The Indian benchmarks witnessed
steep fall on Monday, with losses of around a percent, ahead of the release of
key macroeconomic data. The key indices made a firm start of the week, supported
by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data report that bank credit rose by a healthy
14.41% during the fortnight to October 26, despite the overall increase in
lending rates, for first time in over five years. The street was in positive
mood, as over Rs 11,900 crore has been released to the states by the Centre
from Goods and Services Tax (GST) compensation fund during August-September,
after regular and ad-hoc settlement of Integrated GST (IGST) fund. Some support
also came with a private report indicating that foreign investors have pumped
in nearly Rs 4,800 crore into the Indian capital markets in the last five
trading sessions, after pulling out hefty funds in October, amid cooling global
crude oil prices and rising rupee. Meanwhile, terming GST as a monumental
reform, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said that the new tax reform had only a
transient impact on growth and that too for two quarters. However, markets soon
turned volatile and traded in red for the most part of the session, impacted by
Federation of Indian Export Organisation (FIEO) President Ganesh Gupta's
statement that exports of over half of the 30 sectors closely monitored by the
Commerce Ministry were in the negative zone in September. Overall exports in
September were contracted by 2.15% to $27.95 billion mainly due to the base
impact. Some concerns also came among the local traders with former RBI
governor Raghuram Rajan's statement that demonetisation and the GST are the two
major headwinds that held back India's economic growth last year, asserting
that the current 7% growth rate is not enough to meet the country's needs.
Adding some anxiety, the RBI cancelled the certificate of registrations of as
many as 31 non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) on November 09 for unspecified
reasons. Domestic sentiments also got hit with a private report stating that
corporate earnings have failed to keep pace with the trajectory of nominal
gross domestic product (GDP) over the past 10 years. The combined net profit of
listed companies has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.1%,
against 12.9% growth in India's GDP at nominal prices during the period.
Finally, the BSE Sensex lost 345.56 points or 0.98% to 34,812.99, while the CNX
Nifty was down by 103.00 points or 0.97% to 10,482.20.
Extending losses for second
straight session, the US markets ended significantly lower on Monday, with all
the major indices losing around two percent each, after a big decline in Apple
shares, a rise in the US dollar and lingering worries about global trade weighed
on investor sentiment. Concerns about the outlook for global economic growth
and a continued increase in interest rates continued to dampened sentiments.
Apple shares tanked by 5 percent after Lumentum Holdings, which makes
technology for the iPhone's face-recognition function, cut its outlook for
fiscal second quarter 2019. Lumentum CEO Alan Lowe said one of its largest
customers asked the company to materially reduce shipments for its products.
Moreover, a strong dollar also pressured equities as investors worried about
what it would do to overseas sales for multinationals. Meanwhile, President
Donald Trump claimed the prospect of Presidential Harassment by the Dems is
causing the Stock Market big headaches. Light trading activity may have
exaggerated the downward move, however, as government offices, the bond
markets, and most banks were closed in observance of Veterans Day. Besides, a
lack of major US economic data also kept some traders on the sidelines ahead of
the release of reports on consumer price inflation, retail sales, and
industrial production in the coming days. A speech by Federal Reserve Chairman
Jerome Powell on November 14 is also likely to attract attention, as traders
look for additional clues about the outlook for interest rates. Dow Jones
Industrial Average slipped 602.12 points or 2.32 percent to 25,387.18, Nasdaq
fell 206.03 points or 2.78 percent to 7,200.87 and S&P 500 was down by
54.79 points or 1.97 percent to 2,726.22.
Crude oil futures wiped out early
gains and ended lower for eleventh straight session on Monday, with US
benchmark settling below $60 a barrel mark. Crude oil prices were higher on
reports that Saudi Arabia and other major producers are considering reductions
in crude output heading into 2019. However, traders turned cautious after
President Donald Trump said he hopes Saudi Arabia and Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) won't cut oil production and said oil
prices should be much lower based on supply. Benchmark crude oil futures for
December declined 26 cents or 0.4 percent to settle at $59.93 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. January Brent crude fell 6 cents or less than 0.1
percent to settle at $70.12 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Snapping
two days of winning streak, Indian rupee ended considerably weaker against the
American currency on Monday, owing to increased demand for the American
currency from importers amid increasing global crude oil prices. Sentiments
turned pessimistic with former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan's statement that
demonetisation and the GST are the two major headwinds that held back India's
economic growth last year, asserting that the current 7% growth rate is not
enough to meet the country's needs. Cautiousness also prevailed ahead of key
economic data -- September IIP and October CPI, which will be announced after
the market hours. Besides, the dollar's strength against some currencies
overseas and heavy losses in domestic equity markets also weighed on the
domestic unit. On the global front, dollar surged to nearly 17-month highs on Monday
against a basket of major currencies as investors sought out the liquid and
high-yielding currency against a backdrop of global growth worry and rising
political risk in Italy and Britain. Finally, the rupee ended at 72.89, 39
paise weaker from its previous close of 72.50 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 3078.09 crore against gross selling of Rs 5781.41 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 569.47 crore with gross sales
of Rs 929.54 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross selling was of Rs
0.14 crore against no buying.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday amid concerns about the outlook for global economic growth and including
oil-price swings. President Donald Trump claimed that the prospect of
Presidential Harassment by the Dems is causing the Stock Market big headaches.
Asian markets were trading lower on Tuesday. Japanese stocks are down more than
3% as a sell-off in US technology shares overnight and growing concerns over
cooling global economic growth spilled over into Asia. Domestic markets ended
with losses of around one percent in a highly volatile session on Monday. The
losses came in amid weakness in other Asian markets and rise in global oil
prices. Today, the start of the session is likely to be on negative side
tailing the weakness in other global markets. There will be some cautiousness
too, with industrial output growth slipping to 4.5 percent in September 2018 as
compared to 4.7 percent in the same month last year as the festival season
started late this year compared to 2017. Growth faltered as the output of
capital goods and mining expanded at a slower pace in September than in the
previous month. However, markets will be getting encouragement latter part of
trade in the day with the consumer price index (CPI) inflation easing to 3.31
percent in the month of October 2018 as compared to 3.58 percent in October
2017 on low food prices. The retail inflation number is the lowest since
September 2017 when it touched 3.28 percent. Also, the prices of vegetables
fell by 8.06 percent in the month of October in comparison to a 4.15 percent
contraction in September. Meanwhile, the revenue department has decided to
extend the facility of uploading digitally signed documents for all types of
exports under Indian Customs EDI System (ICES) with a view to improve ease of
doing business and promote paperless processing. The Aviation sector stocks
will be in action as India's domestic air passenger traffic grew in double
digits for the 49th consecutive month in September. India's domestic revenue
passenger kilometres (RPK) in the month under review rose by 19.8 percent
compared to the corresponding month of the previous year. There will be some
buzz in the agriculture stocks with report that India has emerged as a major
seed hub in Asia as 18 companies out of 24 leading firms evaluated, have
invested in breeding and production activities in the country. Besides, there
will be lots of important earnings announcements to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,482.20
|
10,415.67
|
10,597.12
|
BSE Sensex
|
34,812.99
|
34,602.12
|
35,178.54
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
290.69
|
223.05
|
219.15
|
228.90
|
SBI
|
240.45
|
277.95
|
275.30
|
282.15
|
Tata Motors
|
207.89
|
186.05
|
182.68
|
191.93
|
Titan Company
|
139.85
|
894.75
|
858.13
|
916.43
|
Vedanta
|
118.02
|
203.15
|
199.97
|
208.62
|
Cipla has received final approval for its ANDA for Valganciclovir Tablets 450mg from the USFDA.
Tech Mahindra is looking at upcoming 5G rollouts in global markets as a big opportunity.
TCS has partnered with ENGIE Laborelec, a leading utilities research center, and part of the ENGIE Group.
Tata Steel has flagged off the first-ever Art Residency Programme in Jamshedpur under the aegis of the Centre for Excellence Jamshedpur.