Indian equity benchmarks logged
deep losses on the last trading day of the week, with both Sensex and Nifty
ending over 1% cut each. The start of the day was negative, amid State Bank of
India's latest research report stating that depreciation of rupee has neither
helped in improving exports nor in slowing imports, leading to an incremental
trade deficit of $4 billion in the first half of the current fiscal (H1FY19).
Domestic sentiments also got hit by credit rating agency Care Ratings' latest
report that job creation by corporate India dropped to 3.8% in 2017-18 from
4.2% growth achieved in 2016-17, with jobs in smaller firms being hit the
hardest. Sentiments remained pessimistic throughout the day with a private
report stating that consumer confidence in the Indian economy plummeted by
about 7 points in the month of October due to a clutch of macroeconomic
problems causing personal finance issues. India's consumers have become more
nervous about rising fuel prices and crumbling stock markets amid the
festivities. Some concerns also came with a private report stating that in
2018, in USD terms wealth in India grew a modest 2.6% to around $6 trillion and
wealth per adult stayed flat at $7,020. Traders overlooked a private study
report stating that flexible working could contribute $376 billion annually to
the Indian economy by 2030 as shared office space helps corporates to save cost
and boost employee productivity. The street also failed to take any sense of relief
with Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) report that India's investment cycles in the
last 60 years has revealed that the latest investment upswing will run till
2022-23 to the peak of 33% from the current rate of 31%. The markets
participants remained pessimistic even though the Finance Ministry allayed
fears among businesses about reconciliation of returns and said the deadline to
avail input tax credit (ITC) for last financial year (FY18) will remain October
20. Meanwhile, the RBI announced more measures to increase liquidity flows to
the NBFCs. The RBI permitted banks to use government securities equal to their
incremental outstanding credit to NBFCs, over and above their outstanding
credit to them as on October 19, to be used to meet liquidity coverage ratio
requirements. Finally, the BSE Sensex plunged 463.95 points or 1.33% to
34,315.63, while the CNX Nifty was down by 149.50 points or 1.43% to 10,303.55.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Friday, while Dow Jones Industrial ekes out marginal gains on strong
quarterly earnings reports. The markets initially gained the momentum supported
by a rally by Chinese stocks, which rebounded strongly from an initial move to
the downside despite disappointing GDP data. Data showed Chinese GDP climbed an
annual 6.5 percent in the third quarter, shy of estimates for 6.6 percent and
down from 6.7 percent in the previous quarter. However, traders failed to hold
the momentum and slipped into negative territory, as concerns about rising
interest rates and tension between the US and Saudi Arabia continued to weigh
on the markets. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Thursday announced that he
was pulling out of an investment conference in Riyadh in response to the
disappearance of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, a US resident. Investors
overlooked a report from the National Association of Realtors showing a much
steeper than expected drop in existing home sales in the month of September.
NAR said existing home sales plunged by 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 5.15
million in September after edging down by 0.2 percent to a revised rate of 5.33
million in August. Street had expected existing home sales to drop by 0.7
percent. With the much bigger than expected decrease, existing home sales
slumped to their lowest annual rate since November of 2015. Nasdaq declined
36.11 points or 0.48 percent to 7,449.03 and S&P 500 was down by 1.00
points or 0.04 percent to 2,767.78, while Dow Jones Industrial Average gained
64.89 points or 0.26 percent to 25,444.34.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Friday on worries about possible impact of US sanctions on Iran's oil exports
on crude supply in the market coupled with potential US-Saudi tensions. Prices
also supported by data showing refinery throughput in China rising to a record
high of 12.49 million barrels per day in September, after some independent
plants restarted operations. Meanwhile,
the US President Donald Trump said that he presumes Khashoggi had likely been
killed and that the US response to Saudi Arabia will likely be very severe.
Benchmark crude oil futures for November gained 47 cents or 0.7 percent to
settle at $69.12 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. December Brent
crude rose 49 cents or 0.6 percent to settle at $79.78 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchanged.
Indian
rupee strengthened against dollar on Friday, on good bouts of dollar-selling by
banks and exporters. Traders took some support with report stating that
flexible working could contribute $376 billion annually to the Indian economy
by 2030 as shared office space helps corporates to save cost and boost employee
productivity. The market participants overlooked SBI's research report -
Ecowrap stating that the rupee depreciation has neither helped in improving
exports nor in slowing imports, leading to an incremental trade deficit of $4
billion in the first half of the current fiscal. On the global front, euro fell
towards a two-month low on Friday after the European Union criticised Italy's
spending plans, raising fresh concern about a conflict within the common
currency zone. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.32, 29 paise stronger from its
previous close of 73.61 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4838.22 crore against gross
selling of Rs 4522.88 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 583.75 crore with gross sales of Rs 988.58 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 0.49 crore against no selling.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Friday as concerns about rising interest rates and tension between the US
and Saudi Arabia continued to weigh on the markets. Asian markets were trading
mostly in green on Monday as Chinese stocks swung higher for a second session
and helped offset geopolitical concerns over Saudi Arabia, Italy and Brexit.
Extending southward journey for second straight session, Indian markets witnessed
bloodbath on Friday as investors remained anxious over liquidity concerns in
non-bank lenders impacting the financial sector coupled with weak global cues.
Today, the markets are likely to make cautious start of the new week tracking
mixed global cues. Traders will be concerned with the Reserve Bank of India's
(RBI) report showing that India's forex reserves declined by $5.14 billion
during the week ended October 12, when the rupee slipped to 74 and beyond
against the US dollar. The RBI's weekly statistical supplement showed that
overall forex reserves decreased to $394.46 billion from $399.60 billion
reported for the week ended October 5. There will be some cautiousness with
Traders' body CAIT warning that allowing central as well as state tax administrations
to initiate action against any taxpayer irrespective of jurisdiction would lead
to harassment of traders and complicate the tax system. Meanwhile, a private
report stated that the ongoing liquidity squeeze will slow down non-banks home
loan disbursements. It added home prices, which have witnessed a relative
slowdown in growth, will continue to be under pressure. However, some support
may came later in the day with a private report stating that India is likely to
emerge as the third-largest economy in the world in just over a decade from
now, surpassing Japan and Germany. Traders may take note of a report that in an
effort to ease current liquidity crunch, the RBI allowed banks to use
government securities equivalent to their incremental credit to non-banking
lenders for a three-month period starting October 20 to meet their liquidity
coverage ratio (LCR) needs. The provision, which can free Rs 50,000-60,000
crore of liquidity which banks can lend to NBFCs, will be available to banks up
to December 31. There will be lots of important earnings announcements too, to
keep the markets in action.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10,303.55
|
10,242.07
|
10,372.57
|
BSE Sensex
|
34,315.63
|
34,116.20
|
34,539.17
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
503.36
|
217.90
|
210.42
|
227.97
|
Indiabulls Housing
Finance
|
377.99
|
653.80
|
605.07
|
736.52
|
SBI
|
284.74
|
261.10
|
258.07
|
264.17
|
Reliance
Industries
|
254.21
|
1,101.30
|
1,077.37
|
1,118.12
|
Vedanta
|
199.58
|
211.10
|
202.50
|
216.95
|
Reliance Industries has entered into strategic investment and partnership with Den Networks and Hathway Cable and Datacom.
NTPC is planning to raise funds worth $150 million in foreign currency term loan to finance its capital expenditure.
Coal India has decided to increase the tenure of fuel supply pacts to be signed with the steel industry to 10 years in a bid to reduce dependence of steel sector on imported coal.
Ultratech Cement has reported a fall of 10.87% in its net profit of Rs 376.82 crore for Q2FY19 as compared to Rs 422.77 crore for Q2FY18.