In a volatile session, Indian
equity benchmarks erased all of the day's gains and ended near day's low point
with losses of over a percent on Tuesday, as sharp selling pressure in Telecom
and Banking stocks dragged the markets lower. After making slightly positive
start, equity gauges turned cautious, as the World Bank said that India's
economy will shrink by 3.2 percent in the current fiscal, as it joined a chorus
of international agencies that are forecasting a contraction in growth rate due
to the coronavirus lockdown halting economic activity. But, markets soon gained
traction and traded in fine fettle as traders took encouragement with the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) proposed a comprehensive framework for sale of loan
exposures, which could be standard, sub-standard or non-performing assets
(NPAs), as part of the overall exercise to deepen the market for lending. Some
optimism also came as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government
will consider an extension in the deadline for availing the lower 15 percent
corporate tax rate on new investments, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. However,
markets failed to hold on to gains and slipped into red terrain in the final
hour of trade, as traders turned wary with global rating agency S&P Global
Ratings in its report titled 'Financial Conditions Reflect Optimism, Lockdown
Fatigue Emerges', stating that Indian economy is likely to shrink 5 per cent in
the current fiscal, saying the fiscal stimulus worth 1.2 per cent of GDP will
not be enough to provide significant growth support. Selling further crept in
as global ratings agency Moody's Investors Service said that India's sovereign
rating downgrade has created six fallen angels, or companies in the non-financial
sector whose ratings have dipped to just one notch away from being considered
junk. Companies that move from investment grade category to sub-investment
grade are sometimes referred as Fallen Angels. Finally, the BSE Sensex lost
413.89 points or 1.20% to 33,956.69, while the CNX Nifty was down by 120.80
points or 1.19% to 10,046.65.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday on account of profit booking as traders cashed in on the strong
gains posted in recent sessions. Selling pressure was somewhat subdued,
however, with stocks holding on to the bulk of their recent gains as traders
generally remain optimistic about a quick economic recovery. Traders also
seemed reluctant to make more significant moves ahead of the Federal Reserve's
monetary policy announcement. The Fed is not expected to announce any
significant policy changes, although traders are still likely to pay close
attention to the central bank's assessment of the economic outlook. On the
economic data front, wholesale inventories in the US increased by slightly less
than expected in the month of April, according to a report released by the
Commerce Department. The Commerce Department said wholesale inventories rose by
0.3 percent in April after tumbling by a revised 1.1 percent in March. Street
had expected wholesale inventories to rise by 0.4 percent compared to the 0.8
percent slump originally reported for the previous month. The rebound in
wholesale inventories came as inventories of non-durable goods surged up by 1.1
percent in April after plunging by 3.4 percent in March. Meanwhile, the report
said inventories of durable goods fell by 0.3 percent in April after rising by
0.4 percent in the previous month. The Commerce Department also said wholesale
sales plunged by 16.9 percent in April after tumbling by 5.1 percent in March.
Crude oil futures gave up earlier
losses to finish higher on Tuesday with expectations for a rebound in energy
demand among the reasons. Meanwhile, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental
Enforcement reported that 31% of US Gulf of Mexico oil production remained
offline. That is only a slight improvement from 34% a day earlier. However, oil
prices drifted down earlier in the session after Saudi Arabia said that the
kingdom and its Gulf allies Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates are unlikely to
extend additional output reductions. Crude oil futures for July rose 75 cents
or 2 percent to settle at $38.94 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
August Brent crude gained 38 cents or 0.9 percent to settle at $41.18 a barrel
on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee pared initial gains
to close marginally down against the US dollar on Tuesday due to fresh demand
for the American currency from banks and importers. Traders remain concerned
with the World Bank's statement that India's economy will shrink by 3.2 percent
in the current fiscal, as it joined a chorus of international agencies that are
forecasting a contraction in growth rate due to the coronavirus lockdown
halting economic activity. Also, S&P Global Ratings said Indian economy
will shrink 5 per cent in the current fiscal, saying the fiscal stimulus worth
1.2 per cent of GDP will not be enough to provide significant growth support.
Broad strength in US dollar also weighed on the rupee. On the global front,
dollar found some footing on Tuesday, rising against tearaway commodity
currencies for the first time in June as investors paused to take profits.
Finally, the rupee ended at 75.61, 6 paise weaker from its previous close of
75.55 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6339.57 crore against gross
selling of Rs 5286.73 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 251.21 crore with gross sales of Rs 286.01 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 0.62 crore against gross selling of Rs 0.82
crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday as traders cashed in on the strong gains posted in recent sessions.
Asian markets are trading mostly higher on Wednesday ahead of the release of
Chinese inflation data for May. Indian markets gave up intraday gains and ended
sharply lower on Tuesday as markets succumbed to heavy selling pressure in the
last hour of trade amid weak cues from European markets. Today, the start of
session is likely to be optimistic following Asian peers. Traders will be
getting some encouragement with the Department for Promotion of Industry and
Internal Trade' (DPIIT) data showing that Cayman Islands has emerged as the
fifth largest investor in India, with foreign direct investment (FDI) from the
nation increasing over three-fold to $3.7 billion in 2019-20. Some support will
also come with report that the Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA) has amended
the Companies (Share Capital and Debentures) Rules, 2014, to allow startups to
issue sweat equity shares not exceeding 50 per cent of its paid-up capital up
for a decade after the registration of the firm. Traders may take note of
report that sectors expected to lead the job market in the third quarter
(July-August-September 2020) of the current calendar year are mining &
construction, finance, insurance and real estate. Though, there may be some
cautiousness with report that the total number of coronavirus cases in India
has jumped to 276,146, while 7,473 people have died from the disease so far.
Now only a notch behind the UK in terms of number of confirmed coronavirus,
India at present is the fifth-most-affected country. Meanwhile, markets
regulator SEBI has eased norms related to fast track further public offers,
including reducing the minimum average market capitalisation of public
shareholding requirement, till March next year. There will be some buzz in the
insurance companies stocks with IRDAI's report that the nationwide lockdown due
to the coronavirus outbreak that began on March 25 continued to have an impact
on the new premium collections of life insurers with first-year collections
down 25.4 percent year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 13,739.01 crore in May 2020. Auto
stocks will be in focus with rating agency Ind-Ra's report that the automobile
sales may decline by up to 25 percent in this financial year as compared to
2019-20 due to a complete washout in April and minuscule sales last month.
There will be some reaction in aviation stocks with Global airlines body IATA's
statement that airlines across the world are expected to lose $84.3 billion in
2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, calling it the worst year in the history
of aviation.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,046.65
|
9,948.35
|
10,218.05
|
BSE Sensex
|
33,956.69
|
33,621.49
|
34,551.59
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
State Bank of India
|
966.56
|
184.45
|
181.53
|
189.18
|
Tata Motors
|
794.75
|
111.45
|
108.50
|
116.15
|
ICICI Bank
|
476.23
|
348.55
|
339.42
|
363.52
|
Axis Bank
|
462.74
|
420.05
|
410.20
|
436.20
|
Indusind Bank
|
406.91
|
463.90
|
451.50
|
477.15
|
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Coal India's subsidiary -- Western Coalfields has opened three new coal mines in states of Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh.
Tata Consultancy Services is expecting an increase in demand for its artificial intelligence product Ignio, as more people work from home.
Vedanta has pruned its aluminium Cost of Production by 20 per cent year-on-year to $1451 per tonne.