In a volatile session, Indian
equity benchmarks traded in green throughout the day and ended on higher note
on Friday, following positive global shares along with optimism over the easing
of lockdown measures offset fears over rising cases of the coronavirus in the
country. The markets had opened in the green, but soon pared most gains, as the
surveys released by the Reserve Bank showing that consumer confidence has
collapsed amid the coronavirus pandemic and it may result in contraction of the
economy by 1.5 per cent during 2020-21. However, key gauges once again started
upwards trend in late morning session, as traders took encouragement with the
government data showing that the country's job situation registered an
improvement during 2018-19 with unemployment rate declining to 5.8 per cent,
down from 6.1 per cent in the previous financial year. Buying got intensified
in the final hour of session, taking support from Crisil Research report that
even as coronavirus pandemic has impacted many sectors, the agriculture could
be the only bright spot as real agriculture is likely to witness a 2.5 percent
growth in 2020-21. Sentiments remained positive as Union Minister for MSME and
Road Transport and Highways Nitin Gadkari has said that foreign direct
investment (FDI) can be explored in non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), in
order to strengthen NBFCs for extending support to MSMEs. He said strengthening
of NBFCs, state cooperative banks, district cooperative banks, credit societies
etc is required to extend support to MSMEs during this challenging time.
Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 306.54 points or 0.90% to 34,287.24, while the
CNX Nifty was up by 113.05 points or 1.13% to 10,142.15.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday as the Labor Department's closely watched monthly jobs report seemed to
prove traders were right to be optimistic about a quick economic recovery. The
Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment jumped by 2.51 million jobs
in May after plummeting by a revised 20.69 million jobs in April. The record
spike in employment came as a shock to participants, who had expected the loss
of another 8.0 million jobs following the nosedive of 20.5 million jobs
originally reported for the previous month. Employment rose sharply in leisure
and hospitality, construction, education and health services, and retail trade,
according to the Labor Department. The Labor Department claimed the
improvements in the labor market reflected a limited resumption of economic
activity that had been curtailed in March and April due to the coronavirus
pandemic and efforts to contain the spread of the disease. Besides, Energy
stocks led the broad based rally, benefiting from a sharp increase by the price
of crude oil. Reflecting the strength in the energy sector, Philadelphia Oil
Service Index skyrocketed by 12.9 percent, the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index
soared by 8 percent and the NYSE Arca Oil Index surged up by 7.6 percent.
Banking stocks also moved substantially higher, driving the KBW Bank Index up
by 4.6 percent. With the gain, the index reached a three-month closing high.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Friday, supported by report that major oil producers will convene to discuss
plans for extended productions cuts. The Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, said they
would hold meetings via videoconference on Saturday. Further, oil prices also
rose amid optimism about increased energy demand after data from US Labor
Department showed unexpected job growth in the month of May. Also, with several
businesses across the global reopening after several weeks of lockdown and the
European Central Bank deciding to substantially expand its bond-buying program
to support the economy, it is expected that energy demand will see a notable
surge over the coming months. Crude oil futures for July surged $2.14 or 5.7
percent to settle at $39.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
August Brent crude rose $2.31 or 5.8 percent to settle at $42.30 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee pared all of its
early gains and ended almost flat against dollar on Friday, as rising
coronavirus cases in the country weighed on investors sentiment. Traders remained
cautious with surveys released by the Reserve Bank showing that consumer
confidence has collapsed amid the coronavirus pandemic and it may result in
contraction of the economy by 1.5 per cent during 2020-21. Some concern also
came as the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) in its agenda document
2020-21 has sounded a note of caution saying that the government should guard
against increasing fiscal deficit that may prompt rating downgrade resulting in
other consequences for the economy. However, positive domestic stock market
supported the rupee to some extent. On the global front, pound rose to a new
three-month high against the dollar on Friday due to the Bank of England
playing down the prospect of negative rates soon, and dollar weakness. Finally,
the rupee ended at 75.58, 1 paise weaker from its previous close of 75.57 on
Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8380.57 crore against gross
selling of Rs 5756.38 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 655.64 crore with gross sales of Rs 1308.82 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 13.20 crore against gross selling of Rs 1.26
crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday following the release of a Labor Department report showing an unexpected
jump in employment in the month of May. Asian markets are trading in green on
Monday after US jobs data released Friday had an unexpected jump, spurring
hopes of an economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic. Indian markets
ended higher with notable gains on Friday, in line with key Asian equities,
amid heavy buying in metal, media and banking scrips. Today, the markets are
likely to make optimistic start of new week following firm global cues.
Besides, the reopening of hotels, restaurants, malls, and places of worship
from June 08 after 75 days of lockdown may also aid sentiment. Some support
will come with report that foreign portfolio investors have pumped in a massive
Rs 18,589 crore into the Indian markets the first week of June as sentiment
improved amid graded lifting of lockdown curbs. Also, the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) said the country's foreign exchange reserves surged $3.43 billion to a
fresh all-time high of $493.48 billion for the week ended May 29 on a handsome
accretion of the core currency assets. Besides, the government of India has
effectively suspended fresh bankruptcy proceedings against persons impacted
because of COVID-19 for at least six months, up to a maximum of one year.
Though, the continuous rise in the Covid-19 cases may dampen the sentiment in
the markets. India has registered over 10,500 new coronavirus cases in a single
day, taking its spot as the 5th worst-hit nation across the global. Traders may
be concerned with the Income Tax Department's statement that the actual gross
direct tax collection during 2019-20 fiscal dipped by 4.92% to Rs 12.33 trillion
on account on reduction in corporate tax rate, increased standard deduction and
personal I-T exemption limit. Meanwhile, traders will be looking ahead to the
GST Council meeting which is scheduled on June 12 and likely to discuss the
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tax revenues. There will be some buzz in the
banking stocks with the RBI's data showing that bank credit and deposits grew
6.25% and 10.64% YoY to Rs 102.23 lakh crore and Rs 138.30 lakh crore,
respectively, in the fortnight ended May 22. Power stocks will be in focus with
CRISIL Ratings' report that power distribution utilities' debt will hit an
all-time high of Rs 4.5 lakh crore by the end of the ongoing financial year.
There will be some reaction in coal stocks with a private report that the
country's coal import dropped by 20 percent to 18.93 million tonnes (MT) in
May.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,142.15
|
10,062.67
|
10,199.72
|
BSE Sensex
|
34,287.24
|
34,028.36
|
34,475.77
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
State Bank of India
|
2,013.25
|
189.25
|
180.23
|
194.03
|
Tata Motors
|
1,872.13
|
111.95
|
103.18
|
116.58
|
Bharti Airtel
|
478.74
|
581.30
|
569.17
|
591.72
|
Axis Bank
|
390.05
|
408.30
|
395.90
|
415.30
|
ICICI Bank
|
372.51
|
359.80
|
351.20
|
364.20
|
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