
came with the report that the implementation of GST is likely to be fiscally
neutral and its impact on inflation is expected to be less than 20 basis
points. Further, India has begun the process of dismantling some of the last
remaining controls in the foreign direct investment (FDI) framework. The
department of economic affairs (DEA) has floated a draft Cabinet note for
inter-ministerial consultation to scrap the Foreign Investment Promotion Board
(FIPB), in line with a plan announced by finance minister Arun Jaitley in his
February 1 budget. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 130.25 points or 0.44% to
29518.74, while the CNX Nifty was down by 33.20 points or 0.36% to
9,126.85.
The US markets closed mostly
lower on Monday, as investors were reluctant to make big bets without major
economic or corporate news. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that the
Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates twice more this year after
a policy tightening last week and it could be more or less aggressive depending
on inflation and fiscal policies from the Trump administration. The public
comments from Evans were among the first since the US central bank lifted its
policy rate a notch last week, as expected. It also forecast roughly two more
moves in 2017 in a nod to low unemployment and some inflation pressures. Evans,
who is a voter on the Fed's policy-setting committee this year and supported
last week's move, also echoed a comment from Fed Chair Janet Yellen that
suggested the central bank could try to push inflation, now at 1.7 percent,
above a 2-percent target. On the economy front, the Chicago Fed national
activity index rose more-than-expected last month. Federal Reserve Bank of
Chicago said that Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to a seasonally
adjusted 0.34, from -0.02 in the preceding month whose figure was revised up
from -0.05. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 8.76 points or 0.04 percent
to 20,905.86, S&P 500 dropped 4.78 points or 0.20 percent to 2,373.47,
while the Nasdaq was up 0.53 points or 0.01 percent to 5,901.53.
Crude oil futures slumped on
Monday to their lowest level since the end of November despite reports that OPEC may extend its
supply quota experiment beyond this year. OPEC members are cutting production in
an effort to drive up oil prices, but a robust U.S. output has prevented any
significant rally. Benchmark crude oil futures for May delivery declined by $0.56
or 1.2% to $48.22 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude
for May delivery ended down by $0.31 at $51.45 on the ICE.
Indian
rupee ended stronger against dollar on Monday, due to increased selling of the
American currency by banks and exporters. Local currency got some support with
the report that the implementation of GST is likely to be fiscally neutral and
its impact on inflation is expected to be less than 20 basis points. Moreover,
Foreign investors pumped in $3.4 billion in the capital markets so far this
month, buoyed by expectations that BJP's landslide poll victory is a precursor
to “bold reformist policies” by the government. Besides, dollar weakness
against some currencies overseas also added to the positive milieu of Indian
currency. On the global front, sterling hit a three-week high against dollar on
Monday, as a bringing-forward of expectations for when the Bank of England will
hike interest rates drove investors to reconsider their record-high bets
against the pound. Finally, the rupee ended at 65.36, 11 paise stronger from
its previous close of 65.47 on Friday.
The
FIIs as per Monday's data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 11445.07 crore against gross selling
of Rs 9845.05 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
1512.13 crore with gross sales of Rs 1175.91 crore.
The US markets went through
another lackluster session and ended flat with a negative bias, as many traders
stuck to the sidelines amid a quiet day on the U.S. economic front and shrugged
off disappointment with the outcome of the G20 meeting. The Asian markets have
made mostly a positive start and barring the Japanese market, which opened
after a long weekend, all are trading in green as the dollar declined after Federal
Reserve officials reignited the debate on the timing of further policy
tightening. The Indian markets declined in last session following the weakness
in Asian counterparts and disappointed by the outcome of the G20 summit over
the weekend in Germany on trade and climate change. Today, the start is likely
to be in green and some recovery can be seen as the Asian peers have made a
positive start. Traders will be getting support with Cabinet clearing four
supporting GST legislations, paving the way for their introduction in
Parliament. Once approved by Parliament, the states would start taking their
SGST bill for discussion and passage in the respective state assemblies. There
will be some somberness in defence, ports and coal sector stocks on report
that, as many as five sectors including them failed to attract any foreign
direct investments during the April-December period of the current fiscal.
There will be buzz from the primary market too, where the much awaited Avenue
Supermarts, the operator of retail chain D-Mart will get listed. The company's
Rs 1,870 crore initial public offering got overwhelming response.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
9126.85
|
9106.23
|
9157.53
|
BSE Sensex
|
29518.74
|
29434.27
|
29651.35
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
IDEA
|
2008.30
|
97.70
|
85.53
|
116.68
|
ITC
|
158.97
|
281.90
|
278.40
|
284.80
|
ICICI Bank
|
110.48
|
275.05
|
272.80
|
278.50
|
SBI
|
96.78
|
273.90
|
272.22
|
275.17
|
Hindalco
|
71.07
|
196.20
|
192.87
|
198.32
|
NTPC has commissioned the 2nd unit of 660 MW of Mouda Super Thermal Power Station Stage-II.
ONGC has inked definitive agreements to buy out debt-ridden GSPC's entire 80% stake in KG-basin natural gas block for $1.2 billion.
Tata Motors has launched its ‘lifestyle vehicle' HEXA in Jammu and Kashmir.
BHEL has successfully commissioned another 660 MW supercritical thermal unit in Maharashtra.