Indian equity bourses gave up all
of their gains on Tuesday to end on lower note. Markets made a fabulous start,
aided with Union Minister Nitin Gadkari's statement that the government is in
the process of launching 'Digital data based credit ratings' of Micro, Small
and Medium Enterprises, to help entrepreneurs to get bank loans on the basis of
these credit ratings. Firm trade persisted for the most part of the session,
amid a report stating that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is finally attempting
to overhaul India's most controversial labour laws to attract investment and
make it easier to do business in a country where changing archaic rules is a
challenge for any government. In the last hour of the trading day, key indices
turned negative, on the back of weak cues from the global markets. Domestic
sentiments got hampered after credit rating agency India Ratings and Research
(Ind-Ra) revised its GDP growth forecast for the current financial year (FY20)
to 5.6 per cent. This is the fourth revision and has come in after the agency
had revised its FY20 GDP growth forecast only a month ago to 6.1 per cent. Some
concerns also came with the Employees State Insurance Corporation's (ESIC)
latest payroll data showing that around 12.23 lakh jobs were created in
September 2019, lower than 13.38 lakh in the previous month. Finally, the BSE
Sensex lost 67.93 points or 0.17% to 40,821.30, while the CNX Nifty was down by
36.05 points or 0.30% to 12,037.70.
The US markets end at all-time
highs on Tuesday as investors focused on US-China trade talks. A statement from China's Commerce Ministry
revealed Chinese Vice Premier Liu He held a phone call with US Trade
Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin. The
statement said the two sides discussed how to resolve each other's core concerns,
reached consensus on how to resolve related issues, and agreed to maintain
communication on the remaining issues in the first phase of agreement
negotiations. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said that Washington was in
the final throes in its efforts to reach a trade deal with China, but also
underscored that Americans stand with pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong.
Besides, some support also came with an upbeat assessment of the economy from
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell outlined an optimistic view of
the US economy but signaled that low inflation would likely keep interest rates
low. The Fed chief said that the central bank's three rate cuts this year have
helped to spur home purchases, contributing to the economy's longest expansion
on record. On the economic data front, reflecting a softening in consumers'
assessment of current conditions, the Conference Board released a report
showing US consumer confidence unexpectedly declined for a fourth consecutive
month in November. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index fell
to 125.5 in November from an upwardly revised 126.1 in October. Street had
expected the consumer confidence index to inch up to 126.9 from the 125.9
originally reported for the previous month. The unexpected drop by the headline
index came as the present situation index slumped to 166.9 in November from
173.5 in October.
Extending yesterday's gains,
crude oil futures ended higher with gains of over half a percent on Tuesday on
hopes that trade talks between China and the US will ultimately result in a
deal that sustains global economic growth and energy demand, especially if the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) restrains production.
China's Commerce Ministry said top US and Chinese trade negotiators held a
phone call on Tuesday. The two sides are trying to reach agreement on a
so-called Phase 1 deal in a trade war that has dragged on for 16 months, but
progress has been stymied lately by China's frustration with passage in the US
of the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act. Benchmark crude oil futures
for January gained 40 cents or 0.6 percent to settle at $58.41 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. January Brent rose 62 cents or 0.9 percent to
settle at $64.27 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee ended stronger against dollar on Tuesday, due to increased selling of the
American currency by banks and exporters. Traders remained optimistic with a
report stating that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is finally attempting to
overhaul India's most controversial labour laws to attract investment and make
it easier to do business in a country where changing archaic rules is a
challenge for any government. Traders even overlooked credit rating agency
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) revised its GDP growth forecast for the
current financial year (FY20) to 5.6 per cent. This is the fourth revision and
has come in after the agency had revised its FY20 GDP growth forecast only a
month ago to 6.1 per cent. On the global front, dollar was stable against yen
on Tuesday amid positive signs the China and the U.S. would agree on an interim
trade deal. Finally, the rupee ended at 71.50, 24 paise stronger from its
previous close of 71.74 on Monday.
The
FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net buyers in equity segment, while they were
net sellers in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs
6188.37 crore against gross selling of Rs 4201.74 crore, while in the debt
segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 407.50 crore with gross sales of Rs
772.21 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6.84
crore against gross selling of Rs 6.88 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday as upbeat comments by President Donald Trump on trade talks eclipsed
some softer-than-anticipated economic data. Asian markets are trading mostly in
green on Wednesday as more upbeat signals from US-China trade talks fanned
hopes of an imminent end to tariff hostilities, which helped offset concerns
about a slowing US economy. Indian markets gave up early gains and ended lower
on Tuesday as investors booked profits at higher levels amid mixed cues from
global markets. Today, the markets are likely to make a cautious start amid
economic growth concerns and ahead of expiry of the Futures and Options
contracts, slated for Thursday. Fitch group firm India Ratings and Research
said Indian economy may have slowed for the sixth consecutive quarter in
July-September to 4.7 per cent and it lowered GDP growth forecast for current
fiscal for the fourth time. However, some support may come with Union minister
Piyush Goyal's statement that India's service sector can help achieve the
Central government's target of $5 trillion GDP. He said the service sector has
the potential to be the largest job creators in the country and over the next
five years it has the potential to contribute $3 trillion out of the $5
trillion GDP target set by the government. Traders may take note of a private
report that the Reserve Bank of India is expected to cut interest rates in its
December bi-monthly monetary policy and again before July. There will be some
reaction in infra stocks with rating agency Crisil's report that states need to
scale up investments to Rs 110 lakh crore over the next decade to achieve
India's massive infrastructure targets. Metal stocks will be in focus with a
private report indicating that with the leases of 232 merchant iron ore mines
expiring in March next year, the country may face a short-term disruption in
supply of the main ingredient used in making steel. There will be some buzz in
the telecom stocks amid reports that the Committee of Secretaries (CoS) formed
to suggest relief measure for struggling telecos has been disbanded.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
12,037.70
|
11,985.22
|
12,111.32
|
BSE Sensex
|
40,821.30
|
40,647.57
|
41,057.65
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
3,997.92
|
63.15
|
61.30
|
66.25
|
ICICI Bank
|
2,868.58
|
510.70
|
501.95
|
518.50
|
ZEEL
|
651.51
|
319.70
|
307.07
|
337.67
|
SBI
|
364.64
|
335.50
|
332.07
|
339.47
|
Tata Steel
|
282.76
|
424.15
|
417.50
|
430.05
|
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