Indian equity benchmarks
recovered from the day's low but still closed in the red for the second
straight day on Wednesday, amid concerns over India-China tensions and intense
selloff in global markets. Domestic equities opened on a negative note and
stayed in red terrain for whole day, as traders were concerned with report that
the clinical trials for the Covid-19 vaccine candidate developed by the
University of Oxford, which was expected to start at PGIMER in Chandigarh, have
been delayed by at least a week over safety approvals. Trading sentiments
remain dampened as Fitch Ratings has sharply lowered its forecast for India's
gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the current fiscal year (FY21) to (-)
10.5 percent from (-) 5 percent estimated earlier. It pointed out that the
continued spread of the virus and the imposition of sporadic shutdowns across
the country depress sentiment and disrupts economic activity. Adding to the
pessimism, the private report said that India is witnessing the weakest hiring
sentiment in 15 years with just 3 percent companies planning to add staff in
the next three months. However, domestic benchmark indices managed to recoup
most of the losses towards the end of the trading session, as some optimism
remained among traders with a private report that the Indian economy is
expected to climb from a deeper trough in the calendar year 2020 (CY20) and see
a stronger rebound in the year 2021. Markets participants also took a note of
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) board member Manish Sabharwal's statement that
India needs more banks for sustaining high growth and doubling the
credit-to-GDP ratio to 100 per cent. He also said the country needs immediate
reforms in banking, compliance, labour laws and education because hope is not a
strategy. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 171.43 points or 0.45% to 38,193.92,
while the CNX Nifty was down by 39.35 points or 0.35% to 11,278.00.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday, regaining ground following the sell-off seen over the three previous
sessions. The rebound on markets came as some traders looked to pick up stocks
at relatively reduced levels. Technology stocks showed a substantial rebound on
the day after leading the markets lower over the past few sessions. Tech giants
Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon posted standout gains, partly offsetting their
recent losses. With Microsoft helping to lead the way higher, software stocks
showed a notable move to the upside on the day. Considerable strength was also
visible among semiconductor stocks, as reflected by the 2.9 percent spike by
the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden
rolled out his Made in America tax policy, while campaigning in Michigan, which
includes a proposed new offshoring penalty and a minimum 21% corporate tax on
all foreign earnings, but a 10% tax credit for any companies making investments
to create US jobs, such as by revitalizing existing facilities that have been
closed. Economic data showed that US employers posted more job openings in July
but hired fewer workers than in June, the Labor Department reported, as
early-summer optimism about reopening businesses faded. There were 6.6 million
job openings posted, not far off the pre-pandemic average.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday, rebounding strongly after suffering a terrible setback a session
earlier, amid hopes the US inventory data for last week will show a drop in
stockpiles. According to estimates, US crude oil production will likely drop by
870,000 barrels per day to 11.38 million barrels per day this year. There is expects that the EIA data to show a
decline of about 500,000 barrels in crude stockpiles for the week ended
September 4. A survey by S&P Global Platts expects gasoline supplies to
have dropped by about 2.5 million barrels and distillates stockpile to have
risen by about 300,000 barrels last week. Crude oil futures for October surged
$1.29 or 3.5 percent to settle at $38.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. November Brent crude gained $1.01 or 2.5 percent to settle at $40.79
a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing all of its initial
losses, Indian Rupee ended marginally higher on Wednesday on fresh selling of
dollar by bankers and exporters. Traders took some support with a private
report that Indian economy is expected to climb from a deeper trough in the
calendar year 2020 (CY20) and see a stronger rebound in the year 2021. Markets
participants also took a note of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) board member
Manish Sabharwal's statement that India needs more banks for sustaining high
growth and doubling the credit-to-GDP ratio to 100 percent. He also said the country
needs immediate reforms in banking, compliance, labour laws and education
because hope is not a strategy. However, weakness in the domestic equity market
and fresh border tensions between India and China restricted the local unit's
further gains. On the global front, pound fell to its lowest level in six weeks
against the dollar on Wednesday as new legislation by the British government on
the country's post-Brexit plans stoked fears of a derailment of trade talks
with the European Union. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.55, 5 paise stronger
from its previous close of 73.60 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net seller in equity, while they were net buyer in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4598.67 crore against gross selling of Rs
4755.81 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
1179.61crore with gross sales of Rs 1015.51 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7.63 crore against gross selling of Rs
32.32 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday as investors jumped back in to take advantage of the pullback in
technology-related stocks. Asian markets are trading mostly in green tracking
overnight gains in US peers. Indian markets ended lower Wednesday dragged by
selling in banking and IT stocks amid negative global cues. Today, the markets
are likely to get flat-to-positive start tracking gains in global peers.
Traders will be taking encouragement with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's
statement that banks are going to be the catalysts for economic revival. Some
support will some with report that the government is planning to save about Rs
35,000 crore to help manage the fiscal load put by the production-linked
incentive (PLI) and phased manufacturing program (PMP) schemes, its initiatives
to attract investment into the country. Traders may take note of report that
Niti Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant said India was the youngest country with a vibrant
startup eco-system and it must convert the present (COVID-19) crisis into an
opportunity. Meanwhile, the Centre launched the Aatmanirbhar Bharat ARISE-Atal
New India Challenges programme to support MSMEs and start-ups for making India
innovative, resilient, tech-driven, and research and development
(R&D)-oriented. However, rising coronavirus cases in the country are likely
to weight on sentiments in the markets. Recording its worst-ever single-day
spike of 95,529 coronavirus cases, India's tally has surged past the
4.4-million mark to 4,462,965. There may some cautiousness with ICRA's report
that state governments' deficit is seen in the range from 4.25 per cent up to
5.52 per cent of the gross state domestic product (GSDP) in the current fiscal.
There will be some reaction in hotel and hospitality industry stocks with a
study by industry chamber CII and hospitality consulting firm Hotelivat showing
that the coronavirus pandemic has dealt a crippling blow to the Indian travel
and tourism industry and the entire value chain linked to the sector is likely
to lose around Rs 5 lakh crore or $65.57 billion. Oil and gas stocks will be in
focus with government data showing that India's fuel demand fell 15.6 percent
in August compared with the same month last year. Consumption of fuel totalled
14.39 million tonnes.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,278.00
|
11,209.39
|
11,322.39
|
BSE Sensex
|
38,193.92
|
38,001.89
|
38,319.30
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
1053.58
|
140.10
|
136.61
|
142.66
|
State Bank of India
|
727.17
|
194.85
|
191.10
|
200.00
|
Zee Entertainment
Enterprises
|
528.08
|
221.55
|
211.50
|
227.55
|
Tata Steel
|
319.99
|
417.40
|
395.89
|
429.54
|
Axis Bank
|
316.60
|
431.25
|
423.05
|
441.40
|
Wipro is planning to set up a Digital Innovation Hub in Dusseldorf, Germany.
SBI is planning to launch a loan product called Safe and Fast Agriculture Loan.
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories has launched Remdesivir, under a brand name Redyx in India.
- HCL Technologies has set up its first development centre in Sri Lanka.