Bears tightened grip on Dalal
Street, with both the larger peers closing with losses of more than a percent.
After a cautious start of Thursday's trading session, the markets managed to
keep their heads in green terrain during early deals, supported by the Finance
Ministry's statement that the Indian economy is projected to be the
fastest-growing major economy in the current and upcoming fiscal 2019-20. It
also emphasized that the government has taken several steps to boost investors'
confidence. It added that the average growth of the Indian economy between
2014-15 and 2017-18 was 7.3%, fastest among the major economies in the world.
Some comfort also came with the Finance Ministry's another statement that the
direct tax-to-GDP ratio of 5.98% achieved during 2017-18 fiscal is the best in
the last 10 years. It was 5.57% in 2016-17 and 5.47% in 2015-16.The market
participants were also got some support with the government's decision to
provide 3% interest subsidy to merchant exporters, entailing an expenditure of
Rs 600 crore, to enhance liquidity with a view to boosting outbound shipments.
However, the key indices failed to hold their gains and traded lackluster for
the most part of the session, as all sectoral indices collapsed barring Telecom
and FMCG. Weak global cues also spooked the markets. Domestic sentiments
remained pessimistic with a private report stating that global economic growth
is expected to slow down in 2019, as tighter monetary policy, weaker earnings
growth and political challenges confront the world's major economies. The
report said that for the year ahead that it expected global economic growth to
slow to 3.6% in 2019, after seeing a growth of 3.8% in 2018. Traders paid no
heed towards Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that Rs 80,000 crore has
been recovered by creditors in 66 cases resolved by NCLT and around Rs 70,000
crore more is likely to be realised by March-end. Investors also overlooked a
report that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has set up the eight-member
committee to suggest long-term solutions for the economic and financial
sustainability of the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) sector.
Finally, the BSE Sensex lost 377.81 points or 1.05% to 35,513.71, while the CNX
Nifty was down by 120.25 points or 1.11% to 10,672.25.
The US markets ended deeply in
red on Thursday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average sinking more than 600
points as weak economic data and a rare sales warning from Apple sparked fresh
worries among investors about a global slowdown. Negative sentiment was
generated as Apple Inc. posted its biggest percentage drop since 2013 after
Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company now expects fiscal first quarter revenue of
approximately $84 billion compared to its previous forecast for revenue of $89
to $93 billion. Cook attributed the lower guidance to a significantly greater
than expected impact from economic weakness in some emerging markets. Apple
skidded 10% for its biggest one-day percentage decline since January 24, 2013.
On the economic front, indicating a notable slowdown in the pace of growth in
US manufacturing activity in the month of December, the Institute for Supply
Management released a report showing a much bigger than expected drop by its
index of activity in the manufacturing sector. The ISM said its purchasing
managers index tumbled to 54.1 in December after rising to 59.3 in November,
slumping its lowest level since hitting 53.4 in November of 2016. Meanwhile, a
report released by the Labor Department showed a bigger than expected increase
in first-time claims for US unemployment benefits in the week ended December
29. The report said initial jobless claims climbed to 231,000, an increase of
10,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised level of 221,000. Dow Jones
Industrial Average plunged 660.02 points or 2.83 percent to 22686.22, Nasdaq
declined 202.43 points or 3.04 percent to 6463.50 and S&P 500 was down by
62.14 points or 2.48 percent to 2447.89.
Extending their gains for fourth
straight session, crude oil futures ended higher on Thursday as sentiment got
boost after private surveys revealed monthly declines in crude output from
major producers. Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) produced 32.68 million barrels of oil a day in December, down
460,000 barrels a day from a month earlier. The output fall came ahead of the
reduction of 1.2 million barrels a day from October 2018 levels pledged by OPEC
and nonmember producers, including Russia that became effective at the start of
the New Year. However, Thursday's volatility across risk assets, including
energy, is growth related and fears of a slowing global economy continue to be
a major headwind on oil from a demand standpoint. Benchmark crude oil futures
for February gained 55 cents or 1.2 percent to settle $47.09 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. March Brent crude rose $1.04 or 1.9 percent to
settle at $55.95 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee settled marginally lower on Thursday against dollar amid strengthening
greenback and sustained foreign fund outflows. Rupee sentiment remained
dampened with a private report stating that global economic growth is expected
to slow down in 2019, as tighter monetary policy, weaker earnings growth and
political challenges confront the world's major economies. The report said that
for the year ahead that it expected global economic growth to slow to 3.6
percent in 2019, after seeing a growth of 3.8 percent in 2018. However, losses
remained capped with the Finance Ministry in its 2018 review stating that the
Indian economy is projected to be the fastest-growing major economy in the
current and upcoming fiscal 2019-20. It also emphasized that the government has
taken several steps to boost investors' confidence. It added that the average
growth of the Indian economy between 2014-15 and 2017-18 was 7.3%, fastest
among the major economies in the world. Finally, the rupee ended at 70.20, 0.02
paise weaker from its previous close of 70.18 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data were net sellers in equity
segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment. In equity segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 2798.76 crore against gross selling of Rs 3233.96 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 2846.34 crore with
gross sales of Rs 2600.67 crore.
Besides, in the hybrid segment, there was no buying and selling.
The US markets end sharply lower
on Thursday, as weak economic data and a rare sales warning from Apple sparked
fresh worries among investors about a global slowdown. Asian markets are
trading mostly in red on Friday following sharp decline on Wall Street
overnight amid fears of a slowdown in the global economy. Indian markets
extended their losses for second straight session and ended lower on Thursday
amid weak global cues coupled with sustained weakness in the domestic currency.
Today, the markets are likely to make cautious start mirroring the nervousness
in global markets amid growth slowdown concerns and rising oil prices. Trade
will be muted ahead of corporate earnings scheduled to begin next week.
Besides, investors will be eyeing Services PMI data for the month of December
to be out later in the day. There will be some cautiousness with a private
report that despite crossing the Rs 1-trillion mark twice this year, the goods
and services tax (GST) collections are running well behind the budgeted target.
As opposed to a monthly target of Rs 1.04 trillion, the monthly run rate
adjusting for refunds, works out to around Rs 89,600 crore. This could force
the government to either cut its capital expenditure this year or roll over
spending on account of subsidies to next year in order to meet the fiscal
deficit target. However, some support may come later in the day with Finance
Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that enacting the Insolvency and Bankruptcy
Code (IBC) has helped lenders get Rs 80,000 crore in 66 cases and another about
Rs 70,000 crore is likely to be recovered in the remaining months of the
current financial year. Traders may take
note of the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion's (DIPP) clarification
that the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) rules for e-commerce have not allowed
foreign investment in the inventory-based model or multi-brand retailing. It
also stressed that the provisions are also not against the interest of
consumers, noting that only fair, competitive and transparent business
practices would be beneficial for buyers. Meanwhile, the Finance Ministry has
allowed businesses to claim input tax credit benefit for the first financial
year of GST roll out, till March 2019, provided it matches with the return
filed by their suppliers. The deadline for claiming input tax credit (ITC)
ended on October 25, 2018. There will be some buzz in the banking sector stocks
with India's Finance Minister Arun Jaitlet's statement that commercial banks
were likely to recover Rs 70,000 crore ($9.95 billion) of bad loans by the end
of March, helped by resolution of 12 large cases. There will be some reaction
in the NBFCs stocks with ratings agency ICRA's report that the ongoing issues
with the non-bank lenders will crimp the operating profits of such companies by
up to 0.50%. It said the decline in profitability will be primarily due to
increase in the cost of funds, slowdown in portfolio growth and cost of
carrying additional liquidity due to the troubles.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous
close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
10,672.25
|
10,617.65
|
10,770.45
|
BSE
Sensex
|
35,513.71
|
35,326.30
|
35,850.39
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ONGC
|
265.99
|
142.40
|
140.78
|
144.83
|
Yes Bank
|
202.40
|
184.10
|
183.07
|
185.57
|
SBI
|
175.48
|
291.10
|
288.95
|
294.40
|
Vedanta
|
139.68
|
187.95
|
185.33
|
192.78
|
Tata Steel
|
135.33
|
481.25
|
476.62
|
489.52
|
Larsen & Toubro's construction arm -- L&T Construction has won orders worth Rs 1,060 crore.
Indian Oil Corporation is going to commission its first liquefied natural gas import terminal at Ennore in Tamil Nadu in January.
HDFC is planning for the issuance of secured redeemable NCDs aggregating Rs 45,000 crore on a private placement basis.
Hero MotoCorp has called for reduction in GST rate on two-wheelers from the 28% bracket of luxury goods to that of 18% for mass usage items.