Tuesday turned out to be a
fabulous day of trade for Indian equity benchmarks, where frontline gauges
traded jubilantly throughout the day and garnered gains of over a percentage
point each. Markets made a cautious start on report that output of eight core
infrastructure sectors dropped 2.5 per cent in October, mainly due to decline
in production of crude oil, natural gas, refinery products and steel. The
production of eight core sectors had contracted 5.5 per cent in October 2019.
But, soon after a cautious start, key gauges gained traction and started moving
northward as signs of recovery in India's economic growth supported the market
sentiments. India's economy recovered faster than expected in the September
quarter as a pick-up in manufacturing helped GDP clock a lower contraction of
7.5 per cent and held out hopes for further improvement on consumer demand
bouncing back. Adding more optimism, data from the Department for Promotion of
Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) showed that FDI inflow rose 15 per cent
during the April-September period to $30 billion (Rs 2.2 trillion) as compared
to inflows of $26 billion during the same period last fiscal, with India being
an attractive destination for foreign funds despite the pandemic. Markets
extended rally to end near intraday highs, as traders took encouragement with
Fitch Solutions' statement that after a COVID-19 pandemic-led contraction in
consumer spending in 2020, household spending will return to growth in 2021,
expanding by as much as 6.6 percent. Meanwhile, India has reported a
significant drop in the number of fresh Covid-19 cases, taking its tally to
9,463,254. The country's death toll stands at 137,659. Sentiments were
positive, even after Indian manufacturing sector lost momentum in the month of
November, amid slower increases in factory orders, exports, buying levels and
output. As per the survey report, the Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing
Managers' Index (PMI) - a composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing
performance - eased to 56.3 in November as against 58.9 in October, although it
well above the 50-level that separates growth from contraction. Traders paid no
heed towards report that the Union government's fiscal deficit further widened
to Rs 9.53 lakh crore, which is nearly 120 per cent of the annual budget
estimate, at the end of October of the current financial year. The deficit
widened mainly on account of poor revenue realisation. Finally, the BSE Sensex
rose 505.72 points or 1.15% to 44,655.44, while the CNX Nifty was up by 140.10
points or 1.08% to 13,109.05.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday with the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 reaching new record closing highs
amid hopes Congress could make progress towards a new coronavirus aid package.
Strength in the overseas markets carried over onto Wall Street following the
release of upbeat Chinese manufacturing data. Further, continued optimism about
a potential coronavirus vaccine also generated buying interest, with Pfizer and
BioNTech applying to the European Medicines Agency for conditional marketing
authorization of their vaccine. Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a
report from the Institute for Supply Management showing a slowdown in the pace
of growth in US manufacturing activity. The ISM said its manufacturing PMI
dropped to 57.5 in November from 59.3 in October, with a reading above 50
indicating growth in the manufacturing sector. Street had expected the index to
dip to 58.0. A report released by the Commerce Department showed construction
spending in the US increased by more than expected in the month of October. The
Commerce Department said construction spending jumped by 1.3 percent to an
annual rate of $1.439 trillion in October after falling by 0.5 percent to a
revised rate of $1.420 trillion in September. Street had expected construction
spending to climb by 0.8 percent compared to the 0.3 percent uptick originally
reported for the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Tuesday as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies
delayed a decision on whether to extend existing output curbs until later this
week. Meanwhile, the oil market fundamentals remain weak and point to a
significant oversupply during the early point of the coming year, due to
continued increase in coronavirus cases in several regions. Resumption of
production in Libya from September is also contributing to fears of oversupply
in the market. Crude oil futures for January dropped $0.79 or 1.7 percent to
settle at $45.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. February Brent
crude fell $0.48 or 1 percent to settle at $47.40 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended considerably
stronger against dollar on Tuesday due to fresh selling of the American
currency by banks and exporters. Signs of recovery in India's economic growth
supported Rupee. India's economy recovered faster than expected in the
September quarter as a pick-up in manufacturing helped GDP clock a lower
contraction of 7.5 per cent and held out hopes for further improvement on consumer
demand bouncing back. Adding more optimism, data from the Department for
Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) showed that FDI inflow rose 15
per cent during the April-September period to $30 billion (Rs 2.2 trillion) as
compared to inflows of $26 billion during the same period last fiscal, with
India being an attractive destination for foreign funds despite the pandemic.
Besides, firm domestic equity markets also supported the rupee. On the global
front, euro was close to a three-month high as the US dollar on expectations of
more monetary stimulus from the United States and a strengthening recovery
elsewhere that pushed up riskier currencies. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.68,
37 paise stronger from its previous close of 74.05 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyer in equity segment and net seller in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 75716.82 crore against gross selling of Rs
66584.22 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 644.63
crore with gross sales of Rs 1246.97 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 61.08 crore against gross selling of Rs 65.43 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as investors grow increasingly hopeful about a vaccine to combat rising
Covid-19 cases. Asian markets are trading mixed on Wednesday after Wall Street
indices closed at record highs as investors grow increasingly hopeful about a
vaccine to combat the pandemic and an economic recovery. Indian markets ended a
percent higher each on Tuesday led by gains in metal, IT and pharma sectors.
Today, the markets are likely to make a cautious start tracking mixed cues from
Asian peers. Traders may take note of a private report that the Reserve Bank of
India monetary policy committee is expected to leave interest rates unchanged
when it meets on Friday, after data showing the economy contracting less than
expected and persistently high inflation. The RBI's monetary policy committee
will today begin its bi-monthly meeting, the resolution of which would be
announced on December 4. Though, traders may be taking encouragement with
report that the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
has raised prospects of India's economy by pegging contraction at 9.9 per cent,
against 10.2 per cent it projected in September. Some optimism may come as the
gross Goods and Services Tax (GST) collection for November stood at Rs 1.04
lakh crore, 1.4 percent higher than the sum collected in the same month last
year. Some support may come as the finance ministry said investors continue to
trust the Indian growth story despite Covid-19, and rolled out statistics on foreign
portfolio investment (FPI), foreign direct investment (FDI), and corporate bond
markets to buttress its claims. Besides, on Tuesday, India reported a
significant drop in the number of fresh Covid-19 cases. Its case tally now
stands at 9,499,710. The country's death toll has mounted to 138,159. There
will be some buzz in the insurance sector stocks as latest data by the General
Insurance Council (GIC) showed that foreign direct investment (FDI) in the
general insurance sector slipped marginally to Rs 509.07 crore in FY 2019-20
from the previous year. Meanwhile, Burger King India, the quick-service
restaurant chain, is set to launch its initial public offer (IPO) for
subscription on December 2. This would be the fourteenth IPO in the current
year. The issue will close on December 4 and the shares are likely to list on
December 14.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
13,109.05
|
13,005.10
|
13,170.70
|
BSE
Sensex
|
44,655.44
|
44,272.09
|
44,884.78
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Gail
(India)
|
856.84
|
110.70
|
105.20
|
114.10
|
Tata
Motors
|
488.81
|
179.75
|
177.76
|
182.06
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
429.23
|
81.55
|
78.40
|
83.35
|
State
Bank of India
|
369.99
|
248.05
|
245.21
|
249.91
|
NTPC
|
353.31
|
93.75
|
92.74
|
95.49
|
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