After 2-day euphoric rally, bulls
took a breather on Tuesday's trading session, with the Sensex and the Nifty
ending on flat note. Key indices made a cautious start of the day and traded
sluggish for the most part of the session, as former Union finance minister
Yashwant Sinha said that a contraction in demand and reluctance to invest are
key reasons for the current slowdown in the Indian economy, which grew at its
slowest pace in over six years in the June quarter. Adding more worries, the
latest data released by the Agriculture Ministry showed that the country's
foodgrains production is estimated slightly lower at 140.57 million tonnes in
the kharif season of 2019-20 crop year on likely fall in rice and pulses
output. However, markets managed to stage recovery in late afternoon session.
Sentiments got comfort, after Reserve Bank Governor Shaktikanta Das said that
the government's recent decision to cut corporate tax rates is a bold measure
and augurs well for the economy. Adding some relief, Crisil Research also said
that the reduction in corporate tax announced by Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman could help the top 1,000 listed companies in the country save at
least Rs 37,000 crore this fiscal year. Separately, NITI Aayog vice chairman
Rajiv Kumar said that India has become a more attractive investment destination
following the reduction in corporate tax rates but relocation of units from
competitors such as China will depend on other factors as well, such as the
ability of states to make their environment more business-friendly. Finally,
the BSE Sensex gained 7.11 points or 0.02% to 39,097.14, while the CNX Nifty
was down by 12.00 points or 0.10% to 11,588.20.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday after President Trump criticized China in a United Nations speech,
undermining investor sentiment that had been improving on hopes for successful
trade talks in October. Stocks were also whipsawed by worries about President
Donald Trump's political future. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will announce a
formal impeachment inquiry after she meets with her caucus to discuss the call
Trump had earlier this year with Ukraine's leader, Volodymyr Zelensky, where he
allegedly pressured him to investigate Democratic presidential hopeful Joe
Biden's family. Besides, cautiousness too prevailed in the markets, after a
report released by the Conference Board showed US consumer confidence
deteriorated by much more than anticipated in the month of September. The
Conference Board said its consumer confidence index tumbled to 125.1 in
September from a downwardly revised 134.2 in August. Street had expected the
consumer confidence index to dip to 133.0 from the 135.1 originally reported
for the previous month. Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at
the Conference Board, said an escalation in trade and tariff tensions in late
August appears to have rattled consumers. However, Franco said this pattern of
uncertainty and volatility has persisted for much of the year and it appears
confidence is plateauing. She added, while confidence could continue hovering
around current levels for months to come, at some point this continued
uncertainty will begin to diminish consumers' confidence in the expansion. Dow
Jones Industrial Average dropped 142.22 points or 0.53 percent to 26807.77,
Nasdaq declined 118.83 points or 1.46 percent to 7993.63 and S&P 500 was
down by 25.18 points or 0.84 percent to 2966.60.
Crude oil futures ended lower
with cut of over two percent on Tuesday, pressured by signs that Saudi Arabia
is making progress in restoring production following attacks on processing
facilities, as well as concerns over the global demand picture. Oil prices also
declined on report that President Donald Trump turned up pressure on China as
Washington and Beijing continue to seek a trade deal, and said all nations have
a duty to act on Iran. Besides, weak economic data from Asia, Europe and the US
raised concerns about near term energy demand. Benchmark crude oil futures for
October dropped $1.35 or 2.3 percent to settle at $57.29 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. November Brent fell $1.67 cents or 2.6 percent to settle
at $63.10 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee pared all of its gains and ended marginally weaker against dollar on
Tuesday, due to fresh demand for the American currency from banks and
importers. Investors were worried with former Union finance minister Yashwant
Sinha's statement that a contraction in demand and reluctance to invest are key
reasons for the current slowdown in the Indian economy, which grew at its
slowest pace in over six years in the June quarter. Lackluster trade in the
equity markets also affected the rupee value. On the global front, euro nursed
losses on Tuesday after weak readings on German manufacturing rattled
confidence, while the dollar found broad support as investors looked for signs
of progress from Sino-US trade negotiations. Finally, the rupee ended at 71.01,
7 paise weaker from its previous close of 70.94 on Monday.
The
FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net buyers in equity segment, while they were
net sellers in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs
10932.50 crore against gross selling of Rs 8128.22 crore, while in the debt
segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1304.05 crore with gross sales of Rs
1736.43 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 3.87
crore against gross selling of Rs 2.35 crore.
The US markets declined on
Tuesday after a hawkish statement on trade by President Donald Trump and as
congressional Democrats moved towards an impeachment inquiry into Trump. Asian markets are trading in red on Wednesday
following losses on Wall Street. Indian markets ended a volatile session almost
flat on Tuesday, as investors scrambled to book profits after a stellar two-day
rally. Today, the start of session is likely to be pessimistic mirroring
weakness in global markets. There will be some cautiousness with report that
India's fiscal deficit gap is set to increase by at least 70 basis points to 4
percent of the gross domestic product (GDP) for 2019-20 after Finance Minister
Nirmala Sitharaman announced a cut in corporate tax rates on September 20.
However, traders may take some encouragement later in the day as describing the
government's move to slash corporate tax rate as a bold measure, RBI Governor
Shaktikanta Das said it has made India a very attractive destination for
foreign investment. With regard to domestic investors, he said, they now have
more cash so they will be able to undertake more capital expenditure. Some
support may also come with Union Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad's statement that
India must aspire to be the largest FDI recipient globally and has everything
going for it, given its vibrant digital profile, huge market and
investor-friendly policies to woo foreign companies, including Apple. Besides,
US President Donald Trump said his country will soon have a trade deal with
India to boost economic ties between the two nations. There will be some
reaction in banking stocks with India Rating's report that banks are staring at
a spike in their credit cost, which is set to rise in the range of 1.9-4.6
percent for the second half of the current fiscal, with slower pace of
resolution of bad loans. Pharma stocks will be in focus with ICRA's report that
the pharmaceutical sector which enjoys a host of tax exemptions will not see
any tangible benefits from the corporate tax rate cut announced last week by
the government. There will be some buzz in the auto stocks with report that
bank loans to finance vehicle purchases in India has slipped to 4.9%
year-on-year at the end of July, less than half of the growth recorded in the
year-ago period, indicating a slump in demand for cars and trucks which is in
sync with the overall private consumption slowdown. Meanwhile, as per a report,
Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC), a subsidiary of Indian
Railways that handles its ticketing and catering operations, is likely to
launch its initial public offering (IPO) on September 30. The proposed IPO is
expected to see the government sell stake worth Rs 480 crore through an offer
for sale.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,588.20
|
11,533.25
|
11,649.10
|
BSE Sensex
|
39,097.14
|
38,904.68
|
39,297.99
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in
Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
1,718.28
|
56.05
|
53.85
|
57.95
|
Zee Entertainment
Enterprises
|
622.78
|
279.00
|
261.02
|
291.97
|
Tata Motors
|
416.59
|
130.90
|
128.53
|
132.73
|
SBI
|
400.97
|
302.60
|
297.22
|
311.57
|
BPCL
|
313.33
|
461.30
|
443.95
|
476.70
|
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