Extending southward journey for
second straight session, Indian equity benchmarks ended the session with a cut
of around three fourth of a percent, breaching their crucial 32,300 (Sensex)
and 10,050 (Nifty) levels. Markets showed solemnity since beginning and never
looked confident of recovering till end to close near intraday lows, as
investors opted to remain on sidelines pondering rate outlook, a day after the
RBI maintained its neutral stance, citing record low inflation. Most of the
market participants are not expecting any further rate cut this year, saying
the present low inflation print is not sustainable. Sentiments also remained
dampened with report showing that the services sector contracted in July and
fell to its lowest level in nearly four years following implementation of the
Goods and Services Tax (GST). Nikkei India Services Purchasing Managers' Index
fell to 45.9 in July. Some concern also came with the Reserve Bank's third
bi-monthly monetary policy statement that farm loan waivers by state
governments could result in possible fiscal slippages and undermine the quality
of public spending. Some concerns also came with the private report stating
that more than 31 percent of the chief financial officers (CFOs) from various
companies feel implementation of GST is challenging and manufacturing is the
most affected sector. Market participants shrugged off Finance Minister Arun
Jaitley's indications that there could be scope for rationalisation of rates
under the GST as its implementation progresses. Jaitley also said that he was
under pressure to change the GST Network which people said was faulty but felt
the structure was correct. Traders also failed to get any solace with John
Chambers', Chairman of the newly-formed US-India Strategic Partnership Forum,
prediction that India would turn out to be a role model for the world
economies. He said India will figure among the top three economic powers in the
world over the next 10-15 years. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 238.86 points
or 0.74% to 32,237.88, while the CNX Nifty was down by 67.85 points or 0.67% to
10,013.65.
The US markets closed mostly
lower on Thursday, while the Dow industrials logged a seventh consecutive
all-time high. Investors are leaning a little bit more cautiously simply for
the very, very near term because of bullish sentiment being higher than normal.
On the economy front, a reading of service-sector activity slowed in July to
the weakest rate of growth in 11 months. The Institute for Supply Management
said its nonmanufacturing index fell to 53.9% in July from 57.4% in June.
Gauges for production, new orders, employment, deliveries, inventories, order
backlogs and new-export orders all decelerated. On the other hand, applications
for unemployment benefits fell in late July and remained near a 44-year low,
highlighting the strength of a US labor market that's showing little sign of
waning. Initial jobless claims from July 23 to July 29 declined by 5,000 to
240,000. New claims count people who apply for unemployment benefits after
losing their jobs. The average of new claims over the past month, which gives a
more stable picture of layoff trends, also fell slightly to 241,750. New
applications for benefits have totaled less than 300,000 for 126 straight
weeks, extending the longest streak since the early 1970s. The Nasdaq lost
22.31 points or 0.35 percent to 6,340.34, the S&P 500 edged lower by 5.41
points or 0.22 percent to 2,472.16, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added
9.86 points or 0.04 percent to 22,026.10.
Crude oil futures declined on
Thursday, failing to hold $50 a barrel mark after jumping to 8-week highs.
Traders looked ahead to an Opec meeting next week for fresh insight into the
oil cartel's commitment to improve compliance with the deal to curb production,
traders, however downplayed the importance of the meeting next week, suggesting
oil prices may struggle to sustained upward momentum. Benchmark crude oil
futures for September delivery slumped by $0.56 or 1.1percent to $49.03 on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, Brent crude for September delivery
ended lower by 0.63 percent at $52.03 a barrel on the ICE.
Indian
rupee pared some of its early gains but still ended marginally higher against
the American currency on Thursday on continued dollar selling by banks and
exporters. Local currency got some support with finance ministry's statement
that the RBI's decision to cut key policy rate by 0.25 percent is an important
step to achieve sustained growth consistent with moderate inflation and India's
potential. However, firm dollar against some global currencies overseas and
massive losses of domestic equity markets restricted further gains. On the
global front, dollar inched away from a 15-month low versus a basket of
currencies on Thursday, but was still looking wobbly due to doubts about whether
there will be another US interest rate rise this year. Finally, the rupee ended
at 63.68, 2 paise stronger from its previous close of 63.70 on Wednesday.
The
FIIs as per Thursday's data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both. In
equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4106.42 crore against gross selling
of Rs 3538.51 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs
1532.36 crore with gross sales of Rs 494.34 crore.
The US markets made a mixed
closing in last session ahead of the monthly jobs data. Trade remained
lackluster even though a report from Labor Department showed a modest decrease
in first-time claims for unemployment benefits in the week ended July 29th. The
Asian markets have made a mixed start too, awaiting the monthly US jobs report
and on buzz that U.S. Special Counsel Robert Mueller was said to have impaneled
a grand jury in the ongoing Russia probe. The Indian markets suffered sharp
cuts in the last session with major benchmarks deposing over half a percent,
dragged down by banking pack on concern that their net interest margins will
come down in a low interest-rate environment. Today, the start is likely to be
mildly in green but cautiousness will prevail on global developments. There
will be buzz in the banking sector stocks, as the Lok Sabha passed the Banking
Regulation (Amendment) Bill, 2017, after Finance Minister Arun Jaitley declared
that criminal and recovery proceedings will be started against defaulters of
bank loans who divert money and asserted that no one can claim equality in not
repaying loans to the banks. The textile stocks too may see some action, as
foreign direct investment (FDI) in textile sector more than doubled to $618.95
million during 2016-17 from $230.13 million in the previous fiscal. The
aviation stocks will be in focus, as a global airline association, the
International Air Transport Association (IATA) has said that India's domestic
passenger traffic grew by 20.3 per cent in June. There will be lots of earnings
reaction to keep the markets in action.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE
(Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
10013.65
|
9980.88
|
10063.78
|
BSE Sensex
|
32237.88
|
32120.79
|
32428.76
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
(in Lacs)
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
IOC
|
171.50
|
387.05
|
373.70
|
397.70
|
SBI
|
144.60
|
300.55
|
297.30
|
305.60
|
ICICI Bank
|
143.90
|
295.70
|
293.00
|
299.95
|
Hindalco
|
102.55
|
220.95
|
218.17
|
225.77
|
ITC
|
101.99
|
281.40
|
279.57
|
284.32
|
Wipro has entered into partnership with Tricentis and a thought leader in the automated testing space, for Quality Engineering
Axis Bank has issued Senior Fixed Rate Bonds aggregating to $500 million under the GMTN Programme through its DIFC branch.
Maruti Suzuki India has introduced Auto Gear Shift option in top-end Alpha trim of its premium urban compact vehicle - IGNIS.
SBI is planning to raise Rs 2,000 crore by allotting 20,000 AT1 Basel-III compliant non-convertible, perpetual, subordinated bonds in the nature of debentures to various investors.