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NSE Intra-day chart (05 November 2020)
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Market Commentary 06 November 2020
Markets likely to get cautious start amid mixed Asian cues


Indian equity markets ended higher for the fourth straight session with gains of over one and half percent each, on the back of a broad-based buying interest amid a strong trend in the global markets. The benchmarks staged a gap up opening and traded in fine fettle throughout the day, as traders were taking encouragement with the finance ministry's statement that the economy has been recovering at a fast pace and would likely to reach pre-Covid-19 levels by the end of the current fiscal year. Some support also came in with Director General of Foreign Trade -- Amit Yadav stating that while October data looked promising for exports, the situation will improve further in the coming months due to collaborative efforts of all the stakeholders. Key indices extended their upside in second half of the session, taking support from union minister Prakash Javadekar's statement that the pandemic-hit economy is coming back on rails at more speed than expected. He also said that an increase in rail freight collection, higher goods and services tax mop-up, rise in power demand and improved FDI inflows indicate that the economy was doing better in the second quarter of the current financial year. Domestic sentiments were positive, as banks have started refunding borrowers the compound interest charged on specified loan accounts during the moratorium period. Last week, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had asked all lending institutions, including non-banking financial companies, to ensure that the scheme of waiver of interest on interest for loans up to Rs 2 crore for the six-month moratorium period is implemented by November 5. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 724.02 points or 1.78% to 41,340.16, while the CNX Nifty was up by 211.80 points or 1.78% to 12,120.30.


The US markets ended higher on Thursday, extending the rally seen over the previous sessions, as traders kept an eye on the latest reports regarding the presidential election. With projected wins in Michigan and Wisconsin, Democratic nominee Joe Biden currently sits at 253 electoral college votes, just shy of the 270 needed to win the White House. Votes continue to be counted in a number of key states, including Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Georgia. While Biden currently seems poised to unseat President Donald Trump, Democrats are not expected to take control of the Senate. On the economic data front, the Labor Department released a report showing a modest decrease in first-time claims for US unemployment benefits in the week ended October 31st. The report said initial jobless claims edged down to 751,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised level of 758,000. Street had expected jobless claims to drop to 732,000 from the 758,000 originally reported for the previous week. Meanwhile, members of the Federal Reserve still announced their latest monetary policy decision. The members of the Fed announced that they decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent, as widely expected.


Crude oil futures ended lower on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak, as rising coronavirus cases and the delay in outcome of the US Presidential election weighed on the commodity. With coronavirus cases continuing to see a surge and several countries across Europe imposing tougher lockdown measures, contributing to a drop in crude oil prices. The continued uncertainty about election results in the US and likely legal battles over results, could delay a stimulus plan and result in additional pressure on oil prices. Crude oil futures for December lost $0.36 or 0.9% percent to settle at $ 38.79a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. January Brent crude declined 0.40 or 0.9 percent to settle at $ 40.83 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.


Erasing previous session drubbing, Indian Rupee strengthened substantially against dollar on Thursday, owing to dollar sale by exporters and banks. Sentiments were upbeat with Director General of Foreign Trade -- Amit Yadav stating that while October data looked promising for exports, the situation will improve further in the coming months due to collaborative efforts of all the stakeholders. Since April, when there was a huge downfall in exports, it has made good progress and is going to rise in the coming months. Traders also got respite with finance ministry's statement that economy has been recovering at a fast pace and would likely to reach pre-Covid-19 levels by the end of the current fiscal year. Besides, strong gains in domestic equity markets also provided support to the rupee. On the global front, Pound erased early losses to break above $1.30 on Thursday on broad-based dollar weakness, though gains were limited by Bank of England plans to ramp up bond purchases after cutting economic growth forecasts. Finally, the rupee ended at 74.36, 40 paise stronger from its previous close of 74.76 on Wednesday. 


The FIIs as per Thursday's data were net buyer in equity segment and net seller in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6194.77 crore against gross selling of Rs 6027.32 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 513.13 crore with gross sales of Rs 1589.81 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 117.69 crore against gross selling of Rs 135.05 crore.  


The US markets ended higher on Thursday as investors bet Republicans would hold onto the Senate and prevent changes under a possible Joe Biden White House that would crimp corporate profits. Asian markets are trading mixed on Friday as investors await the results of the US elections. Indian markets ended higher Thursday led by gains in broad-based buying in metal, energy, and banking stocks amid positive global cues. Today, the markets are likely to get cautious start tracking mixed Asian cues. There will be some cautiousness with report that India has reported nearly 50,000 fresh Covid-19 cases in the past 24 hours. The total caseload now stands at 8,411,034. The country's death toll has mounted to 124,354. Besides, the RBI has urged the Supreme Court to lift its interim order, which held that accounts not declared as non-performing assets till August 31 this year are not to be declared NPAs till further orders, saying it is facing difficulty due to the directive. However, some encouragement may come later in the day as the RBI said it will continue to conduct open market operation (OMO) purchase auctions of Rs 20,000 crore, as well as OMOs in State Development Loans (SDLs) to support market sentiment and assure adequate liquidity. Some support may also come as calling global investors to invest in India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the government has an ambitious plan to invest $1.5 trillion under the National Infrastructure Pipeline. Traders may take note of report that markets regulator SEBI has enhanced the foreign investment limit for individual fund houses to $600 million from $300 million at present. Meanwhile, the government has announced simplified guidelines for Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) and IT Enabled Services (ITES) players to reduce the compliance burden for the industry and facilitate Work from Home and Work from Anywhere. There will be some buzz in aviation stocks with the Ministry of Civil Aviation's (MOCA) statement that the cap on the number of domestic flights Indian airlines are permitted to operate would be increased to 70-75 per cent of their pre-Covid levels as the passenger traffic surges. Financial stocks will be in focus after the RBI allowed banks to co-lend with all registered NBFCs, which include housing finance companies. There will be some reaction in real estate industry stocks with ICRA's report that housing sales may fall by 35-40 per cent in the ongoing fiscal year even as demand improved during the September quarter. There will be lots of important earnings announcements too, to keep the markets in action.


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  • Bajaj Finserv has partnered with Reliance Digital to bring exclusive deals on latest electronics, gadgets, accessories, household appliances, mobiles, laptops etc.
News Analysis

Maruti Suzuki India is recalling 40,453 units of its multi-purpose vehicle Eeco to fix an issue with the headlamp. The recalled units were manufactured between November 4, 2019 and February 25, 2020.

Maruti Suzuki India ...

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Axis Bank has gone live as a Financial Information Provider (FIP) on the landmark Account Aggregator (AA) framework of the Reserve Bank of India. Account Aggregator is a digital platform that allows for easy sharing and consumption of financ...

Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) has created history by becoming India's first exchange to complete deliveries of Gold under BSE -BIS India Good Delivery Standard on its commodity platform, supporting the Prime Minister's vision of ‘Make in India...