Indian equity benchmarks traded
in green terrain throughout the day and saw a strong relief rally in final hour
of trade which helped to close the session at intraday high levels on Friday.
With that, the markets extended their gaining streak for the second straight
session, recapturing their crucial 31,550 (Sensex) and 9,250 (Nifty) bastions.
Key indices staged a gap up opening, taking cues from gains in global markets.
Sentiments remained up-beat with report that Prime Minister Narendra Modi
reviewed the impact of COVID-19 on the Indian economy and a possible second
stimulus to boost sectors hit hard by the pandemic. Modi held discussions with
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman as the pandemic hit sectors from small
industries to the aviation sector hard with millions of jobs at stake. However,
markets gave up some of gains in noon trading, as some concern came with SBI
Research's Ecowrap report that India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth may
slide to 1.1% in the current financial year (FY21), due to the impact of
coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on the economy. Though, benchmark indices
witnessed a sharp surge to reach at fresh intraday high points in last leg of
trade, as investors' sentiment was buoyed after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
announced a slew of measures to infuse liquidity in the financial system
including a cut in the reverse repo rate, Rs 50,000-crore targeted long-term
repo operations (TLTRO) and refinancing facilities for Nabard, Sidbi and NHB.
In order to encourage banks to deploy these surplus funds in investments and
loans in productive sectors of the economy, it has been decided to reduce the
fixed rate reverse repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) by 25
basis points from 4 percent to 3.75 percent with immediate effect. Markets were
also supported by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that there are a few
slivers of brightness amidst the encircling gloom and hoped that India will
stage a sharp V-shaped recovery in 2021-22 as projected by the International
Monetary Fund (IMF). Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 986.11 points or 3.22% to
31,588.72, while the CNX Nifty was up by 273.95 points or 3.05% to 9,266.75.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday as investors' sentiment was buoyed by report of a possible treatment for
the COVID-19 disease and Trump administration announced guidelines for
reopening the economy. Support for markets was attributed to a report from
health-care media site Stat report that indicated promising results for a drug
used to treat COVID-19, the disease that has claimed more than 140,000 lives
around the globe and forced the closure of much of the US and global economy in
an effort to contain it. University of Chicago Medicine researchers saw rapid
recoveries in 125 patients suffering from COVID-19 who were taking Gilead
Sciences Inc.'s experimental drug remdesivir as part of a clinical trial. The
National Institutes of Health published a media advisory announcing the results
of a study showing the drug effective in treating monkeys infected with
COVID-19. Meanwhile, traders shrugged off a report from the Conference Board
showing its index of leading US economic indicators registered the largest
decline in its 60-year history in the month of March. The Conference Board said
its leading economic index plunged by 6.7 percent in March after dipping by a
revised 0.2 percent in February. Street had expected the index to plummet by
7.0 percent compared to the 0.1 percent uptick originally reported for the
previous month.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Friday as huge crude stockpile and continued concerns about the outlook for
near to medium-term energy demand weighed heavily on the commodity. Although, a
report about a potential remedy to the coronavirus infection and the US
President's plans to ease restrictions on lockdown in the country and re-open
the economy in a phased manner lifted global stock markets up sharply, worries
about China's sagging economy sent oil prices crashing. For the week, West
Texas Intermediate crude was down roughly 19.7%. Brent crude fell 10.8%. Crude
oil futures for May dropped $1.60 or 8.1 percent to settle at $18.27a barrel on
the New York Mercantile Exchange. However, June Brent crude gained 26 cents or
0.9 percent to settle at $28.08 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Reversing its two-session fall,
Indian rupee bounced back to end higher against the US currency on Friday, on
persistent selling of the American currency by exporters. Sentiments turned
optimistic as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has unveiled further measures to
maintain adequate liquidity in the system with an aim to deal with the impact
of the COVID-19 pandemic. RBI has decided to reduce the fixed rate reverse repo
rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) by 25 basis points (bps)
from 4.0 per cent to 3.75 per cent with immediate effect. Buying in the
domestic equity market along with dollar losing sheen against some other
currencies overseas further supported sentiment in the forex market. On the
global front, dollar fell on Friday as a report on signs of success in a
Covid-19 treatment drug trial as well as early plans to re-open the US economy
drove fresh optimism and risk appetite. Finally, the rupee ended at 76.39, 48 paise
stronger from its previous close of 76.87 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6856.98 crore against gross selling of Rs 9447.73 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 479.80 crore with gross sales
of Rs 1729.36 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
16.09 crore against gross selling of Rs 10.02 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday following a report of promising early data related to a potential
coronavirus treatment from Gilead Sciences (GILD). Asian markets are trading
mixed on Monday as investors awaited the release of China's loan prime rate,
which is set to be out, with a cut expected by traders. Indian markets ended
higher on Friday after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced another round
of measures to help fight liquidity crisis amid coronavirus lockdown. Today,
the start of new week is likely to be pessimistic amid weak cues from Asian
peers. Investors are also eyeing Q4 result for the Infosys which is slated to
be out later in the day. Traders will be concerned with report that expecting a
major global recession due to the coronavirus pandemic, the World Bank said
that its estimates suggest a much deeper economic downturn than the 2007-09
Great Recession. Rising coronavirus cases in India also is likely to impact
investors' sentiment. The total number of confirmed cases of coronavirus
disease (COVID-19) infection in India crossed topped 16,000 on April19, while
the death toll crossed the 500-mark as well. Also, there will be some
cautiousness as the government is unlikely to exempt GST on medical items like
ventilators, PPEs, masks, test kits and sanitisers, as it would lead to blocked
input tax credit (ITC), thereby increasing the cost of manufacturing and
increase the price for consumers. Besides, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs)
have withdrawn a net Rs 12,650 crore from the Indian capital markets between
April 01-17 amid the coronavirus crisis. Though, in the country, lockdown will
be eased in areas with no new cases for coronavirus, as said by the government
earlier. This could bring some relief amongst investors. Some support will come
with report that to curb opportunistic takeovers or acquisitions of Indian
companies due to the current COVID-19 pandemic, the government has amended the
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policy 2017. According to new revised policy,
an entity of a country, which shares land border with India or where the
beneficial owner of an investment into India is situated in or is a citizen of
any such country, can invest only under the government route. There will be
some buzz in the power stocks with a private report that the Union Cabinet is
likely to approve a package for discoms reeling under revenue loss due to lower
power demand amid the coronavirus lockdown, including setting up of an
alternative investment fund to pay off their dues towards electricity
generation companies. Metal stocks will be in focus as the Indian Steel
Association (ISA), which represents major public and private sector steel
companies, forecast that steel demand would contract 7.7% in 2020 in the wake
of measures taken to contain the spread of Covid-19 pandemic.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
9,266.75
|
9,285.83
|
9,285.83
|
BSE Sensex
|
31,588.72
|
31,126.86
|
31,884.65
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
State Bank of India
|
898.58
|
193.25
|
187.03
|
198.73
|
ICICI Bank
|
690.08
|
375.55
|
354.57
|
391.02
|
Tata Motors
|
583.36
|
76.85
|
74.93
|
78.53
|
Axis Bank
|
478.32
|
478.80
|
445.50
|
499.00
|
Vedanta
|
301.77
|
84.10
|
82.30
|
86.45
|
Kotak Mahindra Bank has launched its first ATM on Wheels facility in Mumbai.
Larsen & Toubro's construction arm -- L&T construction has bagged orders from prestigious clients in India for buildings & factories business.
NTPC is providing continuous power to the country while abiding with all the guidelines set by the Government of India as well as state governments regarding lockdown and social distancing.
Tata Steel has received approval from Committee of Directors to raise Rs 1,025 crore on private placement basis.