Indian equity bourses failed to
hold gains on Monday and ended in red. After a cautious start, markets remained
positive for the most part of the session, taking support from Niti Aayog
Vice-chairman Rajiv Kumar's statement that with several steps taken by the
government in the past couple of months to boost the economy, the country's
growth is expected to be around 6.5% this year, although it is lower than
expected. Some relief also came among investors because of the Finance Ministry's
statement that the Reserve Bank's decision to lower benchmark lending rate will
complement recent measures taken by the government to accelerate growth. But,
in the last leg of trade, key indices slipped into negative terrain. Sentiments
got hit with RBI's survey showing that the consumer sentiment declined further,
and people are less optimistic about their income to rise over the year ahead.
The consumer confidence in September registered a steep fall to 89.4 from 95.7
in July this year. The consumer confidence has touched the lowest level in at
least the last six years. The street overlooked Union Minister of State for
Finance and Corporate Affairs Anurag Thakur's statement that India will see
heavy foreign investment in the next two years following the government's
decision to cut corporate tax rates. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 141.33 points
or 0.38% to 37,531.98, while the CNX Nifty was down by 48.35 points or 0.43% to
11,126.40.
The US markets ended deeply in
red following reports that the Trump administration imposed visa restrictions
on Chinese officials over abuses of Muslim minorities in the Xinjiang region.
The new visa restrictions come just two days before the US and China are
scheduled to resume high-level trade talks in Washington. Optimism about the
trade talks had already waned after a report that China is subtly toning down
expectations ahead of this week's high-level negotiations. Chinese Vice Premier
Liu He is leading China's delegation to Washington but will not carry the title
of special envoy for President Xi Jinping, an early indication that Liu has not
been given any particular instructions from China's leader. On the economic
front, producer prices in the US unexpectedly decreased in the month of
September, according to a report released by the Labor Department. The Labor
Department said its producer price index for final demand fell by 0.3 percent
in September after inching up by 0.1 percent in August. The drop surprised
participants, who had expected another 0.1 percent uptick. The unexpected
decrease in producer prices came amid another steep drop in energy prices,
which plunged by 2.5 percent in September, matching the nosedive seen in the
previous month. However, excluding the continued plunge in energy prices as
well as a modest increase in food prices, core producer prices also slid by 0.3
percent in September after climbing by 0.3 percent in August. Street had
expected core prices to rise by 0.2 percent.
Crude oil futures ended
marginally lower on Tuesday as fading optimism about US-China trade talks
weighed on prospects for near term energy demand. Prospects for progress in
US-China trade talks dimmed after US President Donald Trump said a quick deal
was unlikely. Besides, in a monthly report issued, the US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) cut its expectations for global oil demand growth and
lowered 2020 price forecasts on West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil
prices. The EIA also said it expects US winter heating bills to be lower than
last year's. Meanwhile, traders were awaiting weekly crude inventories data
from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and US EIA for directional clues.
Benchmark crude oil futures for November declined 12 cents or 0.2 percent to
settle at $52.63 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. December Brent
lost 11 cents or 0.2 percent to settle at $58.24 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee ended weaker against the US dollar on Monday, on the back of consistent
demand for the greenback from state-run banks and importers. The rupee's losses
were caused by late hour sell-off in domestic equity market. Traders failed to
take support with NITI Aayog vice chairman Rajiv Kumar's statement that the
government expects economy to grow by 6.5% in the current fiscal and that all
efforts were focused on bringing India to a higher growth trajectory. On the
global front, dollar firmed on Monday, as fresh concerns over the trade war
between the United States and China kept risk appetite subdued and
trade-oriented currencies such as the Australian dollar under pressure.
Finally, the rupee ended at 71.02, 14 paise weaker from its previous close of
70.88 on Friday.
The
FIIs as per Monday's data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were
net buyers in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs
5130.04 crore against gross selling of Rs 6007.58 crore, while in the debt
segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1841.53 crore with gross sales of Rs
1069.01 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 18.37
crore against gross selling of Rs 13.77 crore.
The US markets declined on
Tuesday as investor optimism around the upcoming US-China trade talks faded.
Asian markets are trading mostly lower on Wednesday as US visa restrictions on
Chinese officials and the addition of more Chinese companies to a US trade
blacklist weighed on investor sentiment. Indian markets before going for a
holiday fell for the sixth straight session on Monday, dragged down by
profit-booking in select IT, banking, pharma and FMCG stocks. Today, the
markets are likely to make a cautious start tracking lackluster global cues
amid Indian economy growth concerns. Markets remain closed on Tuesday on
account of Dussehra. Traders will be concerned about the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) in its Monetary Policy Report stating that the Indian economy which has
largely been subdued in the past few quarters and signs of a slowdown have
cropped up, is likely to face several more risks in the near term. There will
be some cautiousness with report that India has moved down 10 places to rank
68th on an annual global competitiveness index, largely due to improvements
witnessed by several other economies, while Singapore has replaced the US as
the world's most competitive economy. India, which was ranked 58th in the
annual Global Competitiveness Index compiled by Geneva-based World Economic
Forum (WEF), is among the worst-performing BRICS nations along with Brazil
(ranked even lower than India at 71st this year). Besides, the new managing
director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Kristalina Georgieva warned
of an economic slowdown in 2019 in 90% of the world. He added that in other
emerging markets, such as India and Brazil, the slowdown is even more
pronounced this year. Though, traders may take note of a report that Securities
and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Chairman Ajay Tyagi saw keen interest from
foreign investors in emerging areas such as REITs and InvITs, which have a
total asset size of more than $10 billion. Agriculture stocks will be in focus
with a report that the overall food grain production is expected to increase
marginally by 8.4 million tonne from the average output in the past five years
at 140.57 million tonne in 2019 -20, with the best monsoons in 25 years. There
will be some buzz in the telecom stocks with industry body COAI's statement
that mobile tower installations have reached only 60% of intended target of
1,00,000 towers annually, mainly due to delay in permission from local
authorities and other structural issues. There will be some reaction in coal
stocks with ICRA's report that it expects the energy hungry nation's thermal
coal imports to be more than 200 million tonnes in 2019/20, due to
lower-than-expected production by state-run Coal India.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,126.40
|
11,081.42
|
11,202.62
|
BSE Sensex
|
37,531.98
|
37,368.52
|
37,807.46
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
3,552.87
|
45.65
|
43.37
|
47.37
|
ZEEL
|
529.76
|
251.50
|
217.70
|
270.90
|
SBI
|
391.61
|
249.10
|
246.17
|
252.72
|
Tata Motors
|
354.71
|
117.50
|
115.72
|
119.92
|
BPCL
|
274.49
|
490.65
|
474.92
|
506.92
|
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