Extending previous session's
northward journey, Indian equity benchmarks ended the Wednesday's trade in
green terrain with frontline gauges recapturing their crucial 35,600 (Sensex)
and 10,750 (Nifty) levels, as sentiments remained up-beat on kharif crop MSP
hike and Services PMI bounces back. However, markets made cautious start as
sentiments remained downbeat with the rating agency ICRA's report that Reserve
Bank of India's (RBI) plan to change disbursement norms of working capital
would exert pressure on the liquidity profile of borrowers, specifically those
having a high dependence on cash credit or overdraft facilities while lacking
alternative sources of liquidity. Some cautiousness also crept in with a report
that the five-pronged strategy recommended by the panel of bankers for
resolution of bad loans is a useful long-term concept, but tighter deadlines
and near-term funding challenges remain. Meanwhile, Moody's Investors Service's
latest report highlighted that higher crude price is a key risk to India's
growth, but subsidy reform in petrol and diesel has diminished the risk to
sovereign credit profile. However, markets took U-turn and entered into green
terrain in second half of the trade, as traders turned optimistic with private
report showing that activity in India's service industry rebounded in June from
a mild contraction last month, expanding at its quickest pace in a year on the
back of a surge in new business orders. The Nikkei/IHS Markit Services
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) climbed to 52.6 last month, its highest since
June 2017, from 49.6 in May. Buying got intensified in last leg of trade to
take markets near intraday highs, after Union Cabinet approved the proposal to
hike the Minimum Support Price (MSP) for Kharif crops, which was made in the
Budget 2018 by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley. The MSP for paddy has been raised
by around Rs 250 per quintal. The hike in MSP is one of the measures taken by
the Narendra Modi government to end farmers woes in the country. Some support
also came with NITI Aayog Vice Chairman Rajiv Kumar's statement that the Indian
economy is on the cusp of a major sustained and ongoing recovery and poised to
grow above 8% from the next year, thanks to a slew of measures taken by the
government in the last few years. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 266.80 points or
0.75% to 35,645.40, while the CNX Nifty was up by 70.00 points or 0.65% to
10,769.90.
The US markets remain closed on
Wednesday on account of Independence Day.
Crude oil futures managed to
reverse the early losses in a holiday thinned trade. Floor trading remained
closed on New York Mercantile Exchange due to the US Independence Day holiday.
Brent oil rose on Wednesday, driven higher by a threat from an Iranian
commander and a drop in US crude inventories for the second week in a row. The
price rose above $78 a barrel after an Iranian Revolutionary Guards commander
said he was ready to prevent regional crude exports if Iranian oil sales were
banned by the United States. US crude futures were up 19 cents at $74.33 a
barrel, within sight of Tuesday's 3-1/2-year high above $75 a barrel. The US
market not had a settlement price due to the US Independence Day holiday. In
London, Brent crude for September delivery ended up 48 cents at $78.24 a barrel
on the ICE.
Indian
rupee pared all of its initial gains and turned weaker against dollar on
Wednesday, due to fresh demand for the American currency from banks and
importers. Traders remained cautious with Moody's Investors Service's latest
report that higher crude price is a key risk to India's growth, but subsidy
reform in petrol and diesel has diminished the risk to sovereign credit
profile. Market participants overlooked private report showing that activity in
India's service industry rebounded in June from a mild contraction last month,
expanding at its quickest pace in a year on the back of a surge in new business
orders. The Nikkei/IHS Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) climbed
to 52.6 last month, its highest since June 2017, from 49.6 in May. Besides,
weakening of dollar against some overseas currencies and strong gains in the
local equity markets failed to cast any impact on the rupee. On the global
front, euro rose against the dollar on Wednesday but the move was limited as
concerns ahead of Washington's end-of-week deadline to impose tariffs on
Chinese imports kept many investors on the sidelines. Finally, the rupee ended at 68.74, 14 paise
weaker from its previous close of 68.60 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 3194.88 crore against gross selling of Rs 4182.12 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 263.91 crore with gross sales
of Rs 450.49 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross purchase was of
Rs 263.91 crore with gross sales of Rs 450.49 crore.
The US markets remained closed in
last session on account of Independence Day and unable to give any cues to the
other markets, while the Asian markets are trading mostly in red in early
session on Thursday, as investors remained cautious ahead of a deadline when
tariffs from the US and China are due to be implemented. The Indian markets
rallied on Wednesday after the government approved a hike in the minimum
support price for Kharif crops and India's services sector activity expanded at
the fastest pace in a year in June. Today, markets likely to make pessimistic
start, as concerns about the outbreak of a global trade war persisted and oil
prices moved lower after US President Donald Trump sent a tweet urging OPEC to
reduce prices for crude. Traders may also react on report that the Securities
and Exchange Board of India has issued a fresh show-cause notice to the
National Stock Exchange and some of the key officials - including former CEOs
Ravi Narain and Chitra Ramkrishna - on Wednesday, asking them to explain the
allegations of preferential access to a few high-frequency traders and brokers
to its trading platform. However, traders may get some support later in the day
with Union Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that the government's fiscal deficit
target would not be breached on account of higher MSP for 14 crops as large
provisioning for food subsidy has already been made in the Budget for current
fiscal. Also, Rajiv Kumar, Vice-Chairman, Niti Aayog said that food and fuel
are not contributing to the overall inflationary pressures in the economy. So
this constant talk about inflationary pressures because of the MSP is quite
misplaced. Meanwhile, the government approved extension of recapitalisation
scheme for Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) for next three years up to 2019-20 with
an aim to strengthen their lending capacity. The scheme started in 2010-11 and
was extended twice in 2012-13 and 2015-16. The last extension was up to March,
2017. Traders may get some support with report that Income Tax refunds worth
over Rs 70,000 crore have been issued to the taxpayers and nearly all refund
claims pending as on June-end has been processed.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,769.90
|
10,706.05
|
10,805.45
|
BSE Sensex
|
35,645.40
|
35,414.28
|
35,771.92
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
SBI
|
142.07
|
257.45
|
255.18
|
259.03
|
Vedanta
|
117.56
|
228.05
|
225.68
|
229.93
|
NTPC
|
95.15
|
152.90
|
151.65
|
155.00
|
Sun Pharma
|
94.06
|
579.30
|
571.95
|
587.75
|
ICICI Bank
|
82.34
|
273.25
|
271.22
|
275.07
|
Vedanta has raised funds aggregating up to Rs 1,500 crore in one or more tranches through private placement basis.
ITC is planning to launch 30-40 new products every year and to look into more consumer categories in a bid to become India's biggest FMCG company.
L&T has fast-tracked production of ships for the Indian Coast Guard and has laid keels for two vessels on July 03, 2018.
Maruti Suzuki India is planning to add another 7.5 lakh units manufacturing capacity from three production lines in Gujarat plant by 2020.