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NSE Intra-day chart (06 November 2020)
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Market Commentary 09 November 2020
Domestic indices to get gap-up start on Monday

 

Extending their gaining streak into the fifth straight session, Indian equity markets ended over one percent higher on Friday, led by strong gains in Reliance Industries, Bajaj Finserv, Indusind Bank, HDFC and Kotak Mahindra Bank. Further, firm global cues too boosted investor sentiment. The benchmarks made slightly positive start and stayed in green for whole day, as traders got some support with Prime Minister Narendra Modi wooed global investors by showcasing the recent agriculture and labour reforms and faster-than-anticipated reflation of the economy and asserted that the government will do whatever it takes to make India the engine of global growth resurgence. Some support also came as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that it would continue to conduct open market operation (OMO) purchase auctions of Rs 20,000 crore, as well as OMOs in State Development Loans (SDLs) to support market sentiment and assure adequate liquidity. Key gauges extended gains in second half of the session, taking support from External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar's statement that India's expectation is that the reforms undertaken by it in domains like labour, agriculture and education, when combined with making it easier to do business, create start-ups and promote skilling, will lead to much broader pathways for global collaboration. Jaishankar said given the hit taken by virtually every economy in the world in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is apparent that recovery is the primary focus. Meanwhile, the government has announced simplified guidelines for Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) and IT Enabled Services (ITES) players to reduce the compliance burden for the industry and facilitate Work from Home and Work from Anywhere. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 552.90 points or 1.34% to 41,893.06, while the CNX Nifty was up by 143.25 points or 1.18% to 12,263.55.

                             

The US markets ended mostly lower on Friday due to profit taking following the strong upward move seen over the past several sessions. Lingering uncertainty about the outcome of the presidential election also weighed on the markets as several key states continue to count votes. Democratic nominee Joe Biden now leads in Pennsylvania and Georgia, according to the latest numbers, suggesting the former Vice President is on track to exceed the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the White House. However, President Donald Trump has claimed the increase in votes for Biden in a number of key states is proof of widespread voter fraud and pledged to take legal challenges to the results all the way to the US Supreme Court. The early selling pressure was partly offset by a closely watched report from the Labor Department showing stronger than expected job growth in the month of October.  The report said non-farm payroll employment jumped by 638,000 jobs in October after surging up by a revised 672,000 jobs in September. Street had expected employment to increase by 600,000 jobs compared to the addition of 661,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month. The Labor Department also said the unemployment rate dropped to 6.9 percent in October from 7.9 percent in September. The unemployment rate was expected to slip to 7.7 percent.

 

Crude oil futures ended considerably lower on Friday, weighed down by rising concerns over outlook for energy demand due to the continued surge in coronavirus cases across the US and in several European countries. Higher output from Libya also weighed on oil prices. A report from Baker Hughes showing another increase in US drilling rigs count added to oil's woes. The report said total active drilling rigs in the US increased for the eighth week in a row, rising to 300 (up 4) this week. US oil rigs added 5 to 226, while gas rigs count fell by 1 to 71. Besides, the likelihood of Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies delaying an earlier proposal of increasing crude output by 2 million barrels from January helped limit oil's downside. Crude oil futures for December fell $1.65 or 4.3% percent to settle at $ $37.14 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. January Brent crude declined $1.52 or 3.7 percent to settle at $39.41 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

 

Continuing previous session gains, Indian rupee ended substantially stronger on Friday on fresh selling of American currency by banks and exporters. Besides, healthy growth in the domestic equity markets added to the rupee gains. Sentiments were perked up as Prime Minister Narendra Modi wooed global investors by showcasing the recent agriculture and labour reforms and faster-than-anticipated reflation of the economy and asserted that the government will do whatever it takes to make India the engine of global growth resurgence. On the global front, dollar steadied against many currencies on Friday but traders say more losses are likely as a contentious U.S. presidential election diminished hopes for large stimulus to support the economy any time soon. Finally, the rupee ended at 74.08, 28 paise stronger from its previous close of 74.36 on Thursday.   

 

The FIIs as per Friday's data were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 10046.93 crore against gross selling of Rs 4643.82 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1167.77 crore with gross sales of Rs 945.22 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7.03 crore against gross selling of Rs 18.60 crore.  

 

The US markets closed mostly in red on Friday as investors digested Joe Biden's election victory, the market's weakening upward momentum, and a better-than-expected jobs report. Asian markets are trading higher on Monday amid optimism about the outlook under a Joe Biden presidency.  Indian markets ended with robust gains on Friday led by heavy buying in banking and financial stocks amid positive global cues. Today, the start of session is likely to be gap-up following firm cues from Asian peers. Market participants will be taking some encouragement with the RBI's data showing that bank credit grew by 5.06 per cent to Rs 103.39 lakh crore, while deposits rose by 10.12 per cent to Rs 142.92 lakh crore in the fortnight ended October 23. Some support will come with Dinesh Khara, Chairman, State Bank of India's statement that the Indian economy is expected to be on normal course by early next fiscal even while the investment demand from corporate might take some time to pick up. Traders may take note of report that NITI Aayog member Ramesh Chand has hailed the three recently enacted agriculture-related legislations by the Centre saying if implemented in the right spirit, they will take Indian agriculture to new heights and usher in the transformation of the rural economy. Besides, the country's foreign exchange reserves rose $183 million to touch a record high of $560.715 billion in the week ended October 30. However, there may be some cautiousness with report that India has reported 46,661 fresh Covid-19 cases in the past 24 hours. The total caseload now stands at 8,553,864. The country's death toll has mounted to 126,653. There will be some buzz in aviation stocks with the Union Ministry of Civil Aviation's (MOCA) statement that India's domestic passenger traffic has reached more than half of pre-coronavirus pandemic level operations with the number of daily air travellers crossing over two lakh in November. Power stocks will be in focus as power producers' total dues owed by distribution firms rose over 28 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,38,479 crore in September 2020, reflecting stress in the sector. There will be some reaction in auto stocks with rating agency Crisil's note that vehicles sales' rural market share has declined even as fresh Covid-19 cases have begun to show up more outside city areas than before. There will be lots of earnings announcements too, to keep the markets in action.

 

Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)

 

Index

Previous close

Support

Resistance

NSE Nifty

12,263.55

12,170.14

12,318.69

BSE Sensex

41,893.06

41,532.59

42,104.23

 

Nifty Top volumes

 

Stock

 

Volume

Previous close (Rs)

 

Support  (Rs)

 

Resistance (Rs)

 

(in Lacs)

State Bank of India

731.47

218.10

216.15

220.95

Tata Motors

679.67

138.70

136.80

141.45

NTPC

461.44

87.25

86.51

88.36

ITC

342.52

173.80

172.40

176.20

Reliance Industries

307.70

2,025.00

1,988.76

2,050.61

 

  • M&M has offered various benefits, including an additional cash discount of up to Rs 11,500, lower interest rates and easy EMIs, for government employees on its vehicle purchases. 
  • ICICI Bank has launched a special offering for the millennial segment, with features like exclusive branches that will host entertainment events. 
  • Axis Bank has executed a pact for subscribing to 57,743 equity shares of a face value of Rs 1,000 each to be issued by CSC e-Governance Services India at Rs 6,300 per equity share. 
  • Tata Motors has crossed 1.5 lakh unit production milestone for its compact SUV Nexon.
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