Markets managed to close volatile
session on optimistic note on Monday, as both the larger peers, Sensex and
Nifty logged the gains of 0.38% each. The markets started on the cautious note,
amid weak macro-economic data. India's industrial production measured by Index
of Industrial Production (IIP) slowed down to a three-month low of 4.3% in the
month of August 2018, as compared to 6.6% in the previous month and 4.8% in the
same of last year, while retail inflation based on Consumer Price Index (CPI)
inched up to 3.77% in the month of September 2018, as compared to a 10-month
low of 3.69% recorded in August 2018 and 3.28% in September 2018. Sentiments
were pessimistic with SEBI's data report that capital garnered by Indian companies
through issuance of shares to institutional investors dived by 78% to Rs 7,000
crore during the April-August period of the financial year 2018-19 as compared
to Rs 31,153 crore raised during the corresponding period of the previous
financial year. Traders also took a note of Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's)
data report that the country's foreign exchange reserves declined by $915.8
million to $399.609 billion in the week to October 5 on account of a fall in
foreign currency assets. The trade remained lackluster, after India's Wholesale
price index (WPI) inflation also halted two-month easing trend in the month of
September 2018, coming in line with rising retail inflation. As per the latest
data released by the government, WPI surged to 5.13% in September from 4.53% in
August and 3.14% during the corresponding month of the previous year. Adding
some concerns, rating agency Moody's in its latest report said that Non-bank
financial institutions (NBFI) will be significantly impacted if the liquidity
distress in the country's capital markets, triggered by the default in
September 2018 of IL&FS, prolongs for an extended period of time. However,
in the last leg of the trade, the key indices erased all of their losses to
settle the day in green terrain, supported by SBI Ecowrap report that the RBI
is not expected to hike key lending rates in the current fiscal. The market
participants got relief with credit rating agency Crisil Research's report
expecting the corporate revenue growth to grow by around 12% for the quarter
ended September 30, 2018. This would mark the fourth consecutive quarter of
double-digit growth. Finally, the BSE Sensex surged 131.52 points or 0.38% to
34,865.10, while the CNX Nifty was up by 40.00 points or 0.38% to 10,512.50.
The US markets ended a choppy
trading session on negative note on Monday as an increase in tensions between
Western powers and Saudi Arabia added to worries over rising borrowing costs
and the impact of tariffs. Geopolitical tensions were another worry for
investors, starting with Saudi Arabia, which is locked in a diplomatic spat
with the US. On Sunday, President Donald Trump threatened severe punishment for
the Saudis if any connection was found between the kingdom and a missing
dissident journalist. That country responded with an immediate threat to
retaliate, sparking a rally for oil prices. Investors also remained cautious
after the Commerce Department released a report showing much weaker than expected
US retail sales growth in the month of September. The Commerce Department said
retail sales inched up by 0.1 percent in September, matching the uptick seen in
August. Excluding a rebound in auto sales, retail sales edged down by 0.1
percent in September after rising by a downwardly revised 0.2 percent in
August. Ex-auto sales had been expected to rise by 0.3 percent, matching the
increase originally reported for the previous month. A separate report released
by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed the pace of growth in New York
manufacturing activity accelerated by more than anticipated in the month of
October. The New York Fed said its general business conditions index rose to
21.1 in October from 19.0 in September, with a positive reading indicating
growth in regional manufacturing activity. Dow Jones Industrial Average
declined 89.44 points or 0.35 percent to 25,250.55, Nasdaq slipped 66.15 points
or 0.88 percent to 7,430.74 and S&P 500 was down by 16.34 points or 0.59
percent to 2,750.79.
Crude oil futures ended higher
for second straight session on Monday amid speculation about a likely drop in
demand due to the impact of the US-China trade dispute on global economic
growth. President Donald Trump threatened severe punishment if an investigation
finds the kingdom in any way involved in the disappearance of dissident Saudi
journalist Jamal Khashoggi, who was last seen entering the Saudi consulate in
Istanbul on October 2. Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for demand this
year and next, as it showed rising OPEC and Russian production. Benchmark crude
oil futures for November gained 44 cents or 0.6 percent to settle at $71.78 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. December Brent crude was up by 35
cents or 0.4 percent to settle at $80.78 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchanged.
Breaking
its three-day winning streak, Indian rupee ended weaker against the American
currency on Monday, tracking losses in Asian currencies as crude oil prices
increased. The forex market sentiments were also impacted by the Central
Statistics Office's (CSO) data showed that India's retail inflation rate
slightly rose to 3.77% in September as compared to 3.69% in August, driven by
higher food, fuel prices and a depreciating rupee. On the other hand, the country's
industrial output eased in August with a slower rise of 4.3% as compared to
6.52% in July. Market-men also remain concerned with data showing that
inflation based on wholesale prices rose to a two-month high of 5.13 per cent
in September, mainly due to hardening of food prices and rise in cost of petrol
and diesel. Besides, weak dollar against some currencies overseas also failed
to cast any impact on the rupee. On the global front, yen hit a one-month high
on Monday as rising geopolitical tension and investor anxiety about the global
economy left investors skittish at the start of the week. Finally, the rupee
ended at 73.83, 26 paise weaker from its previous close of 73.57 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 4982.32 crore against gross selling of Rs 6090.37 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 111.80 crore with gross sales
of Rs 1667.52 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, there was no gross buying
and selling.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as tech companies continued to slide. Besides, US- Saudi trade tension
weighed down on investors' sentiments. Asian markets were trading in green on
Tuesday as moves in Treasury yields remained muted for a second session. Indian
markets ended higher for second straight session on Monday on the back of value
buying in bluechip stocks in the last leg of trade, despite disappointing
macro-economic data and uninterrupted foreign fund outflows. Today, the markets
are likely to make positive start amid firm Asian cues. Investors shifted their
focus to September quarter earnings from global trade and geopolitical
tensions. Traders will be getting some encouragement with report that India's
trade deficit declined to a five-month low in September even as exports
contracted, providing some respite from the rising gap that has sparked concern
about the current account deficit (CAD). Trade deficit declined to $13.98
billion in September from $17.39 billion in August following slower growth in
imports. Besides, exports were pegged at $27.95 billion in September, down
2.15% from a year ago, while imports rose 10.45% to $41.9 billion, lowest in
five months. However, there may be some cautiousness with markets regulator
Securities and Exchange Board of India's (SEBI) data showing that listed Indian
companies raised over Rs 2 lakh crore in April-September this fiscal through
private placement of corporate bonds, registering a sharp decline of 38% from
the year-ago level. As per the data, in the entire 2017-18 fiscal, the capital
raked in through the route stood at Rs 6 lakh crore. There will be some buzz in
non-bank financial companies (NBFCs) stocks with Moody's Investors Service's
statement that Indian NBFCs will be significantly impacted if the liquidity
distress in the country's capital markets, triggered by the default in
September 2018 of IL&FS, prolongs for an extended period of time. There
will be some important earnings announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,512.50
|
10,439.67
|
10,555.82
|
BSE Sensex
|
34,865.10
|
34,613.84
|
35,062.51
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
246.94
|
246.00
|
241.50
|
250.55
|
ICICI Bank
|
237.56
|
313.35
|
309.30
|
317.65
|
SBI
|
219.66
|
263.20
|
260.97
|
265.57
|
HPCL
|
186.32
|
212.50
|
205.03
|
219.38
|
ITC
|
179.33
|
282.50
|
277.80
|
285.40
|
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories has entered into a definitive agreement for the sale of its API manufacturing business unit located in Jeedimetla in Hyderabad, to Therapiva.
L&T's Heavy Engineering arm has secured additional orders worth Rs 1,050 crore in Q2 FY19 against stiff global competition.
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is going to invest an additional Rs 200 crore at its Assam plant to augment operations.
IndusInd Bank has reported 4.56% rise in its net profit at Rs 920.25 crore for Q2FY19 as compared to Rs 880.10 crore for Q2FY18.