Bears made strong comeback on
Dalal Street on Monday after two days of halt, with frontline gauges ending
below their crucial 37,600 (Sensex) and 11,400 (Nifty) levels. Markets started
the session on pessimistic note and never looked in recovery mood to end near
intraday low levels. Sentiments remained dampened since beginning, as traders
remained concerned with report that foreign exchange reserves fell below $400
billion, for the first time since November 11, 2017, in the first week of
September. As on September 7, foreign exchange reserves stood at $399.28
billion, a result of the Reserve Bank of India's intervention at a time when
portfolio flows were witnessing some reversals. Some cautiousness also crept in
with ICRA's report that funding of farm loan waivers, poll-related spending and
other populist measures are likely to ensure that states are set to miss their
fiscal consolidation targets budgeted at the beginning of the year. The market
got hit with another private report stating that India's world-beating stock
market run is over. It has downgraded domestic stocks to the equivalent of a
hold rating from buy. This is the first time it has lowered Indian stocks since
2014. Markets extended losses in last leg of trade, as market participants took
a note of private report stating that ahead of the festive season, the surge in
petrol rates has left consumers scrambling and cutting household expenses to
adjust with the price hike. Traders shrugged off report that India's exports
rose at the fastest pace in three months to reach $27.84 billion in August on
account of healthy growth in petroleum products, engineering, pharma, and gems
and jewellery shipments. Besides, trade deficit during the month narrowed to
$17.4 billion as against $12.72 billion in the same month last year. In July,
the trade deficit soared to a near five-year high of $18.02 billion. Traders
failed to take any sense of relief with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's
statement that that the government is confident of meeting its fiscal deficit
target of 3.3% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fiscal year 2018-19. He
added that the government is sure of meeting the fiscal deficit target given
robust tax collections. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined by 505.13 points or
1.33% to 37,585.51, while the CNX Nifty was down by 137.45 points or 1.19% to
11,377.75.
The US markets ended in red
terrain on Monday giving back ground after moving notably higher last week.
Sentiments remain dampened throughout the day on lingering trade concerns, with
stocks seeing further downside after President Donald Trump said an
announcement on trade with China would be made after the close of trading.
Recent reports have said Trump intends to proceed with plans to impose tariffs
on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. A private report said the new tariffs
would bet set at 10 percent, lower than the 25 percent previously floated by
the administration. The threat of new tariffs could still lead China to decline
an offer to hold high-level trade talks. China has pledged to retaliate to any
new tariffs imposed by the U.S., with reports suggesting the communist country
could go beyond raising tariffs on U.S. imports and restrict exports of goods
critical to U.S. manufacturing. On the economic front, the New York Federal
Reserve released a report showing a bigger than expected slowdown in the pace
of growth in regional manufacturing activity in the month of September. The New
York Fed said its general business conditions index fell to 19.0 in September
from 25.6 in August, although a positive reading continues to indicate growth
in regional manufacturing activity. The index had been expected to dip to 23.0.
Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 92.55 points or 0.35 percent to 26,062.12,
the S&P 500 lost 16.18 points or 0.56 percent to 2,888.80 and Nasdaq was
down by 114.25 points or 1.43 percent to 7,895.79.
Crude oil futures ended lower
with marginal losses on Monday as investors focused on deepening trade tension
between the US and China that is expected to dent global crude demand. But,
losses remained capped as some support came with report that threat of
disruptions to supply from US sanctions on Iranian oil. Sanctions against Iran,
the third largest Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) producer
of oil, are expected to directly hurt its global crude exports. Benchmark crude
oil futures for October declined 8 cents or 0.1 percent to settle at $68.91 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. November Brent crude fell 4 cents
or 0.05% to settle at $78.05 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchanged.
Snapping previous session's
gains, Indian Rupee depreciated drastically against the American currency on
Monday. Traders remain concerned with report that foreign exchange reserves
fell below $400 billion, for the first time since November 11, 2017, in the
first week of September. As on September 7, foreign exchange reserves stood at
$399.28 billion, a result of the Reserve Bank of India's intervention at a time
when portfolio flows were witnessing some reversals. Rupee sentiments were also
hit with private report stating that ahead of the festive season, the surge in
petrol rates has left consumers scrambling and cutting household expenses to
adjust with the price hike. Besides, feeble trading of domestic equity markets
too weighed on rupee. On the global front, the dollar fell on Monday as
investors cautiously waited for the next salvo in the trade war between the
United States and China. Finally, the rupee ended at 72.49, 63 paise weaker
from its previous close of 71.86 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7246.51 crore against gross
selling of Rs 6566.74 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 528.67 crore with gross sales of Rs 996.78 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 0.76 crore against gross selling of Rs 0.09
crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as lingering trade concerns weighted on the sentiments. Markets extended
losses after President Donald Trump said an announcement on US-China trade will
be coming after the close of trading. Asian markets were trading mixed in early
deals on Tuesday following an escalation in trade tensions between the US and
China. Snapping two-day winning streak, the Indian markets ended Monday's
session with cut of over a percent as measures outlined by the government on
Friday to stem the steep decline in the rupee failed to cheer markets amid a
weak trend in other Asian markets. Today, the markets are likely to make
pessimistic start amid weak global cues. Traders will be concerned with report
that in an escalation to the trade war with China, US President Donald Trump
announced imposition of new tariffs on additional $200 billion worth of Chinese
imports. On the domestic turf, there will be some cautiousness with
International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that the real effective
depreciation of Indian rupees is between 6-7% compared to December 2017. It
said broadly since the beginning of the year, Indian rupee has lost about 11%
of its value in nominal terms vis-a-vis the US dollar. However, traders may get
some encouragement later in the day with CBDT Chairman Sushil Chandra expressing
confidence in exceeding Rs 11.5 lakh crore direct tax collection target in
current fiscal. There may some support with report that Markets regulator SEBI
has relaxed initial public offer (IPO) norms to allow companies to announce the
price band two days before an offering. Meanwhile, the government will further
extend the deadline for the imposition of higher customs duties on 29 products,
including almond, walnut and pulses, imported from the US. There will be some
buzz in the banking sector stocks with India Ratings' mid-year outlook showing
that banks are witnessing a spurt in asset quality stress in the non-corporate
segment and the overall loan loss provisions for lenders are expected to stay
elevated till fiscal year 2019-20. Also, there will be some reaction in copper
related sector stocks with report that India has initiated an anti-subsidy
probe into increased imports of select copper wire rods from Indonesia,
Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,377.75
|
11,341.45
|
11,439.50
|
BSE Sensex
|
37,585.51
|
37,413.69
|
37,892.57
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
185.54
|
318.60
|
315.75
|
321.65
|
SBI
|
160.90
|
285.30
|
283.43
|
287.83
|
Vedanta
|
130.09
|
234.90
|
232.12
|
237.72
|
Indian Oil Corporation
|
116.22
|
156.55
|
153.48
|
159.23
|
Hindalco Industries
|
98.98
|
241.35
|
239.35
|
244.50
|
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Hindalco Industries is planning to raise Rs 6,000 crore through issue of Non-Convertible Debentures on private placement basis.
Infosys has made an additional investment of $1.5 million through the Infosys Innovation Fund in TidalScale Inc., the company at the heart of the Software-Defined Server revolution.