Indian equity benchmarks reversed
their entire losses to end marginally higher on Monday's trading session. The
start of the day was negative, amid report that the US and Indian trade
negotiators ended talks on Friday without making major progress on a range of
disputes over tariffs and other protectionist measures imposed by both sides
that are straining bilateral ties. As per the report, Friday's talks were more
about understanding each other's positions in various disputes. Market
participants also remained cautious, amid reports that presence of multiple
regulators with disparate priorities is hindering the growth of the all
important corporate bond market in India. Key indices traded lackluster
throughout the day, tracking weak global markets. Domestic sentiments were sluggish
during trading session, as private brokerage firm massively cut its GDP
forecast for India to a low 4.9 percent for the year from 5.7 percent earlier,
saying the economy is going through a deeper trough and even a sub-par recovery
is at least a year away. However, in the last leg of the trade, key indices
staged recovery, taking support from report that India Inc believes that Indian
economy possesses strong fundamentals and will revive on account of various
reform measures taken by the government. Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 21.47
points or 0.05% to 40,345.08, while the CNX Nifty was up by 5.30 points or
0.04% to 11,913.45.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Tuesday after President Donald Trump suggested a trade deal with
China could happen soon but did not offer clarity on a rollback of import
tariffs. Trump claimed credit for economic growth, low unemployment, and a
stock market at record highs, but again attacked Federal Reserve monetary
policy before claiming that a US - China trade deal was close. He also blamed
Fed policy tightening for impeding the economy's progress and the benefits of
his tax cuts. Stocks showed a lack of direction over the course of the trading
session on Tuesday, extending the lackluster performance seen over the two
previous sessions. Reports suggested Trump may put off for another six months a
decision on whether to place tariffs of up to 25% on European auto imports,
ahead of the Wednesday deadline. Besides, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard
Clarida theorized about global bond yields remaining around historically lower
levels that are substantially lower than the precrisis experience, and thus
substantially closer to the effective lower bound for the policy rate than they
were before the crisis.
Extending their previous
session's losses, crude oil futures ended marginally lower on Tuesday as a
speech at the Economic Club of New York from President Donald Trump failed to
offer any market-moving insights related to progress on trade talks between
China and the US. Trump threatened to substantially raise tariffs on China if a
deal between Beijing and Washington DC is not reached. He also said a US-China
trade deal could happen soon, and that a phase one agreement was close, but
wasn't specific about when the nations may sign an agreement. Benchmark crude
oil futures for December lost 6 cents or 0.1 percent to settle at $56.80 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. January Brent declined 12 cents or
0.2 percent to settle at $62.06 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Extending
weakness for the second day, Indian rupee ended lower against dollar on Monday,
as good demand for the greenback from importers. Traders remain concerned as a
private report massively cut its GDP forecast for India to a low 4.9 percent
for the year from 5.7 percent earlier, saying the economy is going through a
deeper trough and even a sub-par recovery is at least a year away. Some concern
also came with report that the US and Indian trade negotiators ended talks on
Friday without making major progress on a range of disputes over tariffs and
other protectionist measures imposed by both sides that are straining bilateral
ties. Traders were also looking forward to the index of industrial production
(IIP) data for September scheduled to be announced after the market hours. On
the global front, euro held steady against the US dollar on Monday after
matching a four-week low earlier as the greenback maintained its gains on
optimism that the United States and China would roll back tariffs that have
hurt global growth. Finally, the rupee ended at 71.47, 19 paise weaker from its
previous close of 71.28 on Friday.
The
FIIs as per Monday's data were net buyers in equity segment, while they were
net sellers in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs
10593.95 crore against gross selling of Rs 5259.94 crore, while in the debt
segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 459.86 crore with gross sales of Rs
629.51 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 1.41
crore against gross selling of Rs 4.56 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday led by strong gains in Disney and Facebook amid remarks from President
Donald Trump, who hinted at Chinese enthusiasm for a trade deal. Asian markets
are trading in red on Wednesday on growing worries US-China trade talks are
stalling after President Donald Trump failed to deliver any new information
about when the two countries would sign a trade deal. Indian markets ended
choppy trading session in green on Monday as banking stocks gained ground,
offsetting losses in the information technology and healthcare sectors. Markets
remained shut on Tuesday on account of Gurunanak Jayanti. Today, the start of session
is likely to be in red amid lackluster cues from Asian peers and weak IIP
numbers. In signs of continuing weakness in the economy, India's factory output
shrank to the lowest level in eight years as all three broad-based sectors of
capital goods production, consumer durables, and infrastructure and
construction goods contracted. The Ministry of Statistics' data showed that the
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) fell 4.3% in September as compared to a
contraction by 1.1% in August 2019. The second straight month of contraction
has taken the IIP to its lowest level since it shrank by 5% in October 2011.
Besides, investors will be eyeing retail inflation numbers to be out later in
the day. Traders will be concern with an SBI research report sharply cut the
country's GDP growth forecast to 5% for FY 2019-20 from the earlier projection
of 6%. It said the second-quarter GDP growth rate is likely to slip to 4.2% on
account of low automobile sales, deceleration in air traffic movements,
flattening of core sector growth and declining investment in construction and
infrastructure. Besides, NCAER's Business Confidence Index (BCI), an indicator
of business sentiment across Indian industry, stood at 103.1 in the second
quarter of 2019-20, falling 15.3% quarter-on-quarter, despite a small reprieve
in July 2019. Auto stocks will be in focus with industry body Society of Indian
Automobile Manufacturers' (SIAM) statement that passenger vehicle sales in
India rose marginally by 0.28% to 2,85,027 units in October, from 2,84,223
units in the year-ago period, aided by positive festive season sentiment and
introduction of new models in utility vehicle space, just about managing to
snap 11 continuous months of decline in sales. It expressed hope that the
positive sentiment would continue in November and December as well, thus
helping the industry slowly come out of the slowdown. There will be some
reaction in chemicals and fertilizers stocks with union minister for chemicals
and fertilizers Sadananda Gowda's statement that the sector has the potential
to contribute over $300 billion to GDP over the next five years when the
economy is slated to scale the $5-trillion-mount.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,913.45
|
11,867.38
|
11,946.08
|
BSE Sensex
|
40,345.08
|
40,191.55
|
40,458.02
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
2,639.48
|
73.00
|
70.25
|
74.65
|
ICICI Bank
|
247.66
|
496.80
|
487.93
|
502.33
|
NTPC
|
229.43
|
118.25
|
116.75
|
120.75
|
Tata Motors
|
221.93
|
172.00
|
169.72
|
173.62
|
ZEEL
|
209.73
|
305.40
|
291.27
|
313.72
|
Bajaj Finserv through its lending arm Bajaj Finance has partnered with Narayana Nethralaya, with the aim to make clear vision available and affordable to everyone.
Maruti Suzuki India has cut its production by 20.7 percent in October.
Tata Motors' wholly owned subsidiary -- JLR has reported 5.5% fall in total sales at 41,866 units in October as compared with year-ago period.
L&T's construction arm has secured orders from prestigious clients across various Indian states for its varied businesses.