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NSE Intra-day chart (04 July 2017)
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Market Commentary 05 July 2017
Markets to get a flat-to-soft start on geopolitical worries

It turned out to be a dismal performance from the benchmark indices on Tuesday, as they failed to snap the session in the positive territory and settled marginally below the neutral lines. The frontline indices took a breather, a session after showcasing a scintillating performance, as market participants turned cautious after North Korea test-launched an intermediate-range ballistic missile days before leaders from the Group of 20 nations are due to discuss steps to rein in Pyongyang's weapons programmes. On the domestic front, fear of uncertainty over the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) has cast its shadow on manufacturing activities as growth in the sector fell to a four-month low in June, showed the widely-tracked Nikkei purchasing managers' index (PMI). The PMI dropped to 50.9 in June from 51.6 the previous month, as a softer rise in new orders resulted in weaker growth in production. However, losses in the benchmark indices were capped with the Railway Minister Suresh Prabhu's statement that the India's GDP growth to the tune of 8-9% was expected and the new tax rates would contribute significantly towards this. He also said the GST aims at increasing the number of taxpayers and, as the tax revenue rises, the GDP will also increase. Some support also came with the report that the Financial Stability Board (FSB), an international body for global financial system, placed India in the league of countries that are ‘compliant or largely compliant' on implementation of priority area reforms. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 11.83 points or 0.04% to 31209.79, while the CNX Nifty was down by 1.70 points or 0.02% to 9,613.30.


The US markets remained closed on Tuesday on account of 'Independence Day' holiday.


Crude oil futures managed to reverse the early losses in a holiday thinned trade, due to the U.S. Independence Day' holiday. Oil had settled higher for eight sessions in a row as part of an extended recovery from multi-month lows. A supply glut has been eroding the impact of output cuts by major producers, though a latest weekly Baker Hughes data showed a fall in the US oil rig count for the first time since the start of the year. Benchmark crude oil futures for August delivery gained $0.10 or 0.21 percent to $47.17 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude for August delivery ended up 0.08 cents at $49.76 a barrel on the ICE.


Indian rupee appreciated against US dollar on Tuesday, as fresh sale of the US currency by exporters paced up. Local currency got some support with the Railway Minister Suresh Prabhu's statement that the India's GDP growth to the tune of 8-9% was expected and the new tax rates would contribute significantly towards this. He also said the Goods and Services Tax (GST) aims at increasing the number of taxpayers and, as the tax revenue rises, the GDP will also increase. Moreover, the local unit was in a sweet spot also because of a weak dollar overseas. On the global front, US dollar pared its loss against yen on Tuesday, with the greenback having been pushed lower as news of North Korea's missile testing prompted haven bids for Japan's currency. Finally, the rupee ended at 64.73, 14 paise stronger from its previous close of 64.87 on Monday.


The FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net sellers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 3532.61 crore against gross selling of Rs 4428.71 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 242.78 crore with gross sales of Rs 1721.61 crore.


The US markets remained closed in last session unable to give any cues to the other markets, while the Asian markets have made mostly a soft start on looming geopolitical concern over North Korea's nuclear weapons program after US confirmed North Korea's claim that it had launched an intercontinental ballistic missile. Japanese shares were weighed down by the strengthening yen. The Indian markets after much of dilly-dallying ended flat with a negative bias in the last session. Today, the start is likely to be flat-to-soft tailing the weakness in regional markets on geopolitical worries. North Korea said that it successfully test-launched a first intercontinental ballistic missile, (ICBM), which many experts said could put all of the US state of Alaska within range for the first time. Traders may also be cautious with a Fitch Ratings' report stating that the newly-implemented goods and services tax (GST) will support productivity and boost the long-term growth prospects but is unlikely to increase tax revenue in the short-term. Meanwhile, Revenue Secretary Hasmukh Adhia has said that about two lakh new registrations on GST have been done since it reopened last week. Of these, 39,000 have already been approved. Logistics stocks will see some upmove, as the Union Road Transport and Shipping Minister Nitin Gadkari has said that logistic sector will gain most with GST, as on the back-of-the-envelope calculations logistics costs would come down by at least 20 per cent. Gems and jewellary stocks too will see some action on report that India's gems and jewellery exports rose over 11 per cent to $6.78 billion during the first two months of the current fiscal, largely driven by demand in major markets like the US.


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  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has entered into a strategic long-term manufacturing agreement with Samsung BioLogics for Tildrakizumab.
  • Bajaj Auto is all set to start producing Husqvarna range of motorcycles from its Chakan plant near Pune by the end of next year.
  • ONGC's overseas arm - ONGC Videsh has signed definitive binding agreements with Tullow Namibia, a wholly owned subsidiary of Tullow Oil plc, to acquire 30 per cent participating interest in three blocks.
  • Mahindra and Mahindra's South Korean subsidiary SsangYong Motor, has sold a total of 12,697 units in June 2017 - 10,535 units in domestic sales and 2,162 in exports.
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