Indian equity benchmark indices
pared most of their early losses to settle with minor cut on Wednesday, as
investors stayed cautious ahead of the CPI inflation data for July which will
be released later in the day. Key indices made gap-down opening, following
lackluster macroeconomic data and concerns over rising coronavirus cases.
Government data showed India's industrial production declined by 16.6 per cent
in June, on account of disruption in normal business activity following the
outbreak of coronavirus pandemic. Some cautiousness also prevailed in the
markets with a private report that the MSMEs will take at least 7-8 months to
recover from the impact of COVID-19 pandemic, and the recovery rate of an
enterprise will depend on factors like its rate of digitisation and the sector
in which it is operating. Traders also reacted negatively to Fitch Ratings'
statement that the Reserve Bank's scheme to allow lenders to recast loans will
extend uncertainty over the banking sector's asset quality. According to Fitch,
the scheme could open a window for banks to build capital buffers while putting
off full recognition of COVID-19 pandemic's impact on loan portfolios, but is
reminiscent of a strategy adopted over 2010-2016 that delayed and exacerbated
problems for banks. However, markets managed to cut most of losses in final
hour of session, on the back of largely positive cues from global peers.
Traders also found some solace with a private report that the Department of
Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) has proposed short-
and-long-term measures to turn India into a manufacturing hub for auto
components and air conditioning. Some respite also came amid private report
stating that the Indian export sector is likely to witness a sharper recovery
curve September-October onwards, which could be further strengthened by the
holiday season in western countries in the following months. The third in a
three-part series, Drip Capital's working paper says that improvements in the
June export numbers are definitely early signs of recovery in the economy.
Finally, the BSE Sensex lost 37.38 points or 0.10% to 38,369.63, while the CNX
Nifty was down by 14.10 points or 0.12% to 11,308.40.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday on reports that the US government has secured 100 million doses of
Moderna's (MRNA) experimental COVID-19 vaccine in a deal valued at up to $1.525
billion. The strength on markets partly reflected a rebound by tech stocks,
which have pulled back sharply in recent session. Big-name tech companies like
Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon posted notable gains, partly offsetting the recent
weakness. Shares of Tesla also moved sharply higher after the electric car
maker said its board has approved and declared a five-for-one split of the
company's common stock in the form of a stock dividend. On the economic data
front, Consumer prices in the US increased by more than anticipated in the
month of July, according to a report released by the Labor Department. The
Labor Department said its consumer price index climbed by 0.6 percent in July,
matching the increase seen in June. Street had expected consumer prices to rise
by 0.3 percent. The stronger than expected consumer price growth was partly due
to a continued spike in energy prices, which surged up by 2.5 percent in July
after soaring by 5.1 percent in June. Gasoline prices continued to lead the way
higher.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday after industry data showed that US inventories of crude fell more
than street expected, raising hopes of a recovery in global oil demand. The
Energy Information Administration reported that US crude inventories fell by
4.5 million barrels for the week ended August 7. That followed sizable declines
in each of the previous two weeks. The American Petroleum Institute (API)
reported late Tuesday that US crude stocks fell by 4 million barrels last week,
beating expectations of draw of 2.9 million barrels. The API data also showed
gasoline stockpiles declined by 1.3 million barrels, while distillate
inventories fell by 2.9 million barrels. Crude oil futures for September rose
$1.06 or 2.6 percent to settle at $42.67 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. October Brent crude gained 93 cents or 2.1 percent to settle at
$45.43 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended weaker against
dollar on Wednesday, on emergence of demand for the greenback from importers.
Investors' sentiment remained fragile as India's factory output, measured on
the basis of Index of Industrial Production (IIP), declined by 16.6 per cent in
June 2020. The Indices of Industrial Production for the Mining, Manufacturing
and Electricity sectors for the month of June 2020 stood at 85.4, 106.9 and
156.2 respectively. Fast-rising covid cases and weakness in equity markets also
dampened traders' mood. On the global front; sterling held above $1.30 on
Wednesday, clinging on to recent gains on the back of dollar weakness, which
outweighed the impact of a record drop in Britain's economic output. Finally,
the rupee ended at 74.83, 5 paise weaker from its previous close of 74.78 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 16974.38 crore against gross selling of Rs 5203.15 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 941.44 crore with gross
sales of Rs 295.82 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 16.96 crore against gross selling of Rs 16.12 crore.
The US markets closed higher on
Wednesday amid report that that the US government has secured 100 million doses
of Moderna's (MRNA) experimental COVID-19 vaccine in a deal valued at up to
$1.525 billion. Asian markets are trading in green on Thursday following a
surge in the US markets overnight as tech stocks rallied. Indian markets ended
lower on Wednesday as weak domestic factory output data and mixed global cues dampened
investors' mood. Today, the start of session is likely to be optimistic
tracking firm global cues. Investors will be looking ahead to the retail
inflation data to be out later in the day. Traders will be getting
encouragement with a private report that 70 per cent of all reported
coronavirus cases in India have now recovered. The steepest rise in the
recovery rate has been in the month of August, with the recovery rate gaining
almost six percentage points in just 12 days. Some support will come with a
private report that amid the economic fallout caused due to the coronavirus
outbreak, the government may soon roll out another set of stimulus measures and
Prime Minister Narendra Modi himself will unveil these steps. Traders may take
note of report that Union minister Nitin Gadkari called for increased
investment by international institutions and bodies in the Indian Highways and
MSME sectors. There will be some buzz in the IT stocks with a report that the
Trump administration has relaxed some rules for H-1B visas holders, allowing
them to enter the United States if they are returning to the same jobs they had
prior to the proclamation of the visa ban. Gold related stocks will be in focus
with the Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) report that the
country's gem and jewellery exports contracted by 38.10 per cent in July to
$1.35 billion (around Rs 10,185 crore) due to weak global demand on account of
the COVID-19 pandemic. There will be some reaction in tea industry related
stocks as the Consultative Committee of Plantation Associations (CCPA), the
apex body of tea associations in India, has urged Union Commerce Minister
Piyush Goyal not to reduce import duty on tea as any move in that direction
will disturb the equilibrium of the industry. There will be some earnings
announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,308.40
|
11,260.04
|
11,339.39
|
BSE Sensex
|
38,407.01
|
38,125.81
|
38,414.37
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous
close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance
(Rs)
|
(in
Lacs)
|
State Bank of India
|
1,578.21
|
203.05
|
197.01
|
206.66
|
Tata Motors
|
507.15
|
125.35
|
121.84
|
127.64
|
Zee Entertainment
Enterprises
|
386.68
|
161.25
|
156.90
|
164.95
|
ICICI Bank
|
257.06
|
366.85
|
364.15
|
369.15
|
Axis Bank
|
231.84
|
451.10
|
442.45
|
456.25
|
Wipro has completed the acquisition of 4C for 68 million euros.
APSEZ's board has given its in-principle approval for issuance of NCDs worth around Rs 3,000 crore in one or more tranches on private placement basis.
HDFC has raised Rs 10,000 crore equity capital by issuing 5,68,18,181 equity shares at an issue price of Rs 1,760 to qualified investors.
Coal India has sought 15 per cent distance-based freight concession from Indian Railways for transportation of domestic coal to customers.