Indian equity
benchmarks ended the choppy day of trade with marginal gains on Tuesday, as
traders took comfort with a private report stating that India has been
remarkably resilient in the recent turmoil in emerging market equities largely
driven by macro stability, low policy uncertainty, improving growth and
domestic flows. Markets after a positive start turned flat and traded choppy in
green and red terrain throughout the day. Overall sentiments remained
optimistic with Retirement fund body the Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation
(EPFO) payroll data suggesting that as many as 47.13 lakh jobs were created
during September 2017 to June this year. Trader took some encouragement from a
private report that a spectacular 53% increase in the number of income-tax
returns filed electronically till July 31 has given the government renewed hope
of continued high-paced growth in compliance and taxpayer base, even 21 months
after demonetisation. Market participants also got some solace with Commerce
and industry minister Suresh Prabhu reviewing two proposed policies- on
agriculture export and new industrial policy to take the country’s exports to a
new level. Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is
considering doubling or even quadrupling the minimum ticket size for investment
in portfolio management services (PMS) schemes. However, gains remain capped
with NITI Aayog’s statement that India needs to focus more on meeting its
revenue deficit target than adhering to the fiscal deficit aim. NITI Aayog
added that India needs to shift its obsession with the fiscal gap number and
this obsession must end. Traders also took note with the International Labour
Organisation (ILO) in its latest report title India Wage Report: Wage policies
for decent work and inclusive growth stating that the country needs to improve
its wage policies. Though, it also said that low pay, gender wage gap and
informality remain a serious challenge to India’s path to achieving decent
working conditions and inclusive growth. Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 7.00
points or 0.02% to 38,285.75, while the CNX Nifty was up by 19.15 points or
0.17% to 11,570.90.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 snapping a
four-day gaining streak, as the minutes from the latest Federal Open Market
Committee’s most recent meeting reaffirmed the central bank’s hawkish bias. The
Fed minutes indicated broad-based support for another interest-rate hike in
September with many officials stating that as long as economic data remain
strong, it would likely soon be appropriate to take another step in removing
policy accommodation. However, they also suggested that any tightening will
have to pause if the US trade tensions with partners continue to escalate.
Besides, cautiousness prevailed in the markets as investors sought to gauge the
impact of the legal and political issues surrounding President Donald Trump’s
administration. Former Trump campaign
chairman Paul Manafort late Tuesday was found guilty on eight charges including
tax fraud, and the president’s former lawyer Michael Cohen said he violated
campaign-finance law at President Donald Trump’s direction. On the economic
front, according to a report released by the National Association of Realtors
(NAR), existing home sales in the US unexpectedly decreased in the month of
July. NAR said existing home sales dropped by 0.7% to an annual rate of 5.34
million in July after falling by 0.6% to a rate of 5.38 million in June. Dow
Jones Industrial Average dropped 88.69 points or 0.34 percent to 25733.60 and
the S&P 500 declined 1.14 points or 0.04 percent to 2861.82, while Nasdaq
was up by 29.92 points or 0.38 percent to 7889.10.
Extending gains
for fifth straight day, Crude oil futures ended higher on Wednesday, with
benchmark prices at their highest finish in roughly two weeks after data showed
a sharper-than-expected decline in US crude inventories. The Energy Information
Administration (EIA) reported that domestic crude supplies fell by 5.8 million
barrels for the week ended August 17. The EIA data also revealed that US crude
production climbed by 100,000 barrels to 11 million barrels a day last week.
It’s up by nearly 1.5 million barrels from the same time a year ago. Meanwhile,
both grades of crude oil have enjoyed a multisession streak of gains on
anticipated supply concerns as investors have been expecting a series of US
sanctions against Iran to eventually remove as many as 1 million to 1.5 million
barrels of oil a day from global oil supplies. Benchmark crude oil futures for
October rose $2.02 or 3.1 percent to settle at $67.86 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. October Brent crude surged $2.15 or 3 percent at $74.78 a
barrel on London’s Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian
rupee ended unchanged on Tuesday compared to its yesterday’s close, as
investors look ahead to US-China trade talks. Traders remained cautious with
NITI Aayog’s statement that India needs to focus more on meeting its revenue
deficit target than adhering to the fiscal deficit aim. NITI Aayog added that
India needs to shift its obsession with the fiscal gap number and this
obsession must end. Investors also took note of the International Labour
Organisation’s (ILO) latest report title India Wage Report: Wage policies for
decent work and inclusive growth stating that the country needs to improve its
wage policies. On the global front, dollar slipped against the yen and a basket
of major peers on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump said he was not
thrilled with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for raising interest
rates. Finally, the rupee ended unchanged from its previous close of 69.83 on
Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday’s data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4745.87 crore against gross
selling of Rs 4612.85 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 447.70 crore with gross sales of Rs 1019.66 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross selling was of Rs 1.41 crore against no buying.
The US markets ended mostly in
red on Wednesday, snapping four-day winning streak, after Fed minutes showed
concern over wage pressures and as two days of trade talks between the US and
China get underway. Asian markets were trading mixed in early trade on Thursday
as a deadline loomed for fresh US tariffs on China and amid speculation US
President Donald Trump's political position could be threatened by the legal
woes of two former advisers. The Indian markets before going for a holiday had
extended their gains for third straight session but ended flat with positive
bias on Tuesday, while Sensex and Nifty settled at fresh closing highs, amid
optimism over US-China trade talks. The markets remain closed on Wednesday for
Bakri Id. Today, the markets are likely to make a cautious start amid mixed
global cues. There will be some cautiousness with NITI Aayog Vice-Chairman
Rajiv Kumar’s statement that he was more concerned about the rising trade
deficit than the falling rupee, and called for efforts to push exports. However, traders may get some support later
in the day with the SBI’s latest research report ‘Ecowrap’ stating that the
country’s GDP is expected to grow by 7.7 percent in the April-June quarter on
the back of pick up in leading indicators like cement production, sale of
vehicles and bank credit. Traders may get some encouragement with the finance
ministry’s statement that the government will meet the fiscal deficit target
for the current fiscal although there could be some slippages in the current
account deficit (CAD) because of high crude oil prices. Meanwhile, the US has
announced hefty preliminary anti-dumping duties on metal pipes imported from
India, China and four other countries, in an aggressive tactic by the Trump
administration to protect the American industry and lower the trade deficit.
Besides, the government has imposed restriction on import of bio-fuels
including ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits, bio-diesel, petroleum oils
and oils obtained from bituminous minerals other than crude, through an
amendment in import policy. There will be some reaction among banking sector
stocks with Moody’s Investors Service’s statement that the government’s plan to
provide more capital support to public sector banks in current fiscal will
restore capital adequacy and improve loan-loss coverage at many loss-making
banks, but stress will persist.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
11,570.90
|
11,546.42
|
11,588.57
|
BSE Sensex
|
38,285.75
|
38,198.76
|
38,387.85
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close
(Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
195.06
|
268.80
|
265.43
|
273.43
|
ICICI Bank
|
160.10
|
338.85
|
334.65
|
342.45
|
Axis Bank
|
155.22
|
635.75
|
622.62
|
643.57
|
SBI
|
141.40
|
307.00
|
303.95
|
309.45
|
ITC
|
136.19
|
312.90
|
310.93
|
315.93
|
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