Indian equity benchmarks ended
the lackluster day of trade with marginal losses, as traders opted to book some
of their profits after yesterday's rally. Frontline gauges swung between green and
red throughout the day, as traders remained cautious ahead of the US Federal
Reserve's rate decision. The Fed is almost universally expected to raise its
benchmark interest rates, but investors are keen on seeing how much more
tightening will happen this year. Traders remained on sidelines as the
likelihood of a repo rate cut in April 2017 remained subdued. Those hoping that
the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) would slash interest rates going ahead may just
have to wait further as the inflation may have come back to haunt the economy.
Higher food, fuel, non-fuel commodities and power prices, and playing out of
base effect in February had led to both Wholesale Price Index (WPI) and
Consumer Price Index (CPI) or retail inflation soaring northwards to 6.55% and
3.65%, respectively. The WPI inflation was highest in 39 months, while the
retail inflation was at a 4-month high. However, losses remained capped as
Moody's Investors Service said that BJP's thumping victory in Uttar Pradesh and
substantial gains made in other states will facilitate reforms as the ruling
party inches closer to a majority in Upper House. It added that the 2017 state
election results in India demonstrate broad-based popular support for the
Indian government's policy agenda and will facilitate the implementation of
further reforms, a credit positive for the sovereign. Sharp rally in rupee hurt
the shares of software companies. The rupee climbed at 65.40 per dollar on
Wednesday, its strongest since November 2015, compared with its previous close
of 65.80. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 44.52 points or 0.15% to 29398.11,
while the CNX Nifty was down by 2.20 points or 0.02% to 9084.80.
The US markets closed higher on
Wednesday, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the third time
since December 2015. The Fed increased its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis
points, noting that headline inflation is moving close to its 2% target. The
dot plot, a table of policy makers' projections for short-term rates, showed
more unity among the central bankers about their interest-rate forecast and
indicated two more hikes this year. The overall tone of the Fed statement
wasn't too aggressive, putting to rest some market concerns of a more hawkish
central bank. The Fed's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
voted to raise the key federal funds rate to a range of 0.75-1.0 percent. On
the economy front, a gauge of New York-area manufacturing remained close to
two-year high levels in March. The Empire State manufacturing survey slipped to
16.4 in March, down only 2.3 points from 18.7 in February. The new-orders index
climbed 7.8 points to 21.3 in March, its highest level in several years. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average added 112.73 points or 0.54 percent to 20,950.10,
the Nasdaq was up 43.23 points or 0.74 percent to 5,900.05, while S&P 500
gained 19.81 points or 0.84 percent to 2,385.26.
Crude oil futures snapping the
seven session declining streak rebounded on Wednesday, after the government
data confirmed a surprising drop in U.S. oil inventories. Energy Information
Department said that stockpiles dwindled slightly from record highs last week.
The International Energy Administration (IEA), meanwhile, said OPEC cuts should
end the global supply glut in the first half of 2017. It acknowledged global
inventories rose in January for the first time in six months due to soaring US
production, but they still predict a deficit of 500,000 barrels per day (bpd)
in the first half. Benchmark crude oil futures for May delivery surged by $0.74
or 2.4 percent to $48.86 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent
crude for May delivery ended up by $0.91 at $51.82 on the ICE.
Indian
rupee strengthened for the third straight session to hit its highest level
since November 2015, against the US dollar on Wednesday on continued dollar
selling by banks and exporters amid hopes of increased foreign investments in
equities. Sentiments also boosted after results over the weekend showed that
the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) scored an overwhelming win in the key
northern state of Uttar Pradesh. Besides, dollar weakness overseas too gave the
rupee an upper hand. However, gains remained capped with the data showed that
retail inflation rose to a 4-month high of 3.65 per cent in February and wholesale
prices shot up to a 39-month high of 6.55 per cent. On the global front, US
dollar traded in a narrow rage against yen as investors await the outcome of
the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting later in the day. Finally, the
rupee ended at 65.69, 13 paise stronger from its previous close of 65.82 on
Tuesday.
The
FIIs as per Wednesday's data were net buyers in equity segment, while they were
net sellers in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs
10237.09 crore against gross selling of Rs 5927.60 crore, while in the debt
segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1144.60 crore with gross sales of Rs
1153.81 crore.
The US markets bounced back in
last session; with all the major bourses posting gains of over half a percent after
the Fed announced its decision to raise the target range for the federal funds
rate by 25 basis points to 0.75 to 1 percent. The Asian markets have made
mostly a positive start, tailing the overnight cues from the US markets after
the dollar tumbled as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates without
accelerating its timeline for future tightening. The Indian markets
consolidated in the last session, coming a bit off the highs seen in previous
one. Today, the start is likely to be strong tailing the positive global cues,
while the traders will also be getting support with reports of India's exports
exhibiting a double digit growth of 17.48 percent, valued at $ 24.5 billion in
February compared to $ 20.84 billion during the same month last year on
increase in shipments of non-petroleum, non gems and jewellery products.
Meanwhile, the government on Wednesday launched a new scheme - TIES - for
developing export linked infrastructure in states with a view to promote
outbound shipments. In other positive development the GST Council is likely to
endorse supplementary legislations needed for implementation of the goods and
service tax (GST) regime. It may also take up capping the cess to be levied on
demerit goods like luxury cars and tobacco products for creation of a corpus
that will be used for compensating states for any loss of revenue from GST
implementation in the first five years. There will be some buzz in the banking
stocks, as the Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has said, the government would
consider setting up multiple oversight committees under the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) to examine the cases of non-performing assets (NPAs) referred by
banks.
Support and Resistance: NSE
(Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
9084.80
|
9071.35
|
9102.40
|
BSE Sensex
|
29398.11
|
29337.99
|
29479.16
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
IDEA
|
629.82
|
113.10
|
105.32
|
118.67
|
SBI
|
200.52
|
277.35
|
273.17
|
281.02
|
ITC
|
139.36
|
268.20
|
265.37
|
270.87
|
ICICI Bank
|
121.91
|
285.15
|
283.83
|
286.73
|
Bank of Baroda
|
117.09
|
166.50
|
162.17
|
169.27
|
Larsen & Tourbo's wholly-owned subsidiary - L&T Realty has executed a share purchase agreement for selling its entire stake in L&T South City Projects to Pragnya group for Rs 190 crore.
Bharti Airtel has launched its 4G services in Jammu & Kashmir, completing a national rollout.
Wipro has launched 'Wipro HOLMES Cloud BOT', a continuously learning digital consultant, that leverages Wipro's BoundaryLess Data Center solution.
BHEL has commenced commercial operation of its first 800 MW unit - highest-rating coal-based supercritical thermal power plant.