Indian benchmark equity indices
staged a blockbuster performance on the first day of the week by vehemently
rallying over two percentage points for the session and re-conquering their
psychological levels. Sentiments got a boost with Prime Minister Narendra
Modi's statement that India is the fastest developing country among the "larger
economies of the world". He also said that India is the only economy which has
not been affected by the global economic crisis that has hit the world. Furthermore, Union Minister of State for
Commerce and Industry Nirmala Sitharaman said manufacturing in the country is
picking up and the perception that there is any slowdown in the sector is
wrong. Some support also came with the report that India's foodgrain production
can increase to 253.16 million tonnes in 2015-16 crop year on likely
improvement in output of wheat and pulses despite back-to-back drought.
Besides, slip in the wholesale price index (WPI)-based inflation for the
fifteenth straight month further lifted the mood of the investors. Reversing
four months of rising trend, WPI inflation fell to (-) 0.9 per cent in January
as food articles, mainly vegetables and pulses, turned cheaper. This was
further contraction to the WPI inflation reading of (-) 0.73 per cent in December
2015. Appreciation in Indian rupee too supported the sentiments. Indian rupee
strengthened by 11 paise to 68.12 against the dollar on increased selling of
the US currency by exporters and banks. Meanwhile, Investors didn't show much
of a reaction, to the macro-economic data released by the government post
market hours on Friday. The data released revealed that factory output shrunk
for the second straight month in December to 1.3%. The consumer price inflation
edged up to a 17-month high of 5.69 per cent in January, driven up by higher
food costs. On the global front, Asian stocks rebounded from a three-year low,
while European stock markets rallied for a second straight session on Monday. Back
home, the benchmark got off to a positive start in the morning trade as
investors were largely influenced by the supportive leads from Asian markets.
The frontline indices soon gathered momentum and surged around two percent
through the morning session of trade. Second half of the session saw the key
gauges capitalize on the momentum further and spurt to session's highest levels
in dying hour. However, a mild profit booking in dying moments of trade ensured
that the key indices shut shops off the intraday highs. Finally, the BSE Sensex
surged by 568 points or 2.47% to 23554.12, while the CNX Nifty rose 182 points
or 2.61% to 7,162.95.
The US markets remained closed on
Monday on account of ‘President's Day' holiday.
Crude oil futures remained steady
in light holiday trading on Monday. Though, there was speculation that OPEC
might agree to cut production to reduce a supply glut that has pushed prices to
the lowest in over a decade. Benchmark crude oil futures for March delivery gained
$0.39 or 1.4 percent to $29.83 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude for April delivery closed at $33.67,
up $0.31 or 0.90 percent on the ICE.
Indian rupee appreciated for the
second consecutive session against dollar on increased selling of dollar by
banks and exporters amid gains in Asian currencies. Besides weakness in the
dollar against some currencies overseas and surge in local equity market also
added to the positive milieu of Indian currency. Sentiments got a boost with slip
in the wholesale price index (WPI)-based inflation for the fifteenth straight
month. Reversing four months of rising trend, WPI inflation fell to (-) 0.9 per
cent in January as food articles, mainly vegetables and pulses, turned cheaper.
On the global front, yen's advance halted as Japan's leader criticized
extremely volatile currency markets and as gains for China's yuan on its first
full day's trade in a week helped settle global financial nerves. Finally, the
rupee ended at 68.06, 18 paise stronger from its previous close of 68.24 on
Friday.
The
FIIs as per Monday's data were net sellers in equity and in debt segments both.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4694.27 crore against gross selling
of Rs 4737.86 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 213.50
crore with gross sales of Rs 1259.78 crore.
The US markets remained closed in
last session on account of a holiday, unable to give any cues to other global
markets. Though the Asian markets have made a green start and some of the
indices in the region are up by over a percent in early deals as crude oil rose
back above $30 a barrel. Meanwhile, the Bank of Korea kept its key rate
unchanged for an eighth consecutive month. The Indian markets went for a huge
relief rally with major indices surging over two percent in last session. There
was across the board buying and all the beaten down fundamentally strong stocks
moved considerably higher. Today, the start is likely to be in green and the
markets will be extending their gains of last session. However, there is likely
to be consolidation, and some profit taking too can appear going forward.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuraman Rajan stated
that RBI and the government don't favour undervaluation of the exchange rate as
a means to spur economic growth. Traders are likely to turn cautious with
exports falling for the 14th consecutive month with shipments in January, 2016
contracting 13.6 per cent year-on-year to $21 billion due to weak overseas
demand as well as fall in major export items. Imports also fell during the
month by 11 per cent to $28.7 billion that resulted in the trade deficit
narrowing to an 11-month low of $7.6 billion. Traders will also be concerned
with India Ratings maintaining a negative outlook for infrastructure sector for
the next fiscal as it sees a high concentration of poorly performing assets.
There will be some buzz in the capital goods sector, as the government unveiled
the first-ever policy for the country's capital goods sector which envisages
increasing the share of capital goods in total manufacturing activity from 12
per cent at present to 20 per cent by 2025. The oil & gas sector too may
see some action, on reports that Oil Ministry will soon come up with a Cabinet
note on new crude import policy for spot crude purchases by state-owned
refiners.
Support
and Resistance: NSE Nifty and BSE Sensex
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
CNX Nifty
|
7162.95
|
7085.57
|
7211.57
|
BSE Sensex
|
23554.12
|
23293.65
|
23718.62
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
Bank of Baroda
|
557.93
|
139.35
|
124.53
|
148.13
|
Vedanta
|
368.27
|
75.00
|
68.87
|
78.47
|
SBI
|
359.56
|
167.85
|
160.57
|
172.57
|
ICICI Bank
|
310.28
|
203.50
|
195.83
|
209.23
|
Tata Motors
|
188.89
|
317.25
|
303.05
|
326.10
|
Bharat Heavy Electricals has successfully commissioned a 101 MW gas-based Combined Cycle Power Plant on Engineering, Procurement and Construction basis, in Tripura.
Diversified conglomerate ITC is planning to invest Rs 800 crore in Odisha over the next few years to set up a hotel property and a food processing park in the state.
Tata Steel SEZ, wholly owned subsidiary of Tata Steel is planning to invest about Rs 2,000-2,500 crore for development of infrastructure at Gopalpur in Odisha in the near term.
HDFC Bank has opened three new branches in Jaipur, Rajasthan.
L&T is likely to get the final clearance from the Odisha government for setting up a 3 mtpa aluminium plant with an estimated investment of Rs 12,000 crore in Rayagada district in the next 2-3 months.