Meltdown continued in Indian
equity markets on Wednesday, with Sensex and Nifty closing lower by over 5.55%
each. The start of the day was on a positive note, as a research report by
State Bank of India stated that a combination of monetary as well as fiscal
policy measures are called for to salvage the economy from the collateral
damage from the fallout of the spread of coronavirus disease-COVID-19. However,
key indices soon turned negative, after S&P Global Ratings lowered India's
economic growth forecast to 5.2% for 2020, saying the global economy is
entering a recession amid the coronavirus pandemic. Bears hold their tight grip
over the Dalal Street throughout the trading day, on the back of weak cues from
the global markets. Market participants paid no heed towards Fitch Solutions'
latest report stating that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to cut
key interest rates by 175 basis points (bps) during the fiscal year starting
April 1, up from earlier estimate of 40 bps reduction, in order to combat the
economic shock from the coronavirus outbreak. As per Fitch Solutions, India's
real GDP growth is likely to pick up slightly to 5.4 per cent in 2020-21, from
its estimate of 4.9 per cent in the current fiscal. Finally, the BSE Sensex
slipped 1709.58 points or 5.59% to 28,869.51, while the CNX Nifty was down by
498.25 points or 5.56% to 8,468.80.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average finishing below the
psychologically important 20,000 level for the first time since February 2017,
as investors continued to dump equities and other assets on worries over the economic
impact of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Trading was briefly suspended after a
circuit breaker was tripped up. A circuit breaker halts trading across the US
stock exchanges for 15 minutes and is meant to ensure orderly market behavior.
Wednesday marked the fourth time in a week that a circuit breaker was
triggered. Meanwhile, the number of confirmed US coronavirus cases has jumped
to more than 6,400, while the death count has broken above 100. Substantial
weakness was visible among housing stocks, as reflected by the 12.6 percent
nosedive by the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index. Energy, steel, semiconductor
and banking stocks also saw considerable weakness on the day, moving sharply
lower along with the other major sectors. Further, Gold stocks showed a
substantial move to the downside on the day, dragging the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs
Index down by 13.6 percent. The sell-off by gold stocks came amid a steep drop
by the price of the precious metal, as gold for April delivery plunged $47.90
to $1,477.90 an ounce. However, markets
came off their lows in the final minutes of trading after the Senate obtained
the votes to pass a coronavirus relief plan to expand paid leave.
Crude oil futures ended to their
lowest level in about 18 years on Wednesday as countries continued to lock down
to slow the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, while Saudi Arabia and Russia
remain on track to flood the world with crude in a global price war. Besides,
Oil prices lost more ground after data from the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) revealed an eighth consecutive weekly rise in US crude
supplies. US crude supplies rose by 2 million barrels for the week ended March
13. However, the EIA data showed supply declines of 6.2 million barrels for
gasoline and 2.9 million barrels for distillates. Crude oil futures for April
plunged $6.58 or 24 percent to settle at $20.37 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. May Brent crude fell $3.85 or 13 percent to settle at
$24.88 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee pared most of its early losses but still weakened marginally against the
American currency on Wednesday, due to fresh dollar demand from banks and
importers. Investor sentiment remained fragile amid concerns over the impact of
coronavirus. Some concern also came as S&P Global Ratings lowered India's
economic growth forecast to 5.2% for 2020, saying the global economy is
entering a recession amid the coronavirus pandemic. However, traders took some
support with Fitch Solutions' report that it expects the Reserve Bank of India
to cut key interest rates by 175 basis points during the fiscal year starting
April 1, up from earlier estimate of 40 bps reduction, to combat the economic
shock from the coronavirus outbreak. It also forecast India's real GDP growth
to pick up slightly to 5.4 percent in 2020-21, from its estimate of 4.9 percent
in the current fiscal. On the global front, dollar extended its gains on
Wednesday and hit new multi-year highs against both the Australian and New
Zealand dollars, as companies and investors worried by the coronavirus outbreak
rushed to the world's most liquid currency. The last traded price of rupee was
74.26, 2 paise weaker from its previous close of 74.24 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7047.88 crore against gross selling of Rs 10710.84 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 722.68 crore with gross
sales of Rs 8894.46 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 6.92 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.41 crore.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Wednesday as the widening repercussions of the coronavirus pandemic
threatened to cripple economic activity. Asian markets are trading deeply in
red on Thursday following sharp losses on Wall Street overnight. Indian markets
ended near their lowest levels in three years on Wednesday led by heavy selling
in banking and finance stocks. Today, the start of session is likely to be
gap-down tracking sell-off in the global markets amid COVID-19 outbreak.
Traders will be concerned as the number of coronavirus cases continued to pile
up. Italy reported 475 new deaths from the novel coronavirus on Wednesday- the
highest single-day official toll of any nation since the first case was
detected in China late last year. Besides, India reported its 151st coronavirus
patient on Wednesday. There will be some cautiousness as exporters body Federation
of Indian Export Organsations (FIEO) said export sector has started feeling the
pinch of the outbreak of coronavirus as international buyers are asking to hold
back shipments. Meanwhile, the finance ministry's data showed that total
liabilities of the government increased to Rs 93.89 lakh crore at the end of
December 2019, up 3.2 percent as compared to the previous quarter. Though,
Markets may take some support later in the day as the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) said it would buy Rs 10,000 crore of bonds from the secondary market to
keep the market liquid, even as it infused Rs 25,000 crore of liquidity through
long-term repo operations (LTRO). Meanwhile, the government is considering rate
moderation for small savings schemes in the upcoming quarter, a development
that could lead to speedier transmission of monetary policy rate cuts. There
will be some reaction in aviation stocks with a private report that India is
planning a rescue package worth as much as $1.6 billion for the aviation
sector, which has been battered after the coronavirus outbreak forced countries
to close borders and brought air travel to a near-halt.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
8,468.80
|
8,208.05
|
8,928.55
|
BSE Sensex
|
28,869.51
|
27,954.45
|
30,443.17
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
3,641.52
|
60.45
|
44.47
|
81.87
|
Oil & Natural Gas
Corporation
|
1,785.93
|
68.15
|
54.83
|
84.13
|
State Bank of India
|
1,014.05
|
215.20
|
202.48
|
225.53
|
NTPC
|
886.60
|
80.55
|
73.52
|
88.97
|
IndusInd Bank
|
748.68
|
460.80
|
344.12
|
608.17
|
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