Indian equity bourses paused
gaining rally on Tuesday, with Sensex & Nifty losing around 50 and 25
points, respectively. After firm start, key indices soon turned volatile,
impacted by SBI's report stating that India's Gross Domestic Product growth is
likely to slow further in the July-September quarter of this financial year to
below 5 per cent amid decline in consumption, weak investments and an
under-performing service sector. Adding more worries, ICRA said bank credit
growth is likely to slow down sharply to 8-8.5 percent during current financial
year as compared to 13.3 percent in FY19, mainly due to decline in incremental
credit in the first half of FY20. Bourses extended their losses in noon deals,
after India's services sector activity contracted for second straight month in
October. The seasonally adjusted Nikkei Services Business Activity Index stood
at 49.2 in October from 48.7 in September. Some concerns also came with reports
that the CBI is conducting searches in 169 locations across the country in
connection with 35 bank fraud cases registered by the agency involving funds of
over Rs 7,000 crore. However, in last leg of the trade, indices came off their
day's low points, amid report that India is expected to see M&A deals of
over $52 billion in 2019 as mergers and acquisitions in the country are
expected to remain stable despite global headwinds. Finally, the BSE Sensex
lost 53.73 points or 0.13% to 40,248.23, while the CNX Nifty was down by 24.10
points or 0.20% to 11,917.20.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq ending the
day at record highs, amid continued optimism about a potential US-China trade
deal, with President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping widely
expected to sign phase one of an agreement sometime this month. As part of the
deal, the US is likely to scrap tariffs on about $156 billion worth of Chinese
imports currently set to take effect on December 15. A private report said the
US is also considering China's request to lift the 15 percent tariff on about
$125 billion worth of Chinese goods that went into effect on September 1.
Besides, the strength on markets also came as investors welcomed
better-than-expected data on the service sector. The Institute for Supply
Management (ISM) said its non-manufacturing index climbed to 54.7 in October
from 52.6 in September, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in the
service sector. Street had expected the index to inch up to 53.2. The bigger
than expected increase by the headline index came as the business activity
index rebounded to 57.0 in October from 55.2 in September and the new orders
index jumped to 55.6 from 53.7. The employment index also showed a notable
increase, surging up to 53.7 in October from 50.4 percent in September and
indicating a reacceleration in the pace of job growth in the service sector.
Meanwhile, a report released by the Commerce Department showed the US trade
deficit narrowed in the month of September, as the value of imports slumped by more
than the value of exports. The Commerce Department said the trade deficit
narrowed to $52.5 billion in September from a revised $55.0 billion in August.
The narrower deficit matched Street estimates. The deficit shrank as the value
of imports tumbled by 1.7 percent to $258.4 billion in September after climbing
by 0.5 percent to $262.9 billion in August. The report showed a steep drop in
imports of consumer goods, including cell phones and other household goods, as
well as notable decreases in imports of capital goods and automotive vehicles,
parts, and engines.
Crude oil futures extended recent
gains and ended higher with gains over one percent on Tuesday on optimism over
China-US trade talks. Reports said that the US might roll back tariffs on $112
billion worth of Chinese imports as a concession to seal a phase one trade deal
was credited with buoying sentiment across markets. Besides, the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said it expects oil supplies to
fall continuously over the next five years, indicating the cartel might need to
further cut output to stabilize prices on the back of a US production boom and
sluggish oil demand. OPEC and its allies are set to debate whether to continue
current production cuts of 1.2 million barrels a day or deepen the reductions
when they meet in early December. Benchmark crude oil futures for December
surged 69 cents or 1.2 percent to settle at $57.23 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. January Brent rose 83 cents or 1.3 percent to settle at
$62.96 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee ended marginally higher on Tuesday on selling of dollars by banks and
exporters. Local currency got some support with report that India is expected
to see M&A deals of over $52 billion in 2019 as mergers and acquisitions in
the country are expected to remain stable despite global headwinds. However,
further upward move got restricted with SBI report stating that India's Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) growth is likely to slow further in the July-September
quarter of this financial year to below 5 per cent amid decline in consumption,
weak investments and an under-performing service sector. On the global front,
US dollar advanced against the yen on Tuesday thanks to growing optimism the
United States and China are on the verge of reaching a preliminary agreement to
scale back their bruising trade war. Finally, the rupee ended at 70.69, 8 paise
stronger from its previous close of 70.77 on Monday.
The
FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5546.64 crore against gross selling
of Rs 5465.54 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
1572.48 crore with gross sales of Rs 534.62 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7.82 crore against gross selling of Rs 4.11
crore.
The US markets ended mostly in
green on Tuesday amid continued optimism about a potential US-China trade deal.
Asian markets are trading mostly lower on Wednesday as investors awaited new
developments toward scaling back a bruising trade war between the United States
and China. Indian markets ended choppy trading session slightly in red on
Tuesday amid concerns the government will have a tough job maintaining its
fiscal deficit target for the year. Today, the markets are likely to make
slightly negative start tacking weakness in Asian peers and continued rise in
crude oil prices. There will be some cautiousness with a private report that
the government may discontinue spending on 200-odd schemes in order to stick to
its fiscal deficit target of 3.3 percent. However, some respite may come later
in the day with Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the
government will soon use its strong electoral mandate to usher in the next wave
of reforms, and not to miss the bus this time. Meanwhile, the Securities and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has issued operational guidelines for foreign
portfolio investors (FPI) regulations notified in September. The regulator said
that all existing FPIs registered as category III FPIs under the 2014
regulations shall be deemed to have been registered as Category II FPIs under
the new regulations. Besides, the base year for gross domestic product, or GDP,
will be revised in few months to capture the changing economic scenarios in
India and abroad. There will be some buzz in the reality stocks with Finance
Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the government and Reserve Bank
are working to resolve the issues being faced by realty sector. Textile stocks
will be in focus as ICRA maintained a negative outlook on the domestic cotton
with pressures building up on credit profiles of domestic cotton spinners as
they continue to grapple with challenges on the demand front. There will be
some reaction in Jewelry stocks with the World Gold Council's (WGC) statement
that India's gold demand is expected to fall to its lowest level in three years
in 2019, as domestic prices climb to a record against a backdrop of falling
earnings in rural areas, a key source of custom for the precious metal. Also,
sugar stocks will be in limelight as the government announced that a
environmental clearance would not be required to produce additional ethanol
from sugarcane juice as it does not cause pollution, a move that may benefit
farmers and the cash-strapped sugar mills.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,917.20
|
11,859.75
|
11,976.80
|
BSE Sensex
|
40,248.23
|
40,045.67
|
40,458.67
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
2,948.96
|
68.30
|
66.33
|
71.13
|
SBI
|
500.81
|
319.20
|
314.00
|
323.20
|
Tata Motors
|
362.69
|
172.00
|
169.38
|
175.18
|
Tata Steel
|
208.74
|
403.95
|
397.73
|
414.03
|
ZEEL
|
153.65
|
286.15
|
278.62
|
296.67
|
M&M is recalling a limited batch of XUV300 vehicles to fix a faulty suspension component.
Tech Mahindra has received approval to acquire 100% stake in Burn Group directly and indirectly through its wholly owned subsidiary viz. Tech Mahindra (Singapore).
Tata Steel's step-down subsidiary -- NatSteel Holdings Pte has agreed to divest its entire 56.5% stake in NatSteel Vina for about Rs 36 crore to a Vietnam-based Thai Hung Trading Joint Stock Company.
- ZEE5, a video on demand website run by Zee Entertainment Enterprises, has unveiled a unique tool PLAY5 which will let brands engage with their consumers through innovative and interactive experiences.