Indian equity bourses maintained
their gains to end Monday's session in green terrain for the second consecutive
day, with Sensex and Nifty gaining over 150 & 50 points, respectively. The
markets made a negative start of the day, amid the Reserve Bank of India's
(RBI) data report showing that the country's foreign exchange reserves fell by
$446 million to $428.604 billion in the week to August 30, mainly on account of
a drop in foreign currency assets. But, soon indices turned positive, as
Environment and forest minister Prakash Javadekar termed the present economic
slowdown as a cyclical process. He said the government remains optimistic
about near-doubling the economy size to $5 trillion by 2024. Firm trade
persisted over the Dalal Street in the second half of the session, on the back
of firm cues from global markets. Some support also came with a private report
stating that the government has taken upon itself the task of giving the
much-needed boost to the economy, by fast-tracking public spending,
particularly CAPEX. Though, some gains got trimmed in the last hour of the
trade, after credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) revised
its sector outlook on non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) to negative from
stable. Besides, the agency maintained its negative outlook on large ticket
housing finance companies (HFCs). Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 163.68 points
or 0.44% to 37,145.45, while the CNX Nifty was up by 56.85 points or 0.52% to
11,003.05.
The US markets ended choppy
trading session mostly in green on Tuesday as a rally in energy, industrials
and materials stocks overshadowed a selloff in momentum-driven technology
shares, helping the Dow Jones Industrial Average extend its win streak to five
sessions. Though, some cautiousness prevailed on the markets amid uncertainty
ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday
as well as next week's Federal Reserve meeting. Both the ECB and the Fed are
expected to cut interest rates in reaction to recent indications of a slowdown
by the global economy. Meanwhile, concerns about the US-China trade battle
appear to have moved to the back burner for investors after being blamed for
volatile market action in August. China has reportedly offered to buy more
American agricultural products in exchange for a delay in upcoming tariffs and
the easing of a ban against doing business with Chinese telecommunications
giant Huawei Technologies. On the economic front, the US National Federation of
Independent Business said its small-business optimism index fell 1.6 points to
a seasonally adjusted 103.1 in August, its worst showing since March. The rate
at which Americans quit their jobs hit an all-time high in July, the Labor
Department estimated, suggesting that workers are confident in the strength of
the job market. Job openings fell slightly during the month, while layoffs
remained at low levels.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Tuesday with traders taking some profits after recent strong gains. Oil prices
also dropped after US President Donald Trump announced the firing of national
security adviser John Bolton. A section of the market appears to believe the exit
of Bolton might result in the Trump administration reviewing the sanctions
imposed against Iran. However, lower side remained capped on optimism that the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC
countries, including Russia, would agree to extend production cuts in a bit to
support prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for October declined 45 cents or
0.8 percent to settle at $57.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
November Brent fell 21 cents or 0.3 percent to settle at $62.38 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee pared most of its early gains and ended almost flat against dollar on
Monday, as investors remained on sidelines ahead of the macro-economic data,
factory output (IIP) for July and retail inflation (CPI inflation) for August,
scheduled to be out on September 12. However, traders took some support with
Niti Aayog Chief Executive Officer Amitabh Kant's statement that states will
have to become key agents of growth to help achieve India's target of becoming
a $5 trillion economy. On the global front, euro stayed on the back foot on
Monday, having dropped to a five-day low against the dollar overnight, as
investors remained convinced the European Central Bank will introduce a new
wave of monetary stimulus at its meeting on Thursday. Finally, the rupee ended
at 71.71, 1 paise stronger from its previous close of 71.72 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 3219.55 crore against gross
selling of Rs 4471.57 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 1756.03 crore with gross sales of Rs 1112.23 crore. Besides, in the
hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 29.30 crore against gross selling of
Rs 25.96 crore.
The US markets ended mostly in
green on Tuesday with a rally in energy and industrial shares countering a drop
in the technology and real estate sectors. Asian markets are trading mostly
higher on Wednesday as hopes of diminishing US-China tensions and reduced risk
of no-deal Brexit prompted investors to take profit in risk-off trade ahead of
key central bank policy meetings. Indian markets ended on firm note on Monday,
with Sensex and Nifty settling above 37,100 and 11,000 levels, respectively,
led by gains in financial stocks. Markets were closed on Tuesday on account of
Muharram. Today, the start of session is likely to be in green following
positive cues from Asian peers. Traders will be taking some encouragement with
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the government is not
underestimating the slow Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and has full focus
on how it can rise in the next quarter. She said the up and down are part of
the growth process and the government is responding to the current economic
challenges to revive demand and consumption in the country. Some support will also
come as the Export-Import Bank of India (Exim Bank) forecasted that India's
merchandise exports to increase from $81.4 billion to $82 billion, with an
expected growth rate of 0.6 per cent from a year ago during the second quarter
of 2019-20 (July-September). Though, there may be some cautiousness as Fitch
Ratings forecasted India's economic growth at 6.6 percent during the current
year, down from 6.8 percent in the previous year, and said the government has
only limited room to ease fiscal policy because of high debt. It said GDP
growth is likely to rebound to 7.1 percent next year. Banking stocks will be in
focus with Moody's Investors Service's statement that the Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) mandating banks to link certain loans to the external benchmark-based
interest rate from October 1 is credit negative to the lenders as it will limit
their flexibility in managing risks. There will be some reaction in the
non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) stocks as India Ratings revised its
outlook for the NBFCs to negative from stable. There will be some buzz in the
agriculture stocks with the Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export
Development Authority's (APEDA) report showing that the country's agriculture
exports dipped 14.39 per cent to $5.45 billion (about Rs 38,700 crore) in
April-July this fiscal.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,003.05
|
10,918.95
|
11,058.00
|
BSE Sensex
|
37,145.45
|
36,871.92
|
37,331.53
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in
Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
1,508.98
|
63.10
|
60.60
|
64.85
|
UPL
|
48.13
|
587.45
|
570.97
|
597.27
|
Maruti Suzuki India
|
20.61
|
6,335.50
|
6,128.02
|
6,454.97
|
L&T
|
35.08
|
1,357.00
|
1,332.77
|
1,371.52
|
Bharti Airtel
|
37.12
|
356.45
|
351.53
|
359.38
|
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