Indian benchmark indices give up
most of their early gains to close marginally higher on Friday, amid profit
taking in selective frontline stocks. Today's session largely remained
characterized by consolidation as the aimless indices moved only sideways in a
tight band ahead of Assembly poll results of five states on Saturday.
Sentiments got some support after various exit polls suggested the Prime
Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may comfortably cross the
majority mark of 202 in the 403-seat UP Assembly, or come close to it. Further,
investors got some comfort with the report that the government's revenue
collection from indirect tax during April-February grew by an impressive 22.2%,
while that of direct tax rose by 10.7%. Total direct and indirect tax
collections at February end stood at Rs 13.89 lakh crore, 81.5% of the target
of Rs 16.99 lakh crore, as per the revised estimate for 2016-17. However, gains
remained capped with CRISIL's report that a revival in private sector
investment cycle is likely to be deferred to fiscal 2019 as there is ample
headroom in capacity utilization, stretched balance sheets and just a moderate
pick-up in demand. In the next fiscal year ending March 2018, CRISIL predicts
only a mild recovery due to an absence of fiscal and monetary stimuli and
unsupportive global environment.
Meanwhile, Telecom stocks gained traction on the report that the
government is set to go for 5G spectrum auction this year -making an early move
to initiate rollout of latest communications technologies. The government will
also go for a fresh auction in 700 MHz band, which drew a blank last year as
companies complained of high reserve price. Further, some auto stocks surged
after the Vehicle sales across categories registered a marginal increase at
17,19,699 units in February 2017 from 17,03,736 in the same month last year.
Domestic passenger vehicle sales rose by 9.01% y-o-y to 255,359 units in
February, while Sales of commercial vehicles moved up 7.34% to 66,939 units in
February. Finally, the BSE Sensex surged 17.10 points or 0.06% to 28946.23,
while the CNX Nifty was up by 7.55 points or 0.08% to 8,934.55.
The US markets closed mostly
higher on Monday, as investors refrained from making sizable bets ahead of a
Federal Reserve meeting that is widely expected to deliver an interest-rate
increase. With no economic data, investors were instead focusing on the two-day
Federal Open Market Committee meeting that kicks off Tuesday. Investors will be
eager to glean signals about the timing and pace of future rate increases from
the FOMC's policy statement. The market is pricing in about three rate
increases of a quarter of a percentage point each for 2017. The market sees an
88.6% probability that the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee will
vote for an interest-rate Wednesday, according to data from the CME Group.
Expectations for a rate increase were cemented after solid February
nonfarm-payroll data on Friday. The Nasdaq was up 14.05 points or 0.24 percent
to 5,875.78, S&P 500 gained 0.87 points or 0.04 percent to 2,373.47, while
the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 21.5 points or 0.10 percent to
20,881.48.
Crude oil futures continued their
declining trend for the sixth straight session on Monday, as the rising US
crude inventories continued to weigh on oil prices, and investors feared the
supply glut in US inventories could hamper OPEC's efforts to rebalance supply
and demand. The EIA has recently reported domestic oil stockpiles have surged
to their highest ever. Meanwhile, the oil services firm Baker Hughes reported
that US oil rig count rose for an eighth straight week to the highest level
since 2015. U.S. rig count rose by 8 to 617. Benchmark crude oil futures for May
delivery declined by $0.09 or 0.20 percent to $48.40 on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. In London, Brent crude for May delivery ended lower by $0.02 at $51.36
on the ICE.
Indian
rupee appreciated against dollar on Friday, due to selling of greenback by banks
and exporters. Investors got some comfort with the report that the government's
revenue collection from indirect tax during April-February grew by an
impressive 22.2%, while that of direct tax rose by 10.7%. Total direct and
indirect tax collections at February end stood at Rs 13.89 lakh crore, 81.5% of
the target of Rs 16.99 lakh crore, as per the revised estimate for 2016-17.
However, gains remained capped with dollar strength against some currencies overseas. On the global front, dollar rose to seven-week
highs against yen on Friday, as investors awaited U.S. jobs data that is likely
to cement expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week.
Finally, the rupee ended at 66.59, 12 paise stronger from its previous close of
66.71 on Thursday.
The
FIIs as per Friday's data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5792.62 crore against gross selling
of Rs 3855.46 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
755.56 crore with gross sales of Rs 652.67 crore.
The US markets made a mixed
closing in the last session in a lackluster trade, as traders braced for the
upcoming Federal Reserve meeting starting on Tuesday. The Fed is expected to
announce a modest interest rate at the culmination for its two-day meeting on
Wednesday. The Asian markets too have made
a mixed start with some indices trading marginally in red, as investors
anticipated a near-certain rate hike from the Federal Reserve this week, while
oil continued its slide for yet another day. The Indian markets before going
for a long weekend made a flat closing with a positive bias. Today, the start
is likely to be in green and the traders will be rejoicing the assembly
election outcome, which was mostly on the expected lines. A strong election win
in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh has raised the probability of the BJP
winning the 2019 general elections as well, putting sense of stability among
investors. Traders are also likely to get support from the economy front, where
the industrial production bounced back into expansion in January, kicking off
the financial year's last quarter on a positive note. The index of industrial
production (IIP) rose 2.7% in January from a year ago, the second fastest
monthly growth this financial year. However, there will be some cautiousness
too, with the RBI warning of a possible spike in inflation and stressing the
need to make digital payments "safe and secure", even as it felt that the
adverse and transient impact on the economy has "by and large" dissipated
already. Traders will be eyeing the inflation data to be released later in the
day for further cues. The banking stocks will keep buzzing, as the Finance
Minister Arun Jaitley has discussed options on resolution of bad loans with RBI
Governor Urjit Patel and other top officials in finance ministry but creation
of a 'bad bank' to hold such loans seemed not on top of alternatives.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
8934.55
|
8900.43
|
8972.18
|
BSE Sensex
|
28946.23
|
28839.30
|
29064.89
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
ICICI Bank
|
143.17
|
270.55
|
267.80
|
274.90
|
IDEA
|
139.38
|
104.25
|
102.87
|
106.27
|
Hindalco
|
97.46
|
187.60
|
185.95
|
190.30
|
SBI
|
95.57
|
272.05
|
269.18
|
275.23
|
Power Grid
|
92.19
|
192.55
|
189.83
|
195.48
|
Tata Power Delhi Distribution, a joint venture of Tata Power and the Government of Delhi, is planning to install 1,000 electric vehicle-charging stations in next four to five years in Delhi.
Idea Cellular and Mahindra Comviva have tied-up to launch Private Recharge, an electronic recharge service for women in 14 telecom circles of India.
ICICI Bank has launched the second season of 'ICICI Appathon', its virtual mobile app development challenge.
Hindalco Industries has raised Rs 3,350 crore through issuance of shares to qualified institutional buyers.