Indian equity markets came under
the bear's grip on Monday with frontline gauges breaching their crucial 9,900
(Nifty) and 31,700 (Sensex) levels on subdued global cues. Markets started the
session with a huge gap on the down side, as investors turned jittery on
expectation of government to tinker its fiscal deficit target for FY18 by
announcing an economic stimulus to revive the economy. Chief Economic Adviser
(CEA) Arvind Subramanian has said that Indian economy continues to face
multiple challenges and stressed on the need to tackle them on various fronts,
such as exchange rate, public investments while maintaining macroeconomic
stability. He said that there are lots of challenges ahead with growth slowing
down and investment not picking up. He also identified rising level of stressed
assets to be a key area of concern. Traders also remained cautious on account
of the derivatives expiry due on Thursday and the recent spike in tensions on
the Korean peninsula. Adding to the pessimism, foreign investors remained in
exit mode as they have already pulled out nearly Rs 5,500 crore from stock
markets so far this month due to geopolitical concerns and a tendency to take
profit. The net outflow by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) follows
withdrawal of Rs 12,770 crore from equities in August. Prior to that, they had
pumped in over Rs 62,000 crore in the past six months. Markets extended
southward journey and domestic bourses even went to test psychological 31,500
(Sensex) and 9,850 (Nifty) levels, but the key gauges got some support near
those intraday low levels as they managed to trim some of their losses to end
off day's lows, as traders took some solace with report that Prime Minister
Narendra Modi would unveil the much-awaited stimulus package during a scheduled
speech to the BJP national executive meeting later in the day. Finally, the BSE
Sensex tumbled 295.81 points or 0.93% to 31,626.63, while the CNX Nifty was
down by 91.80 points or 0.92% to 9,872.60.
The US markets closed lower on
Monday, on the back of a fresh flare up in tensions between the US and North
Korea and a sharp decline in technology shares. North Korean foreign minister
Ri Yong Ho, speaking in New York, described President Donald Trump's recent
comments about North Korea as clearly a declaration of war, and said Pyongyang
has the right to shoot down US bombers. Meanwhile, New York Fed President
William Dudley said that the Federal Reserve is on track to gradually raise
interest rates given the recent inflation weakness is fading and the US
economy's fundamentals are sound, reinforcing the central bank's confident
tone. On the economy front, factory output and consumer spending were a
negative tug on the Chicago Fed's index of national economic activity for
August, while hiring offered a smaller boost last month than in July. The
Chicago Fed's national activity index slumped to a negative 0.31 in August from
an upwardly revised, but still barely positive, 0.03 in July, in what was yet another
turn for an especially volatile measure over the past handful of months. The
index's less-volatile, three-month moving average decreased to negative 0.04 in
August from a neutral reading in July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost
53.5 points or 0.24 percent to 22,296.09, the Nasdaq was down 56.33 points or
0.88 percent to 6,370.59, and the S&P 500 edged lower by 5.56 points or
0.22 percent to 2,496.66.
Crude oil futures extended their
gains on Monday, amid growing expectations that producers will extend output cuts
sooner rather than later. Traders also cheered signs that the market is
starting to rebalance. As Opec members expressed an eagerness to reach a
decision this year, fuelling expectations that an extension to the global
accord to curb production beyond the March 2018 will be agreed sooner rather
later. Though, traders were keeping a close eye on North Korea tensions. North
Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho claimed recent comments by President Donald
Trump represent a "declaration of war." Benchmark crude oil futures
for November delivery ended higher by 3.1 percent at $52.22 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery gained 3.5 percent
to $58.87 a barrel on the ICE.
Indian
rupee breaching 65-mark ended considerably weaker against dollar on Monday, on
increased demand for the American currency from importers and banks amid
foreign fund outflows. Traders were cautious with Chief Economic Adviser Arvind
Subramanian's statement that Indian economy continues to face multiple
challenges and stressed on the need to tackle them on various fronts, such as
exchange rate, public investments while maintaining macroeconomic stability.
Besides, strength in the US dollar against some other currencies overseas along
with massive losses in domestic equity markets, largely kept domestic unit
under pressure. On the global front, Sterling rebounded on Monday, having slid
on Friday after a speech by Prime Minister Theresa May failed to offer the kind
of detail investors had been looking for to remove political uncertainty that
has kept the currency under pressure. Finally, the rupee ended at 65.11, 32
paise weaker from its previous close of 64.79 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6843.09 crore against gross
selling of Rs 5861.91 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 713.69 crore with gross sales of Rs 982.59 crore.
The US markets continuing their
sluggish trend ended lower in the last session, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq
showing a particularly steep decline, amid geopolitical concerns after North
Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho claimed recent comments by President Donald
Trump represent a "declaration of war." The Asian markets have made a
mixed start with some indices trading in red after a fresh trigger from North
Korea sent investors back into haven assets, with focus returning to comments
from central bank policy makers. The Indian markets fell further in the last
session and the major averages lost another about a percent over fiscal deficit
concern, after reports emerged that the government is planning a big stimulus.
Today, the start is likely to remain cautious tracking mixed global cues, also
as the rupee crashed to a six-month low at 65.12 to the dollar in last session,
however, traders will be getting some support with Prime Minister Narendra Modi
constituting an Economic Advisory Council in a bid to bring in economic
reforms. NITI Aayog member and a former professor at the Centre for Policy
Research, Bibek Debroy has been appointed as Chairman of Economic Advisory
Council. It will address issues of macroeconomic importance' and present its
views to the prime minister. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has said
that government is planning measures to revive economic growth. There will be
buzz in the auto sector, as the Road Transport and Highways Minister Nitin
Gadkari has hinted that automobile industry could continue exports of petrol
and diesel cars even as government will go ahead with its plan to transition
India to all-electric mobility by 2030.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
9872.60
|
9805.60
|
9950.05
|
BSE Sensex
|
31626.63
|
31395.29
|
31937.25
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
ITC
|
175.83
|
262.25
|
258.88
|
267.63
|
Vedanta
|
142.84
|
306.80
|
298.63
|
313.33
|
SBI
|
139.37
|
258.75
|
254.83
|
262.23
|
ICICI Bank
|
133.58
|
279.50
|
276.47
|
281.62
|
Axis Bank
|
119.22
|
501.70
|
491.67
|
508.37
|
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