Snapping three days winning
streak, Indian equity benchmarks ended the Wednesday's trade with a cut of
around half a percent, as traders remained on sidelines ahead of macro-economic
data. Retail inflation and industrial production data for May and April,
respectively, due to be released later in the day. There is expectation that
retail inflation likely accelerated to a seven-month high in May on rising food
prices. Traders also remained anxious with former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind
Subramanian's statement that country's growth has been overestimated by nearly
2.5 per cent under both UPA and NDA rule. The actual growth is likely to be
lower, at nearly 4.5 per cent, down from 7 per cent between 2011-12 and
2016-17. Market participants paid no heed to the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI)
statement that it will infuse Rs 15,000 crore into the financial system through
bond purchases on June 13. Based on an assessment of prevailing liquidity
conditions and also of the durable liquidity needs going forward, the RBI has
decided to conduct purchase of (six) Government securities under OMOs through
multi-security auction using the multiple price method. Meanwhile, State Bank
of India (SBI) in its research report Ecowrap has underlined RBI's new
guidelines to deal with bad loans will provide lenders the headroom and
flexibility for resolution of large ticket stressed asset cases under the
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 193.65
points or 0.48% to 39,756.81, while the CNX Nifty was down by 59.40 points or
0.50% to 11,906.20.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as investors continued to focus on US-China trade. The US-China trade
conflict largely took a back seat to President Donald Trump's threatened
tariffs on Mexico but has moved back into the spotlight ahead of the G20 summit
later this month. Trump suggested he has no interest in negotiating unless
China agrees to come back to the table to discuss previous terms of a deal he
has claimed was nearly complete. Trump said he expects to meet with Chinese
President Xi Jinping at the G20 summit and has warned that he will impose new
tariffs on Chinese goods if his counterpart does not attend. However, downside
remained capped with report showing tame inflation has further fueled
expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in the near
future. The Labor Department said its consumer price index inched up by 0.1% in
May after rising by 0.3% in April. Excluding food and energy prices, core
consumer prices also edged up by 0.1% for the fourth consecutive month. The
report also showed a slowdown in the annual rate of consumer price growth, with
the headline index up by 1.8% year-over-year in May compared to the 2.0%
increase in April. The annual rate of core consumer price growth also slowed to
2.0% in May from 2.1% in the previous month. Dow Jones Industrial Average
declined 43.68 points or 0.17 percent to 26004.83, Nasdaq fell 29.85 points or
0.38 percent to 7792.72 and S&P 500 was down by 5.88 points or 0.20 percent
to 2879.84.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
lower on Wednesday as US crude supplies rose a second week in a row and
concerns about energy demand persisted on the back of growing US-China trade
tensions. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that US crude
supplies climbed by 2.2 million barrels for the week ended June 7. Analysts
polled by S&P Global Platts expected a modest increase of 80,000 barrels
for crude stocks, on average. The American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday
reported a nearly 4.9 million-barrel rise. Trade tensions continue to be a
major concern, linked to a potential slowdown in energy demand growth.
President Donald Trump said he has got a feeling the US and China will reach a
trade deal, but held out the possibility of more tariffs on Chinese goods
without one. Benchmark crude oil futures for July dropped $2.13 or 4 percent to
settle at $51.14 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. August Brent
declined $2.32 or 3.7 percent to settle at $59.97 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally higher against dollar on
Wednesday, owing to dollar sale by exporters and banks. Traders took a note of
report that the Economic Advisory Council to the PM refuted the claims of
former CEA Arvind Subramanian regarding overestimation of GDP numbers and said
it will come out with a point-by-point rebuttal in due course. Moreover, dollar
losing sheen against some other currencies overseas too supported the rupee.
However, gains were limited as investors preferred to remain on sidelines ahead
of key economic data -- April IIP and May CPI, to be announced after the market
hours. On the global front, dollar edged lower for a second consecutive day on
Wednesday on growing expectations of a US rate cut next week while
high-yielding currencies suffered due to ongoing trade tensions. Finally, the
rupee ended at 69.34, 9 paise stronger from its previous close of 69.44 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in equity and debt segments both. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 4419.44 crore against gross selling of Rs 4117.72 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1154.74 crore with gross
sales of Rs 722.97 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 4.19 crore against gross selling of Rs 2.22 crore.
The US markets ended in red on
Wednesday amid lingering trade tensions and questions over the direction of
Federal Reserve policy. Asian markets are trading mostly lower on Thursday,
weighted down by concerns of a flattening global growth. Indian markets snapped
three-day winning streak and settled in red territory on Wednesday dragged by
losses in banking and auto stocks amid US-China trade tensions. Today, the
start is likely to be cautious amid mixed macro-economic data coupled with
weakness in global markets. As per the government data, retail inflation spiked
to a seven-month high of 3.05 percent in May, though remaining within RBI's
comfort level, as kitchen items like vegetables, meat and fish turned dearer.
On the other hand, India's industrial output grew to a six-month high of 3.4
percent in April mainly on account of improvement in mining and power
generation. There will be some cautiousness with a private report that deal
making through the private equity/venture capital routes saw a sharp 54 percent
dip in May at a low $2.8 billion due to fewer large deals. The dip comes amid
data release of sagging GDP growth fuelled largely by a fall in consumption
which has been the one of the favourite for investors as well. However, some
support may come later in the day with a UN report showing that Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) to India grew by 6 per cent to $42 billion in 2018, with
strong inflows in the manufacturing, communication and financial services
sectors, and cross-border merger and acquisition activities. Meanwhile, the
Cabinet approved introduction of the Special Economic Zones (Amendment) Bill,
2019 in the ensuing session of Parliament. The bill will replace Special
Economic Zones (Amendment) Ordinance, 2019, which was promulgated in March. The
ordinance had paved the way for trusts to set up units in special economic
zones (SEZs). There will be some buzz in the telecom stocks with report that
the Telecom regulator TRAI extended the timeline for implementation of revised
Mobile Number Portability (MNP) norms, by more than three months to September
30, providing relief to operators. There will be some reaction in sugar stocks
with a private report indicating that sugar output in India may drop to a
three-year low next season from a record as dry weather shrivels cane plants in
some major growing areas of the country.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,906.20
|
11,860.88
|
11,956.98
|
BSE Sensex
|
39,756.81
|
39,592.86
|
39,951.43
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Yes Bank
|
562.37
|
134.75
|
132.97
|
137.17
|
Indiabulls Housing Finance
|
364.10
|
621.05
|
596.87
|
657.12
|
Tata Motors
|
128.19
|
169.05
|
167.37
|
171.47
|
Tata Steel
|
127.56
|
505.85
|
494.60
|
512.55
|
SBIN
|
115.65
|
344.00
|
341.88
|
346.53
|
Yes Bank has reduced its stake in Fortis Healthcare by around 2 per cent by selling over 1.51 crore shares of the company in various tranches.
ITC is looking at managed hotel properties outside the country, as part of its asset-right strategy for this vertical.
NTPC has received approval from board for investment in 100 MW Ramagundam Floating Solar PV Project, Phase-I.
Tata Motors Group's global wholesales in May 2019, including Jaguar Land Rover, were at 82,374 nos., lower by 23%, over May 2018.