Indian frontline equity indices
prolonged the lull for yet another day and finished the session on a dull note,
marginally below the neutral line, as investors at large remained reluctant to
build long positions ahead of Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen's semiannual
testimony before Congress. The session largely remained characterized by
choppiness as the aimless indices moved in tight-range throughout the day.
Sentiments tuned dismal after Wholesale inflation shot up to a 30-month high of
5.25% in January as rising global crude oil prices spiked domestic fuel cost,
even as food prices moderated. The overall inflation index of the fuel and
power segment surged to 18.44% from 8.65% in the previous month. However,
Retail inflation, measured in terms of Consumer Price Index (CPI), fell to a 5
year low of 3.17% in January mainly on account of declining prices of food
items including vegetables and pulses. Although micro-indicators of inflation
showed mixed picture, many experts believes that significant fall in CPI base
inflation is result of demonetization and it will not maintain its current
range, while WPI base inflation will increase if the crude oil prices continued
to rise. Further, trading sentiments remained subdued with a private report
that India's economic growth is likely to remain muted in the first quarter of
this calendar year with the GDP likely to grow at 5.7% in the January-March
period amid subdued activity. However, investor got some comfort with Finance
Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that the Modi government's emphasis is on
bold decision making and a clean economy with business friendly environment,
the returns of which can be spent on the poor. On the global front, Asian
markets ended mostly lower on Tuesday as investors turned jittery ahead of
testimony by the head of the Federal Reserve, which could highlight the
likelihood of two or more U.S. interest rate hikes this year. Back home,
finally, the BSE Sensex declined by 12.31 points or 0.04% to 28339.31, while
the CNX Nifty was down by 12.75 points or 0.14% to 8,792.30.
The US markets closed higher on
Monday, for the fourth straight session to a record close after Federal Reserve
Chairwoman Janet Yellen signaled that the central bank could gradually raise
interest rates sooner rather than later. The Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet
Yellen left open the possibility of an interest-rate increase as early as the
central bank's next policy meeting in March. Yellen said the Fed would depend heavily
on US economic data to determine if the labor market continues to strengthen
and inflation is moving up to the central bank's 2% target. Adding to the sense
that a rate increase could come before too long, Yellen reiterated there is a
risk of the Fed waiting too long to raise rates. She said it would be unwise to
delay because it might require the central bank to eventually raise rates
rapidly. On economy front, the National Federation of Independent Business's
small-business index for January maintained its postelection surge as business
owners remained optimistic about better economic prospects under President
Donald Trump's administration. The Producer Price Index for January jumped by
0.6%, the largest rise since 2012, suggesting inflation may be heating up. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average added 92.25 points or 0.45 percent to 20,504.41,
the Nasdaq was up 18.61 points or 0.32 percent to 5,782.57, while S&P 500
gained 9.33 points or 0.40 percent to 2,337.58.
Crude oil futures made some
recovery on Tuesday and ended higher ahead of US inventory data. The API will
report its figures for inventories at the end of last week later on Tuesday,
while official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is
due on Wednesday. Last week, crude oil inventories in the U.S. jumped by 13.8
million barrels, inventories have been surging of late, and are expected to
rise further. Meanwhile, the EIA has said that US oil production is projected
to rise by 80,000 barrels a day in March at 4.873 million barrels per day. Benchmark
crude oil futures for March delivery gained $0.27 or 0.51 percent to $53.20 on
the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude for March delivery
ended higher by 0.68 percent at $55.97 on the ICE.
Snapping
two days losing streak, Indian rupee appreciated against dollar on Tuesday due
to increased selling of American currency by exporters and banks. Investors
took encouragement with the report that retail inflation based on Consumer
Price Index (CPI) slumped to a series low of 3.17% in January, mainly due to
fall in food prices, especially those of vegetables and pulses. Some support
also came with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that the Modi
government's emphasis is on bold decision making and a clean economy with
business friendly environment, the returns of which can be spent on the poor.
Besides, foreign fund inflows supported the rupee, but weak trade in domestic
equity market capped the gain. On the global front, dollar stumbled against
major currencies overseas after U.S. President Donald Trump's national security
advisor Michael Flynn quit under scrutiny over whether he discussed the
possibility of lifting U.S. sanctions on Russia before Trump took office.
Finally, the rupee ended at 66.92, 9 paise stronger from its previous close of
67.01 on Monday.
The
FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 3893.35 crore against gross selling
of Rs 3575.50 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
990.26 crore with gross sales of Rs 221.52 crore.
The US markets continuing their
bull run reached new record highs in the last session, on the heels of Federal
Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's semiannual monetary policy testimony before the
Senate Banking Committee, where she hinted of rate hike. The Asian markets have
made mostly a positive start led by the Japanese market that surged on weakness
in yen after Janet Yellen said the Federal Reserve doesn't need to wait for the
Trump's administration's plans on fiscal stimulus to hike rates. The Indian
markets continued their consolidation mood and ended flat with a negative bias
in last session after the provisional headline inflation rate based on WPI for
January, shooting up to a 30-month high of 5.25 percent as rising global crude
oil prices spiked domestic fuel cost. Today, the start is likely to remain
cautious and markets may extend their consolidation mood with fear of US Fed's
imminent rate hike in March. Traders however will get some support with India
Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) latest report that the Indian economy is likely
to grow by 7.4 percent in the next fiscal year, however it has revised down GDP
growth estimate for 2016-17 to 6.8 percent from 7.9 percent. Now traders will
be eyeing the 10th meeting of the all-powerful GST Council this weekend, where
a critical anti-profiteering clause in the draft Goods and Services Tax law to
ensure that the benefit of lower taxes gets shared with consumers is likely to
be finalized. There will be lots of result reactions to keep the markets
buzzing during the day.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
8792.30
|
8769.72
|
8817.67
|
BSE Sensex
|
28339.31
|
28270.70
|
28400.67
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
IDEA
|
200.56
|
109.9
|
106.40
|
112.80
|
Bank of Baroda
|
166.68
|
168.8
|
166.22
|
171.32
|
Tata Motors
|
149.01
|
482.05
|
463.50
|
503.65
|
SBI
|
133.06
|
270.2
|
267.87
|
272.77
|
Hindalco
|
119.39
|
187.25
|
184.97
|
188.77
|
Coal India is contemplating a major diversification as it plans to produce oil and gas from its coal in a big way as growth from its core activity is declining.
Adani Ports and SEZ has reported 25.83% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 849.75 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, as compared to Rs 675.32 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.
Sun Pharma has reported 4.73% fall in its consolidated net profit at Rs 1471.82 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, as compared to Rs 1544.85 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.
BHEL has launched remote controlled weapon station for the Indian Army's Arjun tanks at Aero India.
Tata Motors has reported 96.22% fall in its consolidated net profit at Rs 111.57 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2016, as compared to Rs 2952.67 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.